Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

mid_gen said:
Finding it very hard to decide what Trump is doing. Is he just an incompetent narcissist, in which case at some point he'll just do an about face on this tariff idiocy, fire someone, and blame them for it, and the markets will recover.

Or does he continue to wreak as much damage on the US as he possibly can during this last term, dismantle and break everything and properly tank the markets.

Both are equally likely, unfortunately. The only sane approach is to DCA, and make your buys on the red weeks.
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He wants to devalue the dollar so he can devalue the debt. However no one will buy the debt if that happens the US will lose its last AAA credit rating. The other issue is the debt to gdp ratio could go the wrong way if there is a recession. He’s risking a lot here and it could blow up their economy if it goes wrong.
 
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delta0 said:
He wants to devalue the dollar so he can devalue the debt. However no one will buy the debt if that happens the US will lose its last AAA credit rating. The other issue is the debt to gdp ratio could go the wrong way if there is a recession. He’s risking a lot here and it could blow up their economy if it goes wrong.
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The problem with this view is looking at America in isolation, you need to compare it to the alternatives. The cleanest shirt in the laundry springs to mind.
 
Trusty said:
The problem with this view is looking at America in isolation, you need to compare it to the alternatives. The cleanest shirt in the laundry springs to mind.
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And will the public really accept their money becoming worthless while the price of everything sky rockets
 
delta0 said:
And will the public really accept their money becoming worthless while the price of everything sky rockets
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Well as you know, it's been happening for the past 15 years. That's the decision we took, small reductions in purchasing power over a longer period of time rather than a depression. So no i don't think people like it. Will it increase? I think that's the only way the globe gets out of its soverign debt crisis, we'll infalte it away at a faster clip than previously. Higher taxes aren't palatable, serious austerity isn't palatable, growth isn't going to eclipse debt growth. So we inflate it.

But even after all that, cleanest shirt in the laundry still applies. Everyone will be doing it, so if everyone is doing it...and some parts of the world it'll be worse, the US is the only game in town. I hope Europe can sort itself out, it has so much potential, but it cant compete yet. And it'll get worse in Europe before it gets better
 
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delta0 said:
He wants to devalue the dollar so he can devalue the debt. However no one will buy the debt if that happens the US will lose its last AAA credit rating. The other issue is the debt to gdp ratio could go the wrong way if there is a recession. He’s risking a lot here and it could blow up their economy if it goes wrong.
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I don't know what people are smoking thinking there is some high level long term strategic thinking here that is in the best interests of the US.

It's a moron doing moronic things because he thinks a trade deficit means the US is being ripped off.
 
you dont need to be crazy, just dumb enough to think & beleive what your doing is correct 100%
you'd be surprised how easy it is to make people beleive your correct when you believe in your self 110% you are correct... (1st hand expirence with someone else)

there are other stock exchanges, and markets. would companies consider moving to different markets?
 
Companies may not always move, but people will sell their US stocks and buy others.

Which will de-value US companies. It's already happening, look at Tesla. They are panicking now as it's looking like the company may actually collapse.
 
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Nasher said:
Companies may not always move, but people will sell their US stocks and buy others.

Which will de-value US companies. It's already happening, look at Tesla. They are panicking now as it's looking like the company may actually collapse.
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Tesla earnings might be a wild ride this evening.
 
they have the us gov deal though that was disclosed a while back
www.bostonpoliticalreview.org

The US State Department’s $400 Million Tesla Contract

Elon Musk’s electric car company, Tesla, was recently listed as a top contender for a $400,000,000 State Department contract for armored Tesla vehicles. This has raised concerns with those inside and outside of government, as Musk is in charge of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), a...
www.bostonpoliticalreview.org www.bostonpoliticalreview.org

i admit im interested in what they release for this, i cant imagine its an updated existing model if its using glue..

although it could be argued the deal is to openly insider trading?
 
mid_gen said:
I don't know what people are smoking thinking there is some high level long term strategic thinking here that is in the best interests of the US.

It's a moron doing moronic things because he thinks a trade deficit means the US is being ripped off.
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A large trade deficit means your currency is going to foreigners which then use it to buy assets.

So if you have a huge trade deficit for years, then foreigners/foreign entities will own a larger % of local assets

75% of UK equities are owned by foreigners.

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heads up on intel :

breif outline
Intel plans to cut more than 20% of its workforce this week, marking the first major restructuring under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan, according to Bloomberg. The cuts aim to eliminate bureaucracy and restore an engineering-centric culture at the struggling chipmaker. This follows last year's reduction of approximately 15,000 positions, with Intel's headcount already down to 108,900 employees from 124,800 a year earlier.

The Santa Clara-based company has suffered three consecutive years of declining sales while losing technological ground to competitors, particularly Nvidia in the AI computing sector. Tan, who took over last month, has already begun divesting non-core assets, recently selling a 51% stake in Intel's programmable chips unit Altera to Silver Lake.

so expect stock price to drop some.
 
LostCorpse said:
heads up on intel :

breif outline
Intel plans to cut more than 20% of its workforce this week, marking the first major restructuring under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan, according to Bloomberg. The cuts aim to eliminate bureaucracy and restore an engineering-centric culture at the struggling chipmaker. This follows last year's reduction of approximately 15,000 positions, with Intel's headcount already down to 108,900 employees from 124,800 a year earlier.

The Santa Clara-based company has suffered three consecutive years of declining sales while losing technological ground to competitors, particularly Nvidia in the AI computing sector. Tan, who took over last month, has already begun divesting non-core assets, recently selling a 51% stake in Intel's programmable chips unit Altera to Silver Lake.

so expect stock price to drop some. rise
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FTFY
 
Well I got out of intel for a few % up and went into Rheinmetal. Im chasing another 8.6% gain to get me to +50% for the month.
 
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