F1 2015 predictions thread

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Caporegime
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Testing is done, so it's time to put your dignity on the line and rattle out some predictions.

I think the top slots are pretty easy this year:

1. Hamilton
2. Rosberg

The only thing that will stop that happening is a string of bad luck on Hamilton's behalf. The next slots are trickier, but I think the Williams has the edge and so Bottas will secure third.

3. Bottas

After that I think Ferrari will be close enough to take the 4th slot, but will it go to Kimi or Seb? Seb has the better record and Kimi had a poor last season however Seb seems to struggle in a midfield car and without the car being set up to favour Alonso's idiosyncratic style I think Kimi will bring it back again this year. Meanwhile I think Ricciardo's talent will be enough to secure 5th despite a car that's not even in the top three.

4. Kimi
5. Ricciardo

Moving on to the constructor front, the top slot is given, then Williams and Ferrari. I'm sure Red Bull will do enough to secure 4th and then I'm going to go out on a limb and predict McLaren outperform expectations and bring home a few decent race results in the latter part of the season:

1. Mercedes
2. Williams
3. Ferrari
4. Red Bull
5. McLaren
 
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Out of interest why is everyone playing down Red Bull as a prospect? Quite frequently outside the top 5 drivers and in the lower end of the top 5 teams? They got 3rd and 2nd respectively last year and have been fine in testing - as we already know, testing doesn't reveal who's actually faster (look at RB last year for example).

Yeah, it's possible that RBR will surprise us but on the basis of testing it looks like the Renault engine has gone backwards with respect to the Ferrari and Mercedes engines and with Newey stepping back from the day-to-day design role I'm expecting them to have a challenging year as they try and figure out how the team works now and I expect that to limit their ability to come back.

Also, James Allen has some figures from when they did full race sims which puts them in the order Williams-Ferrari-Red Bull.

Of course, as you say, teams can surprise us coming out of testing. In fact, I'd be surprised if at least one team didn't do that, but testing remains the best information we have.
 
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