Moore's Law officially kaput: 10nm postponed, only refresh for 2016

[Orangey]

http://www.kitguru.net/components/cpu/anton-shilov/intels-kaby-lake-to-replace-skylake-next-year/

Intel Corp. has changed its roadmap once again and delayed its code-named “Cannonlake” processors to an unknown date. Next year the company will introduce “Kaby Lake” processors made using 14nm FinFET process technology.

While the reasons why Intel decided to delay or even cancel “Cannonlake” processors are unknown, it is highly likely that motive behind the change of plans is the postponement of Intel’s 10nm fabrication process.

I do want to say I told you so, because it makes me look smart!

 

[Orangey]

It was never a "law" anyway. Just a supposition.

Exactly. But please tell that to the millions of people who spout it endlessly trying to sound smart, who tech sites then pander to.

 

[Orangey]

One of my favourites.

 

[Orangey]

There was a more important 'law' described by another, doubt it was Moore also.

It stated the same thing, but included revenue/profit into it, such that you could make a steady profit from the chips by the lowering of costs in creating them (higher yields).

However, we've reached an impasse, in that it costs many many billions of capitol for a rather small leap, Intel/TMSC/Samsung, whoever, can't justify it.

Recently watched a video where Jerry Sanders (AMD) was ribbing Moore about that ("eventually we will make everything for nothing") so it may have been an addendum he made to his own observation.