The next Conservative Leader thread.

[Danthus]

Well regardless of what happens tomorrow I think Mr Cameron is a dead duck.

Given that almost half of his party oppose him on the EU, Ii predict a leadership challenge very soon.

My money is on Theresa May, she has been very canny during the EU debate.

What say OcUK?

 

[Danthus]

How long will your man Corbyn last?

Longer than Cameron.

 

[Danthus]

If we remain in the EU, I don't see David Cameron leaving.

If we leave the EU, I can see Theresa May taking over in 6 months time.

Don't forget, many of his MP's almost half think he got nothing when he negotiated, they see him as weak.

 

[Danthus]

A half of those don't like to lose elections either.

Waring parties don't win.

 

[Danthus]

There's enough eurosceptic Tory MPs to force a vote of no-confidence in Cameron, but I doubt they will do so as it is unlikely to pass. Once the referendum is over the eurosceptics will become fall back into line - their livelihoods depend on winning General Elections after all.

If Cameron surprises me by sticking to his word and standing down before the next general election, he will push for Osborne to be his successor

Osborne is damaged goods if you read some of the pro Tory websites.

 

[Danthus]

His economic record is awful.

 

[Danthus]

Agreed but since when does that matter? All that matters is that joe public believes "Labour have ruined the economy every time they've been in power" and "Osborne saved us from the awful mess Labour left behind - look they even left a note saying there's no money left!".

Because with Osborne at the helm they would struggle to peddle that myth.

 

[Danthus]

Has anyone found Osborne yet?