Caporegime
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My wife and I are in the early stages of planning our honeymoon to Japan next April. We'll be going in the school easter holidays. Will there still be cherry blossom - 29th March to 12th April?
We need to plan what we want to do so we can book flights - a mate is going same time but is in and out from different airports based on his itinerary.
Pot luck. When it starts to bloom, it lasts about a week...if it rains...it gets washed away overnight. If it's windy, it gets blown away in an instant. Which is why they are so cherished and like a fleeting moment metaphors about life etc with them.
But the season lasts over a month (months), moving from South to Sorth. So if you arrived and it's just missed it, then you travel north. If you are too early, travel south. Before that there is peach blossoms, so you can see Pink blossom from February all the way down to May in Hokkaido area for Sakura.
Note that the area around Lake Kawaguchi blooms a little later, that area is cooler climate than the city of Tokyo, by like 2 weeks.
You can never guarantee but you can leave space in your travel plans to allow day trips to places that it will still have the Sakura around.
There is a VERY high chance that you will see it during those dates, yes.
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