dowie;30486168 said:
I think that is a bit naive, the world can change a lot in 30 years. We already have some driverless trains operating in the UK - the DLR for example. Having more of them on more would seem to be quite likely within 30 years.
The DLR was built from scratch and is totally self contained. Also doesn't run at high speeds or cross public highways or footpaths.
The stock I currently drive has been around since before I was born, 30 years ago. We're finally getting new trains in 2019 and they're not automated and will have a similar lifespan. We're running on infrastructure that was built in the victorian era with some eras having signalling nearly as old. We've only just got new colourlight signalling on one line.. You really think they would rip that up that soon? Things change slowly on the railway, it's the nature of the beast. It's a reactivate industry not a proactive industry.
Hades;30486149 said:
What a stupid and uneducated reply! (it's easy to be flippant with words).
I'm sure there are training and safety requirements. But if the cost to the economy of a days tube strike is as high as has been banded about in the past then it does make sense to pay a company to have people on standby (or as mentioned the army who stand in for firefighters occasionally). Who would train them? Either the same people who train current staff or simply go abroad for the training. But it won't be necessary soon due to automation.
I suspect that driverless trains are closer than you would like to think. I doubt you will make it to retirement if technology advances in other areas are anything to go by. It appears from your reply that you are a train driver so I guess your opinion is clouded by that. While the job is no doubt harder than I would imagine, at the end of the day it's pushing a few buttons and handles with automatic safety mechanisms to step in if needed. If we can get driverless cars working soon then replacing train drivers is relatively simple. The DLR is a good example.
The impediment to automation is actually the current drivers and the union, not a technology one I suspect.
I'm a driver yes, but relatively new to the industry so I'm not totally clouded by that. I've lived in the real world and worked other jobs..looked at the rail industry from the outside as an enthusiast and I still only scratched the service with understanding the depth and complexity of it. So I'd not say I'm that clouded.
You still don't understand what I'm saying. If a driver hasn't driven a route in 6 months he has to be refreshed.
If there are these standby drivers how many will there be? You saw the number I quoted and that's just for one company.
So there's 10 years between strikes, how will the standby drivers stay competent? How do you keep that many drivers competent in the traction, the routes, and the rulebook,( our equivalent of the highway code but much much bigger)which updates every 6 months with ammendments and new rules.
You've also got local instructions that they'd have to be refreshed on.
At my depot we have 4 instructors and 80 drivers. Those instructors are normal drivers who also instruct so you really think they'd train all these standby drivers? It would take years and why would they agree to it?
How can training be done abroad? Our trains are here. Our routes are here.
As I said we're about to get a whole new fleet of trains and they're struggling wondering how they can train everyone on them while also covering the jobs. That alone is a logistical nightmare and a reason why we're taking on more drivers. It will take a long time to train a few thousand drivers on entirely new trains. It's never been done before on any other company and that's just the trains/traction training people who are already drivers and competent in everything else.
Hope this makes more sense.