So I'll talk in generic terms here from widely available industry information and not anything relating to the insurer I work for, but yeah, I wouldn't expect GIPP to be good news for the most part.
If you regularly shop around for your insurance then I'd be expecting your prices to go up. The hook for most of the big insurers has always been a cheap new business quote to get you on board, and then slowly price walk you up at renewal. Its a proven technique that has worked for decades.
GIPP means that insurers are no longer able to do this, and that NB / RN prices need to be aligned. New Business is (for the most part) priced an unsustainable level so its not possible for insurers to bring the RN prices in line with NB and stay in business.
The market expectation is between a 6% to 12% uplift in NB prices to be able to support the new trading environment
There are some weird trends in the market at the moment, prices have softened significantly in Q3/Q4 as insurers look to fill their boots and buy as many policies as they can as cheaply as they can. We're expecting a hard stop on this once GIPP lands, and while some insurers are likely to have significant war chest as a result of the pandemic that might allow them to sustain this into Q1 / early Q2, prices are going to need to significantly correct next year.
On top of this, prices have fallen sharply in the last couple of years as a result of the pandemic and the market wide COR is looking like its creeping north of 110% next year as claims frequencies normalise following pandemic related reductions. Again this isn't particularly sustainable long term, the industry is expecting at least an 8% hardening to correct, timing of this uncertain but if I were a betting man I'd say you'll start to see it Q3 next year.
All in all, I think if you're somebody that shops around for cars insurance at every renewal you're in for price hikes next year across the board, there will of course be outliers to this but my personal expectation is double digit price hikes for the majority of the market in the next 2 years.
If you regularly shop around for your insurance then I'd be expecting your prices to go up. The hook for most of the big insurers has always been a cheap new business quote to get you on board, and then slowly price walk you up at renewal. Its a proven technique that has worked for decades.
GIPP means that insurers are no longer able to do this, and that NB / RN prices need to be aligned. New Business is (for the most part) priced an unsustainable level so its not possible for insurers to bring the RN prices in line with NB and stay in business.
The market expectation is between a 6% to 12% uplift in NB prices to be able to support the new trading environment
There are some weird trends in the market at the moment, prices have softened significantly in Q3/Q4 as insurers look to fill their boots and buy as many policies as they can as cheaply as they can. We're expecting a hard stop on this once GIPP lands, and while some insurers are likely to have significant war chest as a result of the pandemic that might allow them to sustain this into Q1 / early Q2, prices are going to need to significantly correct next year.
On top of this, prices have fallen sharply in the last couple of years as a result of the pandemic and the market wide COR is looking like its creeping north of 110% next year as claims frequencies normalise following pandemic related reductions. Again this isn't particularly sustainable long term, the industry is expecting at least an 8% hardening to correct, timing of this uncertain but if I were a betting man I'd say you'll start to see it Q3 next year.
All in all, I think if you're somebody that shops around for cars insurance at every renewal you're in for price hikes next year across the board, there will of course be outliers to this but my personal expectation is double digit price hikes for the majority of the market in the next 2 years.