For those of you that don't believe in global warming

Very funny.

Look at my second plot in post 101. Temperature correlates much better with CO2 concentration than number of pirates.

There is a lot of evidence that we are in the interglacial period of an Ice Age and things may suddenly (geologically speaking, of course) get rather cold.

Wind turbines won't help with that!

Within an ice epoch there are ice ages, which alternate with shorter warmer periods known as interglacials. At the moment the Earth is passing through an interglacial period. This has lasted for around 10,000 years following the last Ice Age, which in turn went on for some 100,000 years. It would appear from historical climatic evidence that this ice age/interglacial pattern was established at the beginning of this ice epoch. Perhaps ominously for man, the pattern suggests that ice ages last around 100,000 years on average and the shorter, warmer interglacials around 10,000 – so we are nearing the end of our current warmer period.
 
So what if the temperature goes up? At worst we'll have a new ice age.


Secondly, I think the raise in CO2 concentration has more to do with with the raise in the population than our way of life.


Then so be it. Humans are just one of millions of species. Our framework is no more impressive than the habits of a dung beetle.
That is quite frankly retarded, we are the superior spiecies, we rule earth, nobody else. We should only care about our own. If you think it's no more impressive then go live with the beetles in dung, see how you like it without all the modern luxuries.
 
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joeyjojo, ok ill humour your graphs and data with some questions:

how did they get the co2 data before the ice caps ?

what do you say about the scientists that say the ice cap data is not solid enough to base an entire religion on, sorry scientific theory on ?

i did not see the scientists extract the ice cores and do the tests so i have to take their word and the institutions that they work for word, on that the ice core data is valid and not tweaked so that there is a correlation.

Where do they get the temperture readings from 500 million years ago ?

ok lets say that the temperture data from 100 million years ago and the co2 levels from 100 million years ago are 100% accurate and that it is agreed upon that there is a correlation between co2 levels and temperture. Then answer me this, why do cars have catalytic converters if burning fossil fuels gives off co2 as the primary by product ?

now if i say to you, if there was no correlation between co2 and temperature levels then would you agree that co2 is not a pollutant and that it would not be such a bad thing to have co2 as a by product of burning fossil fuels, therefore a catalytic converter would be a great invention.
 
Can't power a ship or heavy goods transports (outside of trains) with electricity though.

No, but it can be powered using bio-diesel or ethanol fuel, which are largely carbon neutral. I'm not saying we can replace everything that is currently powered by gas turbine or petrol or diesel tomorrow or even ever entirely with these alternatives, but it is something that we will need to move towards.

How are you going to build them? The crude oil needed just to produce all the plastic in a car is huge.

I'm not sure why this is relevant - We'll probably be using crude oil for hundreds of years to produce plastics and other bi-products.
 
I'd want statistics in a graph form covering at least a few million years of history, at least a couple of ice ages. If the graph showed an unnatural increase in temperature correlating with the rise in Industry then I would believe it was man made.

this

i find it amazingly convenient that earlier records went missing. those email leaks didnt help the cause either...


also ive been on visits to a few different companies that rely fully on carbon credits and things to survive or make any money. the western world makes an absolute fortune from them even when it just doesnt seem right.

one place i went too buys cheap already cut down wood from southern america then burns it on a wood burner which powers a generator. they then sell a shedload of electricity aswell as selling loads of carbon credits to the third world because what theyre doing is classed as carbon neutral by our government. they reckoned this is the future and that loads of them will be popping up across the uk. theres 2/3 big ones i know of already
 
There is a lot of evidence that we are in the interglacial period of an Ice Age and things may suddenly (geologically speaking, of course) get rather cold.

Wind turbines won't help with that!

This is true, and is shown quite clearly in the second plot in post 101. There are ~100,000 years of low (-8C) and spikes of high (+3C) temperatures. (This is mostly new to me and I am mostly quoting this and this) the origin of this cycle is that the Earth's tilt varies as it orbits the sun by a few degrees every ~40,000 years, and the axis precesses with a period of 26,000 years. The amount of solar radiation received then varies by as much as 100 Wm-2 (big, ~25%). So yes, it's possible that we will soon have another ice age. It's also possible that we won't. You may notice that the periods of these two mechanisms are not 100,000 years as we observe, so some have suggested that we haven't got enough data to draw conclusions about the length of interglacials.

Secondly, I think the raise in CO2 concentration has more to do with with the raise in the population than our way of life.
It's both.
That is quite frankly retarded, we are the superior spiecies, we rule earth, nobody else. We should only care about our own. If you think it's no more impressive then go live with the beetles in dung, see how you like it without all the modern luxuries.
We've disagreed on such things before snowdog. Humans certainly are not "superior" in all respects, nor do we "rule earth" completely. Humans are the most intelligent species (by our current measure of intelligence) certainly. But I think you'll find a tiger is a superior hunter (ever had unarmed combat with a tiger?). Or a bird is a more agile flier. etc.

joeyjojo, ok ill humour your graphs and data with some questions:

how did they get the co2 data before the ice caps ?

what do you say about the scientists that say the ice cap data is not solid enough to base an entire religion on, sorry scientific theory on ?

i did not see the scientists extract the ice cores and do the tests so i have to take their word and the institutions that they work for word, on that the ice core data is valid and not tweaked so that there is a correlation.

Where do they get the temperture readings from 500 million years ago ?

ok lets say that the temperture data from 100 million years ago and the co2 levels from 100 million years ago are 100% accurate and that it is agreed upon that there is a correlation between co2 levels and temperture. Then answer me this, why do cars have catalytic converters if burning fossil fuels gives off co2 as the primary by product ?

now if i say to you, if there was no correlation between co2 and temperature levels then would you agree that co2 is not a pollutant and that it would not be such a bad thing to have co2 as a by product of burning fossil fuels, therefore a catalytic converter would be a great invention.

Thanks groen these are good questions. It's good to be suspicious.

1. The first plot (going back 500 million years) has lines for computer models (a model is only as good as you program it) and points taken from measurements by Royer et al, who looked at carbonate levels in the sea (quite a heavy read here). They propose that carbonate levels are much more reliable than atmospheric CO2, and that variations in solar flux are much less important.

2. Indeed the ice cores are not 100% reliable, which is why people like Royer have written papers looking for other proxies, like sea carbonates.

3. You do, but all the data and papers are out there. No scientists tweak data and get away with it. As an aside, the Climategate thing was just a load of hot air. From here:

The report of the independent Science Assessment Panel was published on 14 April 2010 and concluded that the panel had seen "no evidence of any deliberate scientific malpractice in any of the work of the Climatic Research Unit." It found that the CRU's work had been "carried out with integrity" and had used "fair and satisfactory" methods. The CRU was found to be "objective and dispassionate in their view of the data and their results, and there was no hint of tailoring results to a particular agenda." Instead, "their sole aim was to establish as robust a record of temperatures in recent centuries as possible."

4. I haven't included any temperature data for 500 Myears. Apparently one way of doing it is to analyse the different isotopes of water in an ice core.

5. A catalytic converter reduces the levels of carbon monoxide, unburnt hydrocarbons and nitrogen oxides, which are toxic. Good for the humans stuck in traffic breathing the fumes, but as you say, less good as CO2 is the result.

6. Not necessarily. The proportion of gases in the atmosphere is crucial to life. The atmospheres of Mars and Venus are over 95% CO2, and as far as we know are inhospitable to life. The Earth is unique in that it has an oxidising (lots of O2) atmosphere unlike the other planets, which are oxidised (CO2). So I would say, better to not mess with the atmosphere at all, it's a very fragile set up.

I'm not sure why this is relevant - We'll probably be using crude oil for hundreds of years to produce plastics and other bi-products.
Not even that long if the reserves run out. OPEC are suspected of exaggerating the size of their reserves to stave off a panic. And last time I checked, plastic was pretty useful in a car.
 
Not even that long if the reserves run out. OPEC are suspected of exaggerating the size of their reserves to stave off a panic. And last time I checked, plastic was pretty useful in a car.

crude oil isnt going to run out in a hurry. they find new oil fields as often as old ones dry out... not to mention that once oil is around 100 dollars a barrel it becomes economically viable to refine it from tar sand/algae/hemp/others

if we got to the point where oil was running out then im sure people wouldnt mind a nice ''carbon neutral' wood interior (lols) or more likely just not bother with an interior at all... its nearly all used as an aesthetics thing , not necessary to survive or even to get around

infact

April 28 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil volatility is falling to the lowest level in almost three years as brimming stockpiles and rising OPEC investment in production capacity eases concern of shortages
 
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But I think you'll find a tiger is a superior hunter (ever had unarmed combat with a tiger?). Or a bird is a more agile flier. etc.

I think you will find that our tool making ability and our ability to cooperate has made humans a much better hunter than the tiger. The evidence of such is that we keep tigers in cages, not the other way around. Asking us to go unarmed with a tiger is effectively handicapping us to make sure we lose.
 
To be honest I'm not terribly concerned about Global Warming, but what is going to happen when WWIII starts, as we are quite overdue for another one!

I think Global Warming will be quickly forgotten about when it starts... ;)
 
We've disagreed on such things before snowdog. Humans certainly are not "superior" in all respects, nor do we "rule earth" completely. Humans are the most intelligent species (by our current measure of intelligence) certainly. But I think you'll find a tiger is a superior hunter (ever had unarmed combat with a tiger?). Or a bird is a more agile flier. etc.
imo:

Nope, a tiger is inefficient, we as humans can board our machines ( such as a chopper) and shoot animals with a minigun, or hell even nuke the whole tiger population from a chair, I'm pretty sure the tigers stand no chance. We could nuke the whole tiger population any time we want, there is no way tigers can exterminate the human population, they are too dumb.

An RC plane or so can be easily more agile than a bird. Our technology makes us superior in nearly every way. Only we have the power to exterminate any species from the planet.

Your ''unarmed'' comment makes no sense, we are smart enough to arm ourselves with ICBM's, tigers are too dumb for that, we are far superior.

Intelligence and power combined make us the superior species, no animal can even come close to the power of our machines we created using our intelligence, that makes the whole difference, we don't fight unarmed because we aren't as primitive any more, we fight with weapons.
 
crude oil isnt going to run out in a hurry. they find new oil fields as often as old ones dry out... not to mention that once oil is 100 dollars a barrel it becomes economically viable to refine it from tar sand/algae/hemp

if we got to the point where oil was running out then im sure people wouldnt mind a nice ''carbon neutral' wood interior (lols) or more likely just not bother with an interior at all...

Probably true.

Oil sands are bad news though. It consumes ~20% of the energy of the final product just to get it out of the ground. Plus destroys the entire area. 2 tonnes of oil sands required for 1 barrel of oil. It says here that Canada is looking to dig up 54,000 sq miles of sands (England is 50,000 sq miles).

I think you will find that our tool making ability and our ability to cooperate has made humans a much better hunter than the tiger. The evidence of such is that we keep tigers in cages, not the other way around.

A human with his tools is much more dangerous, which is why tigers are nearly extinct, not the other way around.

(There are less than 5000 tigers left in the wild :( )
 
A human with his tools is much more dangerous, which is why tigers are nearly extinct, not the other way around.

(There are less than 5000 tigers left in the wild :( )

This is exactly the reason why we are superior, we use tools, machines, etc...

So what if the tigers are nearly extinct, survival of the fittest...
 
This is exactly the reason why we are superior, we use tools, machines, etc...

So what if the tigers are nearly extinct, survival of the fittest...

You do come across as a complete moron sometimes.

Do you not care about any other species other than humans?
 
Do you not care about any other species other than humans?
Individual animals, sometimes.
Some animal population elsewhere: No, I have nothing to do, and will never have anything to do with a tiger, why would I care about tigers ?
 
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