Ask yourself that, all we don this forum when it comes to this matter are guessing games, it's lolworty if you think your understanding of US foreign policy is good enough to have an opinion that is more credible than any other poster here.
I doubt my opinion is any more credible than yours, what confuses me is why you'd post your opinion in the first place if you don't wish to discuss it. Just seems like a bit of a waste of time?
That said you don't need to be an expert in US foreign policy to understand the economic effects of an oil price spike.