Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar
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Also leaning towards it being Ukraine, as 1) a test of Defence response 2) a reminder to Russia that they are not immune 3) to make RUF AA operators even more jumpy and shoot down more of their own.
But honestly, I have no clue. Too little info.
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Trying to apply logic in this circumstance is a fools errand with the lack of information we have so all conclusions are variably viable.
For domestic consumption, not that they have much say really as dissent is clamped down on but still - Putin still likes to sell the image of him doing the will of the people in this case taking measures against Ukraine in response to the drone attacks.
It's considered good for domestic consumption that Moscow was attacked by drones? I think the answer might just be that the people they're fighting a war against, or people aligned with them, attacked their capital city
Why? Because having a populace on your side is much easier to work with than forcing them to do your bidding.
Why would it be considered good for domestic consumption? it is about manipulating domestic opinion.
Becasusae these circumstances are ideal for propaganda purposes.
I am not a fan of crying 'false flag' whenever something bad happens, and I believe real false flags are vanishingly rare. I don't know if this was one or not; I'm waiting for more evidence to emerge. But Russia does have form for lethal false flag operations. so it is within the realm of possibility.
'How false flag operations work and Russia's history of using them.'
Until a credible intelligence agency weighs in it's a bit in the air.
On one hand this being a false flag is believable as it would greatly benefit Russia, because they're losing and nothing bar full mobilisation is going to turn the tide for them at this point and Putin needs something like that to justify it.
On the other hand this being a genuine Ukrainian attack is also believable as it would benefit Ukraine, if it was them and they deny it most people will believe it's a false flag and the louder Russia claim it isn't the more people people will be sure it is, if Ukraine believe Putin is certain to call for full mobilisation eventually then it's in their favour to trigger it sooner rather than later as the wests interest in this war is vast but not infinite (if anyone doubts that, just tell me what's happening in the Syrian civil war or in Libya right now without Googling).
I can tell you what is going on in Syria without Googling - but never really followed Libya much and haven't seen anything much about it in ages.
In an interview with NatSec Daily after his Ukraine trip, Lindsey Graham says Zelensky's team gave him an overview of Ukraine's plans and Lindsey described that the Russians are in for a rude awakening with a pretty impressive display of power
However in the same interview when asked if he thinks Ukraine will be able to kick Russia completely out of its territory with this offensive, he pulled back and said it's more likely that the Ukrainians would be able to liberate some important locations and not necessarily totally remove the Russians.
However in the same interview when asked if he thinks Ukraine will be able to kick Russia completely out of its territory with this offensive, he pulled back and said it's more likely that the Ukrainians would be able to liberate some important locations and not necessarily totally remove the Russians.
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If this is a genuine Ukrainian attack, it's a humiliating blow for Russia.
Soldato
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For the same reason Putin blew up apartment blocks in Moscow killing civilians to justify starting the Chechen war. If it serves his purpose he will do it without hesitation.
For several reasons.
1 it galvanises support at home, and increases the number of outaged people who will then join up
2. there is a solid faction in the US that do not want to give any more aid to Ukraine, one of the reasons they give is that if Ukraine pushes russia too far it’ll be ww3. Therefore Russia being attacked by Ukraine feeds right into that.
3.it removes some of the moral high ground from Ukraine by blaming them. Look, they attack civilians too. I told you were were victims of NATO Nazis..
One of the biggest reasons why Ukraine is winning atm is support from the West. Erode that and it becomes a lot harder for Ukraine…For the sake of a few scorched buildings and cheap drones.. Bargain..
It could be Ukraine. It could be a false flag operation.
Is there any chance it could also be Russians aligned with those groups fighting with Ukraine against Putin?
E: I'm not sure how we'll ever know for certain
Is there any chance it could also be Russians aligned with those groups fighting with Ukraine against Putin?
E: I'm not sure how we'll ever know for certain
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