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Poll: Winter 2021/22 - Will we see lots of snow?

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by Neil79, 1 Sep 2021.

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What will we see this winter?

  1. Snow blizzards and minus 50 degrees

    60 vote(s)
    16.9%
  2. Drizzle and wind

    229 vote(s)
    64.3%
  3. Hurricane Pancakes

    61 vote(s)
    17.1%
  4. Highest xxxx since records began

    70 vote(s)
    19.7%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Diddums

    Capodecina

    Joined: 24 Oct 2012

    Posts: 21,390

    Location: London

  2. Jean-F

    Mobster

    Joined: 14 Apr 2017

    Posts: 3,309

    Location: London

    You can have my share, it looks okay in Manhattan, (from Central Park South as far as TriBeCa), and it’s okay on Christmas cards, and that’s about it.
     
  3. Rroff

    Man of Honour

    Joined: 13 Oct 2006

    Posts: 79,257

    Monday looks potentially interesting for those on higher ground in the North depending how it pans out. Some high ground individually could see extreme amounts of snowfall.
     
  4. moon man

    Mobster

    Joined: 17 Nov 2003

    Posts: 3,968

    Location: St Breward Cornwall

    That's a hell of a cutting wind today, avoided the hail so far

    [​IMG]
     
  5. xb8browney

    Soldato

    Joined: 19 May 2005

    Posts: 6,585

    I've been using this for years.
     
  6. Jean-F

    Mobster

    Joined: 14 Apr 2017

    Posts: 3,309

    Location: London

    I’m well aware that there’s a place named Camelford in Cornwall, used to see the signs for it when I was trucking oil into Indian Queens Power Station, but I really hoped that sign referred to Camels learning to water ski.
     
  7. Semple

    Sgarrista

    Joined: 5 Mar 2010

    Posts: 9,438

  8. moon man

    Mobster

    Joined: 17 Nov 2003

    Posts: 3,968

    Location: St Breward Cornwall

    Yeah camelford is near me but not my favourite place, busy road going through it and i have never met a nice person from there.
    Camel ski is in Camel estuary, i park at polzeath and do a walk to Rock (Padstow on other side a 3 quid ferry away) and back, about 16k steps my phone says definitely blown cobwebs away today
     
  9. Blackjack Davy

    Soldato

    Joined: 16 Aug 2009

    Posts: 5,993

    Nice day today got a bit breezy as the afternoon went on. Had a frost last night I think thats the first of the winter its finally knocked the dahlias on the head they continue flowering until the frosts.
     
  10. moon man

    Mobster

    Joined: 17 Nov 2003

    Posts: 3,968

    Location: St Breward Cornwall

    Waking up to storm Barra, torrencial rain amd high winds looking quite nasty.
    Apparantly a bomb cyclone formimg out there and massive swell tomorrow, so going to head out early to the beach in full waterproofs (the sort some start threads on to walk to argos in;) ) it will be a blown out mess but i lile to see the power and get footage

    https://magicseaweed.com/news/swell-alert-next-weeks-european-meltdown/12636/
     
  11. tlrBeta

    Wise Guy

    Joined: 1 Jul 2008

    Posts: 2,072

    Location: Birmingham

    Nice walk though, lovely part of the UK :)
     
  12. bingham67

    Soldato

    Joined: 29 May 2005

    Posts: 7,087

    Location: Hertfordshire

    Saying a tornado warning
     
  13. Ayahuasca

    Capodecina

    Joined: 23 Apr 2014

    Posts: 24,487

    Location: Huem

    Let me guess, the express? Next thing they'll be saying the wind is bringing the migrants over quicker.
     
  14. moon man

    Mobster

    Joined: 17 Nov 2003

    Posts: 3,968

    Location: St Breward Cornwall

    Yeah some amazing walks here, i used to go to Haworth and the dales when i lived up north but it always involved a nasty drive, you just need to know the quiet spots in summer when its crazy busy
    Wild out there now, major hail Storm
     
  15. Rroff

    Man of Honour

    Joined: 13 Oct 2006

    Posts: 79,257

    Very little of interest on the models in the next little while - some interesting stuff evolving in the predictions for the 24th onwards but far too far out to be reliable (EDIT: Also best described as anomalous so actual outcome could be relatively random).

    If it came off like the models are hinting there would be significant cold pushed out over the UK and Scandinavia into the new year but I think talk of a pattern change, etc. is vastly premature.
     
  16. Blackjack Davy

    Soldato

    Joined: 16 Aug 2009

    Posts: 5,993

    Basically rain, mild rain, rain and more mild and more rain. So just like every year, wonder if it'll be the traditional pre xmas flooding as well.
     
  17. Rroff

    Man of Honour

    Joined: 13 Oct 2006

    Posts: 79,257

    I don't know enough to understand it - not sure anyone really can say with any certainty - but the latest model updates has less typical pattern warming of the stratosphere over the arctic at the end of the run - the question is how it evolves and what the strato-troposphere connection would be.

    That assumes it will hold up on subsequent model runs but if so it will almost certainly produce extremes of weather somewhere of some sort.

    There is also suggestion the jet will be pushed well south of us around that time which tends to help with regard to cold weather.
     
  18. kinetic747

    Mobster

    Joined: 2 Apr 2006

    Posts: 2,970

    I used to take quite an interest in weather modelling, albeit passively, but it stirs up such irrational behaviour in those who have it as a hobby that I gave up. An example would be the "winter is over" calls after a poor set of runs in November followed by "there's a 1963 flavour about it" after a favourable set. Honestly it's quite bizarre. :confused:
     
  19. Rroff

    Man of Honour

    Joined: 13 Oct 2006

    Posts: 79,257

    I skim TWO, Netweather, etc. forums but don't bother getting involved, it really does get quite odd and sadly at times bitter which is a shame because some really do have a deep understanding but utterly incapable of constructive and educational dialogue with those of lesser knowledge or taking onboard where they could build on someone else's understanding, etc. etc.
     
  20. moon man

    Mobster

    Joined: 17 Nov 2003

    Posts: 3,968

    Location: St Breward Cornwall

    Sticking with my original drizzle and wind, the wind has been the standout thing, bit of a reprieve today, may even get in the ocean (still on my very long sick leave) may try Newquay, always afew surf schools out and i like company
    Back to 40mph plus tomorrow