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Memory is relevant and having plenty will cover that side of things for some time to come, Core performance is next and while not having loads a 480 does have enough, The problem is AMD's card stumble with there DX11 performance, I'm guessing some DX11 games will still be being made 3 and 4 years down the line and if there demands continue to increase there will be titles that will need plenty of tweaking to run comfortably. A 480 is a 1080p card nothing more. It'll still manage 4 or 5 years down the line in the same way a 7850 manages today. If you truly want to future proof you need to be looking at the top end cards, The reason I haven't moved to one of Nvidia's high end cards this gen is because I'm not convinced that Pascal has the relevant tech capabilities to maintain it's market position over the long haul, They currently use brute force and as I also want to buy a card to last I'm hoping that Vega will offer that. But if not I'll trudge on with my Fury or buy one of the cheaper 1070's to play with while I wait for the next gen cards which I'd hope will fully support whats needed on Nvidia's side.
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as soon as fps drops and/or image quality reduces you will be thinking of an upgrade.