(Please note, this is not intended to be a eu leave/remain thread as such, it just uses the current events as an example. It is the voting psychology I am interested in here)
It doesn't matter what the issue is, but whether it is an election or a referendum or whatever.
The results always seem to be the same.
Yesterdays referendum is just another example.
A third of the population goes with the proposition (Or one political party)
A third goes against it. (Or the other political party)
And a third really cannot be bothered at all and ends up not voting! (Or voting Lib Dem!
)
Typically, win or lose, depends mainly on how many of #3 (The non voters) you can actually persuade to get out in your favour on the day.
And therefore the margin almost always ends up by being a very narrow one.
It is just the way it is!
Time and time again, the results are very consistent (The original EEC vote back in the 70's was the same, as was the more recent Scottish independence one (And also the other one that took place many years ago))
Even yesterdays apparent "overwhelming" support for remain in Scotland is a myth. Like in England, it was still a damn close run thing, it just was a damn close run thing in the other direction. Nearly half of the people who voted in Scotland actually voted to leave.
As I said some some days ago, Whoever won, I would gave preferred it to have been by a much bigger margin.
But of course, the rule of thirds means that this is almost impossible to happen.
The "Rule of thirds" results are so consistent historically that I Really do believe that there is something genetic involved!
(I have a theory, I will explain in more detail later if there is interest)
It doesn't matter what the issue is, but whether it is an election or a referendum or whatever.
The results always seem to be the same.
Yesterdays referendum is just another example.
A third of the population goes with the proposition (Or one political party)
A third goes against it. (Or the other political party)
And a third really cannot be bothered at all and ends up not voting! (Or voting Lib Dem!
)Typically, win or lose, depends mainly on how many of #3 (The non voters) you can actually persuade to get out in your favour on the day.
And therefore the margin almost always ends up by being a very narrow one.
It is just the way it is!
Time and time again, the results are very consistent (The original EEC vote back in the 70's was the same, as was the more recent Scottish independence one (And also the other one that took place many years ago))
Even yesterdays apparent "overwhelming" support for remain in Scotland is a myth. Like in England, it was still a damn close run thing, it just was a damn close run thing in the other direction. Nearly half of the people who voted in Scotland actually voted to leave.
As I said some some days ago, Whoever won, I would gave preferred it to have been by a much bigger margin.
But of course, the rule of thirds means that this is almost impossible to happen.
The "Rule of thirds" results are so consistent historically that I Really do believe that there is something genetic involved!
(I have a theory, I will explain in more detail later if there is interest)
