New CPDN Project - Were Recent UK Floods Due to Climate Change?

joeyjojo · 5 Mar 2014 at 12:05

After a couple of months without work there's a really interesting new project just launched at CPDN:

http://www.climateprediction.net/ne...-were-recent-uk-floods-due-to-climate-change/

I intend to keep up to date with the live results as they come in.

joeyjojo · 5 Mar 2014 at 14:29

MGP said:
In many respects it seems a little bit odd that, when concerned about the potential effects of carbon emissions affecting climate change, we are encouraged to increase said emissions for this project, by running our computers at 100% when they might otherwise be idling or even hibernating. Caught between rock and hard place.

Indeed, but without some forecasting it's impossible for policy makers to know how quickly emissions must be curbed, so the more modelling the better IMO.

joeyjojo · 10 Mar 2014 at 14:49

davev8app said:
I can tel you what the out come will be now ...it will be spending millions of tax payers money to scaremongering scientists wanting big fat research grants ...just like global warming is a load of tosh..which i have irrefutable prof

joeyjojo · 8 May 2014 at 22:33

In case people forgot about this, the results are pretty interesting.

Comparing numbers of extremely wet winters between these two groups provides estimates of the influence of climate change on the UK weather. We found that a 1-in-100-year winter rainfall event (ie. 1% risk of extreme rainfall in the winter of any given year) is now estimated to be a 1-in-80 year event (i.e. 1.25% risk of extreme rainfall in any given winter) so the risk of a very wet winter has increased by around 25%.

http://www.climateprediction.net/weatherathome/weatherhome-2014/results/