Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

[Mr Jack]

I wonder what that non standard ammunition the US are considering selling to Ukraine is.

Since it's described as "not conforming to NATO standards" could it be as simple as ammo that fits in Soviet spec weapons that doesn't fit in NATO weapons.

 

[dowie]

Could honestly be SOF with the 600's or even C4, mechanical fault brought about through sanctions, consequence of a hack or any number of dumb reasons in a country that barely functions.

E: Although it's impossible to verify there's a video that sounds very much like a missile has hit it, so possibly a captured Iskander, HIMARS cruise missile or perhaps Ukraine has finally brought it's Hrim-2 online.

I did wonder that re: some of these fires, have control systems been hacked etc.. ditto to the flood/gates failure.

I suspect that this one is a missile strike or drone (not the small loitering variety though - more like Bayraktar).

 

[Turn]

Past 30mins:
*On April 21, A Fire Broke Out At The Russian Aerospace Forces Research Institute, Killing 17 People, Five Of Whom Have Been Identified
*Russian Foreign Ministry: Declares 40 German Diplomatic Staff Personae Non Gratae
*Russian Foreign Ministry: Does Not See Any Risk Of Escalation In Transnistria
*Russian Foreign Ministry: Deputy Minister Ryabkov Has Met US Ambassador To Russia
*Russian Foreign Ministry: Ryabkov And Sullivan Discussed Bilateral Issues

Spoiler: *Five Killed In Russian Rocket Strikes In Ukraine's Vinnytsia Region — Local Officials — RTRS

Spoiler: *Ukraine's State Security Service Denies Russian Allegation That It Planned To Kill Russian Journalist — RTRS

*Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan Plans To Hold Telephone Talks With Russian President Vladimir Putin In The Near Future, A Haber TV Reported

 

[Rilot]

Since it's described as "not conforming to NATO standards" could it be as simple as ammo that fits in Soviet spec weapons that doesn't fit in NATO weapons.

Yeah, it will be 7.62x54R, 7.62x39, 12.7x108 and 5.45x39. None of which are NATO standard but fit the small-arms that Ukraine fields such as the AKM, AK74, SVD63 and DShK.

 

[Turn]

*Russia Says It Will Open A Humanitarian Corridor For Civilians To Leave Azovstal Plant In Mariupol On Monday — Interfax
*Sputnik: Russian Troops And Donetsk Troops Stopped Combat Operations Near The Azov Steel Plant

Spoiler: *Ukrainian Presidential Adviser: Russia Continues to Attack Mariupol Steel Plant Where Fighters Are Holed Up — RTRS

*Uniper Spokesperson: We Believe Can Continue To Make Payments In Accordance With Sanctions

More detailed:

Spoiler: *Uniper: 'Possible to pay for Russian gas while complying with sanctions' - via RTRS

*Russian Foreign Ministry: Unfriendly Actions Against Russians Will Not Go Unanswered, Response Could Include Asset Seizures In Russia — RIA
*Russian First Deputy Envoy to U.N: Russia Sees No Point in Ceasefire in Ukraine at the Moment — RIA
*Russian First Deputy Envoy to U.N: Russia Believes Kyiv May Use Ceasefire to Stage Provocations — RIA
*Russian First Deputy Envoy to U.N: Russia Has Not Struck Residential Areas of Ukraine’s Odesa — TASS
*Putin: Consumer Demand Is Declining After Surge In March

Spoiler: *ECB’s de Cos: War in Ukraine Has Intensified Upside Risks to Inflation in Near Term — RTRS

*ECB’s de Cos: Economic Situation in Euro Area Will Crucially Depend on How Conflict in Ukraine Evolves, on Impact Current Sanctions and on Possible Further Measures
*ECB’s de Cos: Even Though ECB’s Central Scenario Remains One of Gradual Convergence to 2% Inflation Target Over Medium Term, War Has Intensified the Upside Risks to Inflation Path, Especially In Near Term
*ECB’s de Cos: Risks to Medium-Term Inflation Outlook Include Above-Target Moves in Inflation Expectations, Higher Thananticipated Wage Rises and a Durable Worsening of Supply-Side Conditions
*ECB’s de Cos: Negative Effect of the Conflict and Associated Uncertainty Surrounding the Euro Area’s Economic Growth Could Reduce Inflationary Pressures in The Medium Term
*ECB’s de Cos: Long-Term Expectations on Inflation in Euro Zone Have Recently Moved Upwards, but Stand Around The ECB’s Target
*ECB’s de Cos: Stance That Justify Gradualism in Future Interest Rate Hikes Takes Into Account Currently Moderate Wage Growth

*U.S. Energy Secretary Granholm: Oil and Gas Production Is Increasing — CNBC
*U.S. Energy Secretary Granholm: It Will Continue to Increase
*U.S. Energy Secretary Granholm: There Is No Doubt That We Have To Replace Supply That Was Pulled Off Because Of Russian Invasion Of Ukraine
*U.S. Energy Secretary Granholm: 1 To 1.5 Million Barrels Of Russian Oil Off Market
*Turkish Defense Minister Akar Will Attend Tomorrow's Meeting On Ukraine In Germany

*Russian Ambassador To The US: Russian Diplomats Were Forced To Leave The Country In June, Which Will Have A Major Impact On The Work Of The Russian Embassy In The US

 

[woppy101]

Yeah, it will be 7.62x54R, 7.62x39, 12.7x108 and 5.45x39. None of which are NATO standard but fit the small-arms that Ukraine fields such as the AKM, AK74, SVD63 and DShK.

I’m presuming it will be 152mm artillery shells as well as NATO standard is 155mm

 

[Washout]

I am curious what the Ukrainian plan is for dealing with the two bridges (Kherson and Nova Kakhovka) which can't really be traversed without risking getting trapped on the other side, but it would also work against Russian forces to lose those bridges as it would effectively end their ability to retake that city and makes the plan to capture Odessa/connect with Transnistria practically impossible to achieve

Does allow both forces to focus on the Donbas however which probably isn't in Ukraine's interest but I suppose we'll see soon enough what their counteroffensive is.

They blew up a command post near there recently killing two generals along with who knows how many senior staff. Hopefully Russians won't be thinking too much other than to get out of dodge if they're pushed out. If Ukraine can push them south/east the Russians may need to go quite far as the land is pancake flat so with no towns for cover they'll be picked off if they try to siege Kherson from the south. Hope so anyway, otherwise Kherson could get a lot of artillery thrown on it.

Who knows, with the new toys there could be a rout of retreating forces and they leave all the heavy stuff behind collapsing the whole southern offensive paving the way to Melitopol and then Mariupol. IF they can push them out of Kherson

 

[Turn]

*UK Defence Minister Wallace: UK Estimates 15,000 Russian Troops Killed In Ukraine
*UK Defence Minister Wallace: We Will Give Small Number Of Armoured Vehicles To Ukraine, Fitted With Launchers

Spoiler: *Britain to Send Stormer Armoured Vehicles to Ukraine — RTRS

https://www.parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/dfa3dd63-f1dd-4a9d-9ae9-0cd8ad647777

*US President Biden: Feel Good About French Eleciton, Will Speak W/ Macron
*US President Biden: Blinken, Austin Trip 'Went Good'
*US President Biden: Will Speak With France's Macron On Monday

Spoiler: *Finland, Sweden To Begin NATO Application In May, Local Media Reports — RTRS

*Russian Rouble Hits Near 2-Year High Versus Euro

 

[StriderX]

From a Ukrainian tech site so not sure whether to trust it but whatever.

Moskva

Moskva's helicopter

 

[bingham67]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1518591504499023873

How does one get away with flying a drone undetected in Russian territory ooops.

 

[lookitsjonno]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1518591504499023873

How does one get away with flying a drone undetected in Russian territory ooops.

Keep low, in the dead of night

 

[Andrew_McP]

Keep low, in the dead of night

Nah, after the (alleged) Moskva distraction, orders have come down the chain of command to ignore TB2s. Nobody's catching those tactical geniuses out twice with the same trick!

 

[Minstadave]

Keep low, in the dead of night

Pretty gangsta. I love the ingenuity of the Ukrainians. Great cost:benefit rautio on these hits (Moskva/Fuel depots/missile factory).

 

[Turn]

*Explosions Reported Near Government Building In Moldova's Breakaway Region Of Transdniestria — TASS Cites TV

 

[lookitsjonno]

Pretty gangsta. I love the ingenuity of the Ukrainians. Great cost:benefit on these hits.

It's great that they are using the TB2's for strategic targets, wonder who's supplying them with the intel

 

[Minusorange]

From a Ukrainian tech site so not sure whether to trust it but whatever.

Moskva

Moskva's helicopter

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1518603363927138304

He could be wrong but his expertise seems to be all things naval

 

[Turn]

*Explosions Reported Near Government Building In Moldova's Breakaway Region Of Transdniestria — TASS Cites TV

Spoiler: *Blasts Tear Through State Security HQ in Moldova’s Breakaway Region — TSV — RTRS

*Russian Ambassador To US: Russian Embassy Maintains Close Contact With U.S. Secret Service On Ensuring The Security Of The Embassy And Consulates
*Russian Foreign Ministry: About 400 Russian Diplomats Have Been Expelled From 28 Western Countries Since Russia Launched A Special Military Operation In Ukraine

*Kazakh President, Chinese Defense Minister Agree To Strengthen Military Cooperation

 

[StriderX]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1518603363927138304

He could be wrong but his expertise seems to be all things naval

I am certainly sceptical.

 

[bris]

Having said that, the helicopter attack in Belgorod was a Russian false flag operation, so this could be Russia trying to whip up the nation ready for declaring all out war.

Not a chance, they will not false flag their only real source of income. Right now it's the oil that is keeping them afloat.

They would rather kill a thousand of their citizens for a false flag operation, they are pretty ruthless.

 

[Turn]

*Ukraine's Military Command: Russian Strikes On Railways Intended To Disrupt Arms Supplies To Ukraine From Foreign Partners