Poll: Exit Poll: UK General Election 2017 - Results discussion and OcUK Exit Poll - Closing 8th July

[Rilot]

Watching CNN's coverage at the moment. I've got such a crush in Hala Gorani.

 

[Armageus]

I called it! I said We would get a coalition Government again!!

Called what? It's not guaranteed - could still be a minority government I think?

 

[muon]

not necessarily true, they sort of represent the combined knowledge of the participants (albeit with rather different weightings assigned to it) - though I did look before the swings were announced and they were still pricing in a majority... odds have shortened a bit now and have got up to 3.4 for no overall majority

point is that is in contrast to the exit polls which predict the opposite

The exit poll is only one piece of information.

The other pieces of information is the 2015 general election and the Brexit vote.

The exit poll could suggest a labour majority and the markets won't believe it completely. Similarly it may not believe a large conservative majority either.

 

[Nitefly]

I imagine @Phate knows something about it...

OoooooOOOOo savage

Don't worry @Phate I liked it

 

[LOAM]

May's finished I reckon.

That alone would be considered a victory

 

[Trusty]

Did he? Wont he?

i hope youre right

 

[Chris Wilson]

He had one with ducks on it the other night, I mean I love ducks as much as the next man but on a tie? Time and a place.

No, not ducks, that was his propagander tie.

 

[Ahleckz]

Called what? It's not guaranteed - could still be a minority government I think?

Or a Conservative majority... Or a Labour majority... We've had 2 results. Calm down!

 

[stewski]

Yea, far too early to get excited yet....I remember Majors win in 1990....we went to bed with everyone saying Labour would win and woke up to a Tory Govt.....again....

I remember 1992.

 

[gettothechopper]

I called it! I said we would get a coalition Government again!!

Silly silly woman! Had zero reason to call an election. And now shes got to share the top seat as well as completely undermined the Brexit process.

lib dems already say nope (after the exit poll result)

cant be enough people to make anything else (based on the poll)

 

[McBain]

I imagine @Phate knows something about it...

lol, Aussies

 

[norm]

May is the biggest oxymoron going, her mantra is 'Strong & Stable', it's anything but with her.

 

[opethdisciple]

Called what? It's not guaranteed - could still be a minority government I think?

Amongst my friends I said last week I predict a coalition.

It's not determined yet, but the BBC are gearing up.

 

[muon]

Odds down to 1/2 now for TM as PM and majority for Tories.

 

[opethdisciple]

lib dems already say nope (after the exit poll result)

cant be enough people to make anything else (based on the poll)

Point. So what happens then? The LibDems just refuse a coalition and the conservatives win?

 

[wildman]

Cameron really, really messed up. **** referendum ****

he didn't call this election.

 

[Ayahuasca]

Odds down to 1/2 now for TM as PM and majority for Tories.

Strange as the first 2 results (I know ) showed a swing towards conservative in labour strongholds.

 

[wildman]

Odds down to 1/2 now for TM as PM and majority for Tories.

hung moved to 6/4 also. Thats a massive change from the 6:1 I got only a few days back

 

[opethdisciple]

When I heard she called an election I came up with this analogy:


There was a Lady called Theresa who had a rich uncle. Uncle owned an expensive Bentley. Uncle recently died and left expensive Bentley to Theresa.

One day Theresa feels like she needs some excitement in her life and walks in to her local pub.

She puts the keys to the Bentley on the bar table and announces to the bar that she will challenge anyone to a game of heads up poker.

If she wins she gets to keep the Bentley. If the challenger wins they get to keep the Bentley.

Everyone thought that it was a no lose situation so they all took up the challenge.

The results of said heads up game will be announced today.

---

If she's not losing the car she is at least gonna have to share the car.

Silly Theresa!

 

[muon]

Strange as the first 2 results (I know ) showed a swing towards conservative in labour strongholds.

Why is it strange? Odds are suggesting Labour won't get the result exit polls are suggesting.