ISIL, ISIS, Daesh discussion thread.

I think the main point being missed in this whole matter is that Russia is now establishing what looks to be permanent residence of an air base right on the Western edge of the Mediterranean. Base a few long distance strategic bombers there and rather than that huge flight they usually do over the top, they can now quite easily come across international water, over to London or other major Western European city with ease. Strategically, it's a bold and cunning move.
 
They already have their naval base there (which is a big part of why they're getting involved now). If they'd wanted an airbase there before this all started, they could easily have arranged it... and before, during, and after this I'm sure Assad would have given them access to his airfields if they wanted it. Basically, I don't see it as a play to get an airbase next to the Med.

Nope, not that simple I'm afraid. You also can't make the leap of faith that Assad would have allowed that. Disagree by all means, but you'd be incorrect to do so ;)


PS - Tartus is pretty insignificant, it can't even host a Russian war ship.
 
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Of course it's not all the West's fault. Where did I say that?

The region has been a basket case forever, but removing 2 of the most effective despots in the region was never going to improve stability, was it?

You're asking the wrong person because I think long term it is the correct thing to do, remove dictators who murder their own people. I'm sorry, I don't subscribe to the dim view that "them there barbarians ought to be ruled with an iron fist, it's all they know". In the long term it's not really a way of seeing a civilisation progress and modernise is it? Civil unrest and revolt has occurred throughout history, more so in the Europe than anywhere. It's necessary to advance.
 
I can think of better places of placing a permanent base than in the middle of a warzone. And we get plenty of russian warplane violating our airspace as it is.

Amazing how much cold war paranoia still flies about. "The russians are coming, the russians are coming! Build your bunker now!"

It isn't paranoia, it's the consideration of strategic military advancements to gain a foothold over your adversaries in order to increase ones influence and global power. It's really not rocket science, nor tin-foil hat territory. Read a history book.

And out of interest, if you were Vladamir, where would you put an airbase to position your bombers to give you greater influence in Europe?

The armchair generals are out in force today.
 
No because clearly the world isn't bad guys vs good guys, cowboys and Indians. When discussing whole states and the strategic maneuvers they make its almost always in regards to a position that puts them to an advantage over other states. If you want to take the naive stance on enemy being someone we are fighting, as in adversary in war, good guy vs bad guy then obviously Russia is not an enemy in that sense, I'm not going to fear for my safety walking through Moscow. However, they're an adversary who will compete with other states for political, economic and resource dominance over other states. Which brings me conveniently on to your other point about shaky histories... What does that have to do with anything today? Should we regret and apologise for it? No. Should we therefore turn round and say to the rest of the world "oh sorry old chaps, seeing as we were quite the bunch of tyrants centuries ago, have at it and have your fair share of rape and plunder, what what". How bloody British would that be! :D no sorry, the world doesn't work like that.
 
But our media dress us up as the good guys, and like it or not, that's the general perception of people in the west.

As do all other media outlets of all other nations. RT for example is pro-Russian, and paint them as the "good guys". What's the point here?

Sure, we have some freedoms and I'd rather live here than some other places. But we dominate and dictate policy to other sovereign countries, using threats, diplomatic manoeuvrings and covert actions to enforce our will. And we exploit the hell out of poorer nations. We aren't the "good guys" on the international stage. We're the successful guys, and we're continually doing over the little guys when it suits us.

If you feel so strongly about it then I think it only right you start sacrificing everything you have and handing it over to the 'little guy', it's that or emigrate to a poorer country and try do some good there. Because by staying here, you're just adding to your perceived problem that the big bad west is sucking poor countries dry.

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The point was they have an extensive and developed military relationship, to the extent that being able to build a military base isn't a big deal. This isn't a magical opportunity they wouldn't have had otherwise, imo.

I didn't say it's a magical opportunity but it is a good excuse to now place a lot of their aircraft right on the Med, under the guise of combating ISIL. It's just the same as the US having strategic bases all round the middle east, encircling Iran, permanent bases in Iraq and pretty much anywhere that is viable to give them strategic advantage and resource security.

If, after however long the situation takes to resolve, Russia have withdrew all their aircraft and are not conducting bomber flights across the med, you can come back to me and tell me I was talking horse **** :)
 
Debatable. ISIS don't really post a threat to us, and most of our military action in the area has really been to contain them until a better solution presents itself. Danger to Syrian citizens is a whole other question.

The whole reason ISIL don't pose a significant threat to us yet is because the US and coalition mission in Iraq and Syria is to disrupt and degrade them in Iraq and Syria. Left unchecked then I think it's fair to say that they would become a very sizeable threat.
 
Before we fall into a willy waving contest about who knows most about different planes and then playing top trumps on who will beat who in an air combat show down let's take a step back from the sensationalism that the media wishes to whip up.

There isn't going to be an air to air situation between the coalition and Russian aircraft.
F16s/F15s can shoot down sukois.
Russia are quite clearly testing reaction, just like they do by flying bombers over to Scotland.
 
You don't realise that Russia have limited airborne C2 in Syria, like the US have. Their air picture is probably very restrictive and I'd hazard to guess that they are in fact employing the Su-30s to clear a path for their Su-25s, since they have the capacity to search (albeit locally) with their enhanced detection RADAR. Wording it as being "chased out of Syrian airspace" isn't really as you think. It's not an engagement, they're simply deconflicting this way seeing as the coalition aircraft aren't going to know exactly when and where Russian aircraft are going to be flying. It's not like they just email them their ATO everyday is it? You never know though, air coordination and deconfliction might actually happen if all nations pull their fingers out and just work together on this!
 
"Worthy of a drone strike" Love it :) The term DRONE STRIKE has so much stigma with it doesn't it? What about the cruise missiles, artillery, fast air and general skirmishing going on every day? Nah, not bothered about that.
 
True, however if you drop a large amount of bombs on an area then it's carpet bombing, it doesn't matter if they were guided to hit roughly that area, it's still not a precision strike just because 1:20 hits the thing you wanted to take out.

It depends. Often the B1 will fly missions over areas where numerous targets are near one another, release half a dozen GBUs, but precision guide each and everyone on to each target simultaneously. That isn't classed as carpet bombing, it is still a PGM.
 
Then you've got all the civilian and coalition aircraft flying around in the way in all countries. Yes there is big sky theory and the chances of hitting something en route is low but if it did happen it could be catastrophic.
 
yup

Obama dragged his heels over the issue from the start, won't officially commit to troops on the ground despite repeat requests from the Iraqi govt - just limited airstrikes at the moment and whatever the various SF types are up to

Ah so why didn't you say that in the first place, because that applies to Syria too. If we're going to state he isn't commiting to fighting ISIL in Iraq then the same applies to Syria and surely you see the problem in that.

So what's your point? You do realise the decision not to apply troops to ground has largely been down to lack of public appetite? The idea was that the Iraqi Army sorted their turf out, along with the US air support. Unfortunately, they've largely been unsuccessful since much of the IA us inexperienced and also lacking appetite to fight.
 
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