BBC article - MP defies 58,000/1 odds in ballot Estimated at 58K? Who by? A seven year old with a crayon? 240 entered the draw this year, oh and what a coincidence 240 squared is 57,600. Rounding takes care of the rest. So they're saying that the odds of an MP being selected twice are approx 58K to 1. The odds are actually 240 to 1. The odds of rolling the same number twice on a six sided dice are 1 in 6, not 1 in 36. Anyone with no grasp of basic statistics needs to go back to school.