Have a guess ....

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Just for fun ...... How many coins ?
It's a 4 pint jug which is overfilled, so more like 5 and a half.

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The actual amount of coins in the jug was £1380


The winner is ...... the darjeeling with 1377 :D

Here's an abstract character with your prize :D

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I wonder what the average of all the guesses is?

(I am not about to work it out just for now)

Wisdom of Crowds

TL;DR version

The classic wisdom-of-the-crowds finding involves point estimation of a continuous quantity. At a 1906 country fair in Plymouth, eight hundred people participated in a contest to estimate the weight of a slaughtered and dressed ox. Statistician Francis Galton observed that the median guess, 1207 pounds, was accurate within 1% of the true weight of 1198 pounds.[3] This has contributed to the insight in cognitive science that a crowd's individual judgements can be modelled as a probability distribution of responses with the mean centred near the true mean of the quantity to be estimated.

That's great but the eleventybillion and tree fiddy might throw it off slightly :D
 
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