Probability of Death !

This thread has been an interesting read. Trust me, the older you get, the more you start to consider your own mortality and how much time you have left on this planet. Time flies past. Whatever your age now, you'll be hitting 20, 30, 40, 50 etc before you know it.
 
JayMax said:
This thread has been an interesting read. Trust me, the older you get, the more you start to consider your own mortality and how much time you have left on this planet. Time flies past. Whatever your age now, you'll be hitting 20, 30, 40, 50 etc before you know it.
Click to expand...

Yep. I think its an interesting topic.. I hope i have many yrs left in me.. Life is good.

Von, I hope you get that depression sorted sir.
 
If anyone is interested in calculating probabilities, this can be done using the actual graduated life tables. Under the assumption that the table reasonably reflects your mortality risk.

The probability of a life aged x surviving t years is given as:

tPx = l_x/l_{x+t}

and the probability of a life aged x dying within t years is given as

tqx = 1 - tPx = 1 - l_x/l_{x+t}

A life aged x, surviving d years and then dying in the next t is given as:

d|tqx = dPx * tq_{x+d} = l_{x+d}/l_x * (1 - l_{x+d+p}/l_{x+d})
 
Last edited:
killari said:
If anyone is interested in calculating probabilities, this can be done using the actual graduated life tables. Under the assumption that the tables correctly reasonably reflects your mortality risk.

The probability of a life aged x surviving t years is given as:

tPx = l_x/l_{x+t}

and the probability of a life aged x dying within t years is given as

tqx = 1 - tPx = 1 - l_x/l_{x+t}

A life aged x, surviving d years and then dying in the next t is given as:

d|tPx = dPx * tq_{x+d} = l_{x+d}/l_x * (1 - l_{x+d+p}/l_{x+d})
Click to expand...

You just took off 2 years of my life when I banged my head repeatedly against my desk trying to figure out what the **** that just said.
 
Aedus said:
You just took off 2 years of my life when I banged my head repeatedly against my desk trying to figure out what the **** that just said.
Click to expand...

I noticed some typos.

Fixed.

And funnily enough I get that a lot when I try to explain to people what I do for a living. ;)
 
Last edited:
killari said:
If anyone is interested in calculating probabilities, this can be done using the actual graduated life tables. Under the assumption that the table reasonably reflects your mortality risk.

The probability of a life aged x surviving t years is given as:

tPx = l_x/l_{x+t}

and the probability of a life aged x dying within t years is given as

tqx = 1 - tPx = 1 - l_x/l_{x+t}

A life aged x, surviving d years and then dying in the next t is given as:

d|tqx = dPx * tq_{x+d} = l_{x+d}/l_x * (1 - l_{x+d+p}/l_{x+d})
Click to expand...

Yeah but i bet you can't tie your shoe laces.. :p
 
OP, i believe this is what your looking for. got it from QI:

1 in 48 million — Being burned alive whilst you sleep.
1 in 30 million — Being murdered.
1 in 120 million — Choking to death.
1 in 20 billion — Death by tea cosy.
1 in 257,000 — Dying today.

this was a few years ago (5 series ago) so the numbers may have changed a bit now
 
JBod said:
This is the main reason I cant be bothered to be healthy. Why spend your life straining over exercise, eating food that is not that great?
Click to expand...

You can be healthy and live a good life, you can shave decades off your life by being unhealthy
 
If I don’t make it through the next ten years then so be it. I love life and try to live life to the full because the door may close tomorrow.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom