Poll: The EU Referendum: How Will You Vote? (June Poll)

Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?

  • Remain a member of the European Union

    Votes: 794 45.1%
  • Leave the European Union

    Votes: 965 54.9%

  • Total voters
    1,759
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Soldato
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Some of the north east FB groups I've been reading appear to be in favour of brexit, very traditional labour heartlands too.

In all honesty I can see remain winning much like the Scottish referendum, time will tell and it will be interesting to see how things pan out either way.
 
Soldato
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Out of Coventry
Next few days will seal the fate of the campaign imo.

The schedule:

Well, these two days haven't gone as anyone expected. Leave momentum stalled by the lack of campaigning due to the tragic loss of Jo Cox. Better update the schedule:

Thursday:
Question Time - Cancelled

Remain
  • Nicky Morgan - Not much good at anything, will do little to sway anyone
  • Alan Johnson - Will be good for remain, potentially very good
  • Bob Geldof - Probable disaster for remain
Leave
  • Louise Mench - Probable disaster for leave
  • Tom Harris - Good for leave
  • Ruth Lea - Good for leave, but seems to have trouble getting being heard, and will probably be drowned out.
Verdict: No side will win, it will be about who loses more than the other

Firday:
Andrew Neil Interviews IDS. - Moved.

Verdict: Should be good for leave.

Now will be on BBC Parliament, tomorrow (Saturday)


Sunday:
Cameron on question time

Verdict: Based on his performances so far, this will range from good for leave to pretty much neutral.

--------------------

Peston on Sunday

Remain:
  • George Osborne - Hasn't put up a good show in the referendum so far, will probably get torn to shred over the Brexit budget and the £4300 claim figure
  • Yvette Cooper - Could be good, but the fact that she refused to believe that the pictures of the 5 EU presidents were real, and not just men off the street as she claimed, will be probably be used against her.
Leave:
  • Nigel Farage - Usually good, but could be a liability if he gets the tone wrong in the aftermath of Jo Cox's death, and will probably get attacked harshly with the comparison of UKIPs latest billboard to Nazi propaganda.
  • Penny Mordaunt - Don't know anything about her
  • Steve Hilton - Don't know anything about him

Verdict - All up in the air. From what I've seen, preston isn't much of an interviewer either, so it could just be chaos.

Monday:
Corbyn answers questions from a young audience on Sky

Verdict: This is the big unknown. A good, consistent pro-remain case could turn labour leavers to remain, but Jeremy is pretty inconsistent, and could do more harm than good. -- update: The recent tragedy will be an advantage for Jeremy. He doesn't have to exploit it, but as the Labour leader he will be able to win hearts over with it before going onto his EU arguments.

Tuesday:
Wembley Debate - huge live audience

Leave
  • Boris - Good for leave if he puts in a similar performance as he did on Sky
  • Gisela Stuart - Good for leave
  • Tim Martin - Good for leave, but not fantastic
Remain
  • Sadiq Khan - Haven't seen much from him yet, will be interesting to watch
  • Unknown politician - Possible Tim Fallon or Alan Johnson
  • Unknown business person - Possible Karen Brady

Verdict: Should be evenly matched, possible remain win. Though it is odd that remain haven't finalised their line up yet.

Wednesday:

Paxman debate on channel 4 - guests unknown.

Paxman is suspected to lean towards leave, so should be good for them, but with paxman, nothing is for certain.
 
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