Reesy said:
Anybody have any shares with companies and are they a good or bad idea?
Just generally asking for an opinion. Nothing concrete.
They are neither a good, nor bad, idea. It all depends on the company, and the economy, and the period of time you're talking about.
Generally speaking, any investment in shares will be a case of assessing risk versus projected return. The higher the risk, the higher the likely return .... or loss.
Let me give you an example. I bought Third Millennium Russia Fund ( a mutual fund, not a stock) in 2002. Price? $18-ish. Price today? $54. They've tripled my money in four years. BUT ..... as they centre on stocks in Russian industry (oil, telecoms, etc) they are entirely dependant on what happens in Russia. I could have ended up with nothing.
On the other hand, at one time, BT shares were > £15. They're now trading at £2.35, and my broker's recommendation (today) is "reduce". This reflects that that price is currently regarded as high. Now that drop from £15 to £2.35 isn't quite all it seems, since there's been some structural changes in the group, and sections hived off with more shares issued. But, nonetheless, their performance since that (somewhat artificial) £15 high has been very poor, to say the least.
So an apparently rock-solid major company has been an investment nightmare, and a mutual fund in a highly speculative and very risky part of the world has paid off handsomely.
If you were to invest, would you have gone for the "sure thing" (BT) and lost most of your investment? Or for the dodgy bet and made a lot of money? Also, be aware, that "dodgy" investment has been so good that the fund manager responsible (John Connor) is becoming something of a legend. Yet, the fact that he had specialist Russian knowledge (and contacts) and could do this in 2002-2003, doesn't mean the market will let him do it again in 2006-2007, even in Russia. That fund has yieldeded about 12% this year to date .... compared to 32% in the
first 3 months of 2004.
If you buy shares, you usually pay a commission, with a minimum. That makes it comparatively expensive to buy small amounts .... or to chop and change. You need to find a broker (maybe your bank), and look at their dealing costs, compared to whatever sum you're prepared to risk, and you need to know what sort of risk you'll take.
Major industrials usually represent a sound investment
over the medium to long term. But unless you're prepared to take large risks, you'll need to be very good indeed, or very lucky indeed, to make lots of money in the short term, and you might well make a loss in the short term. But, that loss may well still turn into a decent profit, long term.
Take Microsoft, for example. A $250,000 investment in the IPO back in '86 could have been turned into $160m plus, simply by sitting tight on the investmemt. Oh, and in the recent cashback, you'd have got a cheque for more than $10m, and STILL have had the shares. But, around the turn of the millenium, their legal troubles clobbered shares and they've never quite made the investment back into the doozy it was for a while. So, sitting tight can make you a lot, but knowing when to sell is critical.
All told, the stock market can be a very good place to invest, but do
not do it with money you can't afford to lose, or that you might need urgently, because being forced to sell at the wrong time can be very expensive.