Does something need to be done about dogs?

My objection is that you're assuming their breed defines their behaviour, and that being genetically similar will result in uniform behaviour.
Genes do define behaviour, but not in the ways you assume, imply and infer.

I didn't claim that though, you're confused by uncertainty yet again. See also your comment about them not being clones.

Even siblings with almost identical genes can have vastly different behavioural traits.

You're getting confused again with individuals and groups.

Fun Fact: Herding is a highly heritable trait in certain breeds, but the trainability that makes a Collie type so good as a herding breed is not highly heritable.

You're now contradicting yourself! So breeds can be associated with certain traits after all...
 
I didn't claim that though, you're confused by uncertainty yet again. See also your comment about them not being clones.
I refer you to my previous comments on your assertions of genetic closeness - So what, it doesn't mean anything about their behaviour.

You're getting confused again with individuals and groups.
Not at all. The degree of variance is the same, whether individual, within breed or between breed, which you'll know from reading your own cited study, as well as those others that reference it.
What differs is the estimate of heritability, which varies more between breeds, but also means there are different breeds with the same heritability of those traits.

You're now contradicting yourself! So breeds can be associated with certain traits after all...
Of course breeds can be associated with certain behaviours, and they often are when a siginificant percentage of them have been selectively bred to successfully inherit those behaviours - That's what pedigree breeding is all designed around.
But heritability does not influence inheritance even within pedigree dogs, and breed does not define behaviour - At best, it works the other way around, but even then that perspective is limited to those individuals that conform to breed standard, which is where your study fell short.

Moreover, while specific breeds may be associated with certain traits, that doesn't mean all or even half of them are really like that, and sometimes the association is quite unfounded.
Since you seem to like Border Collies, I'll use those as an example - Some people will assert that they are very easy to train, while others will argue that they are one of the most difficult dogs to train, and both cite their supposed intelligence as the reason... Which do you think is true, and why?

The reality is that both are true, and neither are down to the dogs' intelligence or some breed-specific behavioural trait.
 
Let's put aside the obvious individual vs groups stats fail, you're also once again confused by uncertainty, back to this point as we seem to be getting somewhere.

Of course breeds can be associated with certain behaviours, and they often are when a siginificant percentage of them have been selectively bred to successfully inherit those behaviours - That's what pedigree breeding is all designed around.

LOL FFS!

So you're actually admitting the very thing you've been arguing against, or do you just think none of that applies to XL bullies? Or is it just the hang-up you have when there's some uncertainty present?

You understand that this breed of dog tends to have behavioural traits that are useful for herding sheep right?
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But you're in total denial that this breed of dog, descended from fighting dogs, might have behavioural traits that pose a greater risk of injury or death to people and other dogs? That's despite the empirical evidence demonstrating the disproportional deaths and your own confusion as to why other strong dogs aren't banned...
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Just a hint but maybe, just maybe this isn't monocausal! Despite the common, it's bad owners claims perhaps a combination of physical and behavioural characteristics are at play here too!
 
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Let's put aside the obvious individual vs groups stats fail, you're also once again confused by uncertainty, back to this point as we seem to be getting somewhere.
No, let's carry on with that idea, as you're continually showing that you have not read or understood your own source material...

So you're actually admitting the very thing you've been arguing against, or do you just think none of that applies to XL bullies? Or is it just the hang-up you have when there's some uncertainty present?
None of the above.
Even if you limit your measure to just pedigree examples of the breed, you'll find a large fraction of them that don't exhibit the behaviours associated with them. Include the non-pedigree purebreds and the variance widens. Increase your measure to cover the entire genetic breed and you'll see the within-breed variance is roughly equal to that of between-breeds.

This was all explained in your study and in the others I posted.

What you're ignoring is the reasons for the dogs' behaviours, which is why you need to understand inheritance and heritability, as explained in your study.

You understand that this breed of dog tends to have behavioural traits that are useful for herding sheep right?
You understand that it's not the herding traits that make it useful, but its low-heritable environmental malleability, right?
You understand that it's this same malleability that make it so problematic to train, right?

But you're in total denial that this breed of dog, descended from fighting dogs, might have behavioural traits that pose a greater risk of injury or death to people and other dogs?
Yes.
The dog has certain physical characteristics that make it very dangerous when subjected to the wrong conditions, but that's environmental not genetic. Many other animals have this, too, and other breeds of dog would present even greater danger under those same conditions.

That's despite the empirical evidence demonstrating the disproportional deaths and your own confusion as to why other strong dogs aren't banned...
I know exactly why they're not banned, and even detailed the reasons above.
I'm not the one confused... The Dowie doth protest too much, methinks.

Just a hint but maybe, just maybe this isn't monocausal! Despite the common, it's bad owners claims perhaps a combination of physical and behavioural characteristics are at play here too!
Attacks and deaths happen with various different breeds of dog, with all their various highly-heritable genetic traits between those breeds.
The one common and sole controlling factor in all incidents is the human on (or not on) the other end of the leash.
 
Just got this email..
More information about the ban on XL Bullies
 
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Even if you limit your measure to just pedigree examples of the breed, you'll find a large fraction of them that don't exhibit the behaviours associated with them.

You're all over the place with this... as suspected, confused by the presence of uncertainty yet again, even when challenged directly it's back to the multi quotes and deflection. So you accept that (pedigree) breed can, in fact, be associated with behavioural traits after all that protesting, but you're still in denial that XL Bullies might even though they're also genetically similar...

Highlighting that some individual dogs may vary is missing the point here completely when I'm referring to the breed as a whole. That some collies aren't good at herding sheep doesn't negate that the breed overall is a good choice for farmers. That some individual XL Bullies may be totally fine family dogs doesn't negate the risk overall from the breed which is clearly disproportionately high vs other dogs.
 
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Came in here after 175 pages looking for sense and it seems @dowie is one of few displaying it. Congrats. No idea what @ttaskmaster is even talking about. You're just arguing with yourself?

However I would LOVE to pick up on your last comment: "Attacks and deaths happen with various different breeds of dog, with all their various highly-heritable genetic traits between those breeds." Now imagine a graph where every single breed is listed with their attacks/deaths. Golden retriever is on there, ferocious breed that. But, in all seriousness, there's probably one or two attacks for sure out of how many tens/hundreds of thousands in society.

The causation between the highest versus the lowest will be owners for sure, but ONLY because the breed is either bred for or well suited to such behaviour.

Guess what, knuckle dusters cause more injuries than tea spoons. Can you kill someone with a tea spoon? Yup. Are they banned? Nope. Are knuckle dusters banned? Absolutely. The causation between suitability and idiot is why breeds like XL Bullys should be banned. It's why knives are banned and why guns are banned. None of these things can kill anyone without an idiot at the other end, but the correlation is strong enough to warrant a ban.
 
For me it simply boils down to basic probability; when you look at the evidence and what's actually happening in real life - the probability of this specific breed causing serious problems, is far higher than any other breed.

The problem is two fold,

1 - These dogs are disproportionatly more aggressive, have low tolerance levels and have a tendancy to kick off, they're also very large and heavy - very difficult to survive an attack from one.

2- Due to the lack of any real meaningful legislation around dog ownership, or enforcement of any common sense laws (or any laws for that matter), combined with this breed becoming fashionable has created a situation where the problem has spiraled out of control, authority has dropped the ball and regrettably a number of people have been killed (including children) and seriously injured.


Part of me thinks that this problem could have been solved by effective government; having rules and enforcement in place to ensure powerful breeds like this, are either not imported in the first place, or strictly controlled.

Another part of me is just sad (as a lover of large breeds) it's led to this totally stupid situation of healthy dogs being dumped at rescue centres, given away to randomers or abandoned at the sides of roads.

But for me, in the final analysis - this 'breed' shouldn't have ever been created in the first place, it's a ghastly abomination - created only to terrify people, it was a bloody stupid idea and the breed should never have come here.

They've got to go.
 
You're all over the place with this... as suspected, confused by the presence of uncertainty yet again, even when challenged directly it's back to the multi quotes and deflection.
I am not confused. Perhaps if you actually read what was written, you would also not be confused...
As for the multi-quotes - You frequently base your argument on several conflated premises, each of which must be separated out to address the flaws in them.

So you accept that (pedigree) breed can, in fact, be associated with behavioural traits after all that protesting, but you're still in denial that XL Bullies might even though they're also genetically similar...
I thought you were a master of numeracy and statistical analysis?
Any breed, pedigree or not, can be "associated with" something. That does not mean there is a causal relationship, and most such associations are little more than sterotyping and myth. As highlighted in just about every study thus far - Breed does not define behaviour. Neither does breeding, to any degree of predictability.

Again what bearing, if any, do you imagine 'genetically similar' actually has on dog behaviour?

Highlighting that some individual dogs may vary is missing the point here completely when I'm referring to the breed as a whole.
I'm highlighting that a large percentage of dogs do not conform. In the case of the Border Collie, pedigree dogs are outnumbered about 9 to 1 by their non-pedigree brethren. In the case of farmers, they choose from a relatively small selection of lineages, primarily because being genetically good at herding is not the defining factor of a good sheepdog.
So as a whole, the breed overall is not actually that good at sheepherding and, overall, is not a good choice for farmers.

Labradors, the breed most "associated with" being excellent Guide Dogs - Of all Labs, only some are bred for this duty and only some of those are actually chosen for training. Of those, only 50-60% pass.
So as a whole, Labs overall are not actually that good as Guide Dogs.

GSDs, most "associated with" Police dogs - Of the few that make it to training, up to 70% fail.
So as a whole, GSDs overall are not actually that good as Police dogs.

Highlighting that some individual dogs may be good at, or "associated with" something is simply misrepresenting the breed as a whole. Congratulations, you've made the same first mistake as many prospective dog owners.


That some individual XL Bullies may be totally fine family dogs doesn't negate the risk overall from the breed which is clearly disproportionately high vs other dogs.
That is merely the assumption that the risk is the breed itself, rather than the type of owners most attracted to it.

No idea what @ttaskmaster is even talking about. You're just arguing with yourself?
Most of it is in reference to previous posts and studies, both of which Dowie has refused to read and understand.

Now imagine a graph where every single breed is listed with their attacks/deaths. Golden retriever is on there, ferocious breed that. But, in all seriousness, there's probably one or two attacks for sure out of how many tens/hundreds of thousands in society.
We still don't have precise data on all those factors, for either the American Bully or the XL Bully sub-type.
Some dogs have higher incidents of attacks resulting in serious injury, but few (if any) kills, while others have almost exclusively kills. Whether either is worse could be debated, but they tend to be considered separately depending on the agendas being argued.

The causation between the highest versus the lowest will be owners for sure, but ONLY because the breed is either bred for or well suited to such behaviour.
In all incidents where the context of the incident circumstances can be determined, regardless of breed or dog type, the one thing that decided whether the incident happened or not was human negligence.
Studies of these incidents conclude that almost every single incident was predictable and preventable.

None of these things can kill anyone without an idiot at the other end, but the correlation is strong enough to warrant a ban.
BMW cars are 'associated with' the most dangerous driving. The Toyota Prius has the highest statistical rate of accidents, even though the BMW is considered statistically more likely to have an accident.
But rather than banning both cars, we try to address the problem of the idiots behind the wheel.

The problem with bans is that they tend not to work, and people are just motivated to try and find ways around them. This is why we have such a high proportion of XL Bullys in the UK.

Part of me thinks that this problem could have been solved by effective government; having rules and enforcement in place to ensure powerful breeds like this, are either not imported in the first place, or strictly controlled.
The problem is that the dogs themselves often weren't imported. Instead semen was brought over and they were bred in the UK. It's how they used to get around similar such importation bans on stuff.

 
Can't get the quoting to work correctly:

I said: I agree with the first part, but thinking that addressing the human cause is ever going to happen is naive. So that leaves addressing the symptoms…

@ttaskmaster replied: It is what needs to happen, though, same as with most social issues. The fact that they rarely do get addressed is why so many of our problems persist.

You say that needs to happen, but we all know it's not going to. So what do you think the solution is for these dogs?
 
You say that needs to happen, but we all know it's not going to. So what do you think the solution is for these dogs?
Under such conditions, I don't think there is one.
People will continue to try and work around any laws or, especially if they're not enforced, outright ignore them.

Arguably, if the existing laws had been enforced properly, we might not have XLBs in the UK to begin with.
 
I'm not particularly interested in the fine detail here.

Two people have been killed by bully xls within 3 miles of my home in the last few years.

We can't ban bad owners, but I am very happy to see a ban on Bully XLs. I fully expect people to try to evade it, and equally horrible new breeds to be developed, but you have to start somewhere.
 
We can't ban bad owners, but I am very happy to see a ban on Bully XLs. I fully expect people to try to evade it, and equally horrible new breeds to be developed, but you have to start somewhere.
Why can't they bring in legislation that is the dog breeding equivalent of the pyschoactive substance act, that was brought in because clever chemists kept altering drug compositions ever so slightly to get around drugs being banned
 
As previously pointed out, and just as applicable to most of our other problems, nothing will really happen until the laws are actually enforced.

Agreed.

I posted way back that nuisance dog legislation has been inadequately enforced, and this is part of the problem.

I am happy with new legislation to ban these dangerous dogs. That will also need enforcing.
 
I'm not particularly interested in the fine detail here.

Two people have been killed by bully xls within 3 miles of my home in the last few years.

We can't ban bad owners, but I am very happy to see a ban on Bully XLs. I fully expect people to try to evade it, and equally horrible new breeds to be developed, but you have to start somewhere.

We banned pitbulls, this should have really been covered under that and/or could have been done years ago by adding the breed to the list it just took a lot of campaigning as people are continually in denial of the obvious here (as we can see in this thread too).
 
We banned pitbulls, this should have really been covered under that and/or could have been done years ago by adding the breed to the list it just took a lot of campaigning as people are continually in denial of the obvious here (as we can see in this thread too).

Yeah, I'm surprised they didn't just amend the original legislation. Easy enough to do with a statutory instrument.

A new law seems overkill.
 
Yeah, I'm surprised they didn't just amend the original legislation. Easy enough to do with a statutory instrument.

A new law seems overkill.

They are amending the original legislation it's just taken time to persuade them because of the various lobbying and dumb arguments re: muh bad owners. People are not good with data unfortunately thus we get the funny anomalies where say the RSPCA insurance arm can see the risk right away and refuses to insure them but the charity workers take a blank slate approach.
 
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