Winter Thread - 2015/16 Rain or Snow ?

Neil79

Neil79

Neil79

Caporegime
Joined
8 Sep 2006
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Well this is the latest winter thread, of which we've been doing for the last 5 years on OCUK! Last winter was a complete bust, even though places in NE europe had a huge surge in snow coverage and the OPI was very negative, it turned out to be a snowless winter for many parts of the UK. ( Not all but most )

So here we are with some early starters..

So with July 2015 collecting figures of -1.08 on the AO index and a huge -3.14 on the NAO index, this puts 2015 the same category as 50,62,09 which all had very cold winters. 2015 would have to run against 65 years worth of data should it be mild and that wont be easy to do but its not impossible. Using historical analogues also shows a strange similarity between July 2009 & July 2015, especially for the North Atalntic and Europe.
Click to expand...

http://www.chorleyweather.com/strong-arctic-summer-heights-linked-to-cold-uk-winter/

I would expect that once this developing cool anticyclonic episode comes and goes, the rest of the autumn could become stormy due to interactions between a depressed jet stream and the remnants of the cold pool in the east-central North Atlantic. That may partially disrupt the cold pool but if the feature remains even 50% as robust as it is now, I think the winter could be an exciting mixture of stormy and cold blocking episodes. Will post a winter forecast around the usual time (for me) of mid-October.
Click to expand...

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/72635-the-seasonal-forecast-thread/page-36
 
Sticks finger in air, looks at crystal ball Twill be dry and cold with the occasional shower. Don't place your bets for a white Christmas.
 
I want a really cold winter with lot's of snow -- Need to get some use out of my winter tyres before I wear them out :(:(

Also my heating oil was half what it cost last year so can put it on for 6 days a week instead of the 3 a week last winter :p:p
 
No snow please, unless it's on the mountains in some ski resort.

Snow is just a massive pain in the ***.
 
I reckon sometimes it will be raining, sometimes not raining, sometimes cloudy, sometimes sunny, may be a bit of snow, may be not, often cold, sometimes not very, windy and not windy.
 
Seen a few suggestions that it is tracking similar to 1885/86 winter.

Seems current predictions are mostly for wetter, stormy conditions in the early half and a brief cold snap possibly with snow towards the end.
 
There will be no more winters. I should know, my dad kills them for a living! :D

Would love a big dumping of the white stuff though.
 
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