I need opinions, as I'm having an internal struggle figuring out what to do.
I purchased an MSI GeForce RTX 3080 Gaming X Trio, I was very disheartened to find out that I'm 862nd in the queue.. Now, paying attention to how much (how little) stock has come in, i can tell that I'd presumably be waiting until about January, maybe February to even get my hands on this card. Is there even any point in sitting in this queue like that? At some point, there's gotta be availability where a company isn't just trying to backfill orders for a lifetime.
Thoughts? Opinions? Perhaps I'm being rash and i need to just wait it out, but this feels like a loosing battle.
Thanks mates.
All of the UK e-tailers that carry them are honoring pre-orders first before the cards go into general availability, the few places that wont be taking preorders like more regular B&M electronics shops are going to have extremely tiny volumes, if any, and they'll be gone on their store in seconds. The odds of getting a card before the pre-order queues are done is essentially zero, even if you aggressively camp them. Some queues for other brands are shorter but it also looks like MSI are shipping greater volumes so switching into the back of another queue at this stage is at the very best a big gamble.
There's other arguments to be made for waiting for AMD and seeing what they produce, rumours so far put big navi slightly behind the 3080, and no news on price yet. However there's no reason to believe they're going to launch with loads of stock up front, all the supply chain problems hitting Nvidia will likely also hit AMD, plus I predict a bottleneck with TSMC as this launch coincides with both console launches so demand on their wafers is going to be at a premium.
Even considering all that, you can always cancel your OCUK pre-order at any time. So if you want to hunt around for other ways of getting the card or you want to jump on an AMD card then there's nothing stopping you from doing that as/when they come out and then simply cancelling your 3080 order afterwards. Bottom line is, the wait is painful, being in a queue sucks, but it's going to be the fastest way to get your hands on a new gen GPU, any cancelling now will mean you're just further back in an ever growing queue of people. But as you say, realistically you're not likely to get the card this year. We do know production is aggressively ramping up, and that golden week (start of this month) was a big delay in production, so we should start seeing bigger numbers soon and the queue moving faster.
Also being that far back in the queue means there's a lot of people ahead of you who are going to cancel and so your position is going to leap forward a lot faster than those people who are closer to the front of the queue. My rough calculations, it's about 10% people were cancelling last week given the official numbers reported in the OCUK queue for the MSI cards. So for every 100 positions you are in the queue you were gaining about +10 more places in the queue. I'm ~300 and gained 10 more places in the queue than those in the 100-200 range. And people in ~400 place were gaining +10 more positions than me, I kind of expect given that you're at ~800 you'd have leapt closer to +80 places more than those right near the front. And I also think we'll see a wave of cancellations when AMD launch from ****** off customers wanting to give the finger to Nvidia. As well as cancellations around Xmas time because I bet some people will want the better part of a £1000 back to spend. Having some patience with this is really going to pay off, come Jan/Feb time people in a long queue will have their cards and people who bailed will likely still face queues and long waits and probably be Q2 before they see their cards.