The next and greatest Depression ever.

Plentiful money supply=roaring twenties with loads of borrowing.
Restricted money supply=recession/depression with loads of repossessions.

Between 1929 and 1933 the money supply was cut by 23%.

thats true, but they couldn't increase the money supply because the dollar was pegged to gold. Not so now - so it will probably be many years of crippling inflation. In the bankers and the governments eyes thats a better option than deflation (which will happen for a short time anyway before they massively increase the money supply to try and avert it).
 
What's the difference?

Recession = negative or negligible economic growth (usually measured by GDP) over two or more quarters. A deep recession can last for years but is easier to endure than a depression.

Depression = extreme form of recession accompanied by hyperinflation, massive devaluation of domestic currency, very high unemployment and lack of investment (to name just a few symptoms). The rule of thumb for a depression is a 10% drop in GDP.
 
Recession = negative or negligible economic growth (usually measured by GDP) over two or more quarters. A deep recession can last for years but is easier to endure than a depression.

Depression = extreme form of recession accompanied by hyperinflation, massive devaluation of domestic currency, very high unemployment and lack of investment (to name just a few symptoms). The rule of thumb for a depression is a 10% drop in GDP.

Ta.


Can you give me tomorrows winning lotto numbers while you're here? I wouldn't want to miss out now that we have a soothsayer in our midst.
 
Ta.


Can you give me tomorrows winning lotto numbers while you're here? I wouldn't want to miss out now that we have a soothsayer in our midst.

I'm no soothsayer. I just don't see any signs of a depression.
 
I hope you're right :)

The majority of us here haven't had to experience anything resembling a recession, never mind a depression. We can be forgiven for being a little worried.
 
Recession = negative or negligible economic growth (usually measured by GDP) over two or more quarters. A deep recession can last for years but is easier to endure than a depression.

Depression = extreme form of recession accompanied by hyperinflation, massive devaluation of domestic currency, very high unemployment and lack of investment (to name just a few symptoms). The rule of thumb for a depression is a 10% drop in GDP.

Sounds like a depression to me :(
 
I hope you're right :)

The majority of us here haven't had to experience anything resembling a recession, never mind a depression. We can be forgiven for being a little worried.

As part of the UK, NI is currently in recession.

The recession of the early 1990s hit the UK and US pretty damn hard. I suspect that NI suffered considerably during that period.

So unless you're very, very young, you will have experienced a recession. :)
 
it certainly is getting a bit hairy!
if we had a truly free market where the value of all assets and financial instruments was open and known to everybody then this would never have had happened - can you really blame bakers for taking advantage of the system if they could get bonuses of hundreds of millions of dollars - of course not, its human nature.
i don't know how its going to end but we will be paying for this mess for years whatever happens - as always its the general public that will pay for it (unless there actually is a revolution!)

Indeed, the government tried to replace transparancy and openness with regulation and state approval via licensing, and it simply hasn't worked.
 
Nah, we've got a long way to go before true depression kicks in. Loss of 10% GDP? Pffft. We're not even close.

At the moment we're still at least 4-6 months away from a technical recession, we haven't had one quarter of negative gdp growth yet, let alone two.
 
As part of the UK, NI is currently in recession.

The recession of the early 1990s hit the UK and US pretty damn hard. I suspect that NI suffered considerably during that period.

So unless you're very, very young, you will have experienced a recession. :)

I'm 29.

I would have been in my early teens in the early '90s, and tbh the recession didn't affect me first-hand at that age (not to mention that NI was starting to come out of its darkness during this time).

I'm not sure how much the current financial climate has affected us yet. The media may be telling us that we're in a bad situation, but i don't think that we're quite there yet. We will be tho.
 
At the moment we're still at least 4-6 months away from a technical recession, we haven't had one quarter of negative gdp growth yet, let alone two.


UK economic growth ground to a halt between April and June, according to the latest official figures. The Office for National Statistics said the economy stalled, showing no growth from the first quarter of 2008.

It ends a run of more than 15 years of consecutive growth in the UK and will raise expectations of a rate cut.

The 0% growth figure was down from an earlier estimate of 0.2% and lower than the 0.3% growth recorded in the first three months of 2008.

Beeb.

Two consecutive quarters of negative or negligible growth; from 0.3% (first quarter) to 0.0% (second quarter).

Sure sounds like a recession to me.
 
Two consecutive quarters of negative or negligible growth; from 0.3% (first quarter) to 0.0% (second quarter).

Sure sounds like a recession to me.

A reduction is growth is not the same as negative growth, at least not in these terms.

GDP has not contracted, which is what is meant by negative growth, the rate of growth has slowed, but the numbers have not started going down yet.
 
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