I hate to jump in with the rest of everyone else here, but i am interested in: What are the odds (or your perceived version of these odds) of these scenarios happening in the future? I'm not asking for a conceptual economic forecast of statistical probabilities, more of a "do you feel that it is more likely that". From what i can gather you feel it is more likely that the EU will suffer some form of mortal blow at an unspecified point in the future (am i correct?) Disregarding the probabilities of such scenarios, i want to ask this. If such a thing is inevitable (you can pick whichever scenario you believe most likely to cause the demise of the EU), how does the UK no longer being in the EU differ (and thereby lessen the impact of the scenario) from the status quo (remaining in the EU).