Poll: Exit Poll: UK General Election 2017 - Results discussion and OcUK Exit Poll - Closing 8th July

Exit poll: Who did you vote for?

  • Conservatives

    Votes: 302 27.5%

  • Labour

    Votes: 577 52.6%

  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 104 9.5%

  • Green

    Votes: 13 1.2%

  • UKIP

    Votes: 19 1.7%

  • Scottish National Party

    Votes: 30 2.7%

  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 6 0.5%

  • Other

    Votes: 46 4.2%
  • Total voters
    1,097
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dowie said:
they don't seem to have a breakdown by income though...

though do you really thing that people didn't change their minds through that disastrous campaign? looking back Yougov seemed to be on point re: their reports of the gap narrowing up until they almost predicted the result but then bottled it at the last moment and give the tories a bigger lead
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True, there's no income breakdown. But you can infer / extrapolate a fair amount from the data on socio-economic grade, education level and employment status.

There were all sorts of weird poll results during the campaign, depending on how the data was gathered. I think the poll where the gap closed to almost neck and neck was the Yougov one where they made an assumption about a higher than usual turnout amongst the young. Which of course was something that did indeed happen, although not quite as high as that poll assumed.

It's hard to know if those who voted Labour had always planned to do so and just weren't getting picked up by most of the polls, or if the disastrous Tory campaign swung things away from them. My guess is a bit of both.
 
in terms of income breakdown, it wouldn't have changed by much since the picture Dowie originally posted. Would be useful to get a proper breakdown of who votes for who depending on income.
 
Trusty said:
in terms of income breakdown, it wouldn't have changed by much since the picture Dowie originally posted.
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well these were the socio-economic grades on the previous survey:

VT9Yycy.png


as yougov noted there and on the recent one socio-economic grade is no longer a good prediction
 
Cern said:
After all, it's believing those opinion polls that got the Tories into the mess of calling a snap election in the first place.
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YouGov weren't far off the result, although slightly favouring May. It seems more likely that opinion changes during May's election disaster than the polls were wrong to start with. Ashcroft's analysis is also pretty interesting. Labour voters seem to have made up their minds later.
 
robfosters said:
Why is Tim Farron resigning?
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I searched the thread for "Farron" and this is the most recent post I could find, so I've quoted it. I too would like to know why he resigned, because according to media articles it appears he has said it's because he didn't believe in what he was actually saying and doing as leader of the party, and that he wants to focus on his career as a homophobic bigot.

It seems a bit bizarre if this is the case?
 
String said:
I searched the thread for "Farron" and this is the most recent post I could find, so I've quoted it. I too would like to know why he resigned, because according to media articles it appears he has said it's because he didn't believe in what he was actually saying and doing as leader of the party, and that he wants to focus on his career as a homophobic bigot.

It seems a bit bizarre if this is the case?
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He said nothing of the sort.

I saw his press conference when it was breaking news yesterday.
 
Chris Wilson said:
The Germans were very welcomed and we stayed drinking together until after midnight,
they were excellent company.
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The people who travel a lot in europe will tell you the vast vast majority of them dirty foreigners over there are actually pretty nice.
The hatred of the Eu I am convinced mainly comes from those who never travel in europe.

Of all the nations i would say the Germans are most like the Brits, in attitude and outlook.
Yet they see a place in the Eu. of course you will find some over there that dont.

Ah and just one small point, if I found myself in a pub with a load of racists I would probably play along as well till I left. Just sayin ;)
 
This report is obviously worthless and extremely inaccurate. According to this, Labour won 21% more of the popular vote than the Conservatives.
People LIE about who they vote for.

Capture2.png
 
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Mercenary Keyboard Warrior said:
Ah and just one small point, if I found myself in a pub with a load of racists I would probably play along as well till I left. Just sayin ;)
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Is this that magic pub that despite being located in the middle of no where, in one of the most predominantly white parts of England, someone of every culture and background walks through the doors to either carry out or tell a story with a life lesson against immigration about it. The same pub where everyone from thirsty politicians to African warlords sit side by side to contribute indirectly to a GD discussion?

Yeah i dont think it exists either :p
 
Are you still campaigning?

The whole weak/strong thing just screams insecurity. I don't remember any lifting contests by the exit polls, what i do see is plenty of poor media outlets appealing to the insecurities and ego of its readers
 
Six6siX said:
Says person whose own views are in direct opposition to the conclusion of said report.
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No, says the person that noticed the maths dont add up, as I also posted but you opted to ignore. Quite simply, the figures don't add up to make this anywhere near believable, are you a bit slow or just trolling?
 
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