House Prices / Interest Rates 2022 onwards

[Richie]

Recent news shows that house prices have increased YoY by the highest level since 2006.

BBC News - Average house price hits record high of £255,000
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-59826341

Now that interest rates are on the increase, do we think that there will be a big slowdown next year or will they keep rising at silly speeds?

How far will interest rates rise this year and do we think this will affect house prices?

The BoE have advised lenders to loosen the lending criteria for mortgages at the same time as starting an increase in interest rates so I really don't see how this will negatively affect house prices.

However we have rising inflation, horrendous fuel cost rises coupled with a 1.5% pay cut coming in April next year (NI increase) along with rising council tax as well, all limiting spending power.

It's going to be an interesting 2022

 

[Richie]

Having a crash may not help. It could result in people being in negative equity and effectively trapped in their current home unwilling or unable to sell which will reduce the supply and inflating the houses for sale due to increased demand.

 

[Richie]

It may be because of the term length... Affordability is to do with monthly payments rather than size of the loan i.e they will let you borrow more if over a longer period as payments are same as smaller loan over shorter period