Left the power cord out of it over night, whacked it back in, nothing stayed shut down.
Soon as it's booted into windows the once, it's just refusing to stay shut down.
Just scouring event logs now.
Edit - Stripped out WiFi card, no improvement, full AV scan, nothing, checked windows power settings, no improvement, noticed that windows update pulled a few intel bits down yesterday I wouldn't have expected so I'm rolling back to a restore point now. The OS is pretty clean and empty though, it's been rebuilt last week.