Total rubbish. How old were your friends that have recently bought houses? Isn't the average age for FTBs now 38 or something ridiculous? Even higher for people that can't scrounge a deposit from their parents. Did they get help from their parents?
Take this for an example, it pretty much explains the problem FTBs are having:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8454455.stm
It's the deposit that is a problem. I can quite easily rent a £1300pcm flat in Ealing with my girlfriend (which we do), which would sell probably for £350k. Can we buy it? Definitely not. Doing so would mean a 20% deposit minimum which is £60k! Get real. I know that's an extreme example (the one on the BBC link is more sensible).
So how about a 1 bedroom flat in Newbury, where I grew up. It's not as expensive as London, it's not a 'special' town. In fact it's distinctly average as far as I'm concerned. How much is a 1 bedroom flat? £135k. 20% deposit for that would be £27k. Assuming I wanted to buy that on my own (not unreasonable, it's a 1 bedroom flat for crying out loud, it's a great 'first step') I'd need to find £27k myself.
So. Let's assume I could stretch to saving £500pm. I can't, it's a
huge amount, but that's what I'd aim for. You'd probably be over 25 to be earning enough to save over £500pm, so let's take that as my age (it is). It's take 5 years to save £27k. Great. I can buy a 1 bedroom flat at age 30? Or can I? Surely if this ridiculous property bubble keeps getting bigger, then prices would have gone up again. So let's say I could afford that flat when I'm 32. Brilliant.
Er hang on. When you're 32, don't you start thinking about settling down and maybe, just maybe, having kids? I don't think that's a good idea in a 1 bedroom flat, do you? This is all assuming you can save a massive £500pm, which I can't anyway, so the whole thing is useless. Not to mention the fact that I work in London so I'd either have to aim to buy an extortionate £250k flat, or move out of London and start paying an extortionate £100pw for the train fare. You can't win.
This is quite interesting:
http://localhousingwatch.org.uk/
I dont know exactly how it works, and obviously the salaries it show are for 'average' proprties which are probably bigger than a 1/2bedroom flat. But still. I've been typing in random councils I know of in the South and not found any that dip below 40k. Something is wrong in the property market when you have to buy something that's 10x your salary as opposed to 3-4x and it's this generation that is getting screwed in the long run. To say we're not willing to 'tighten' our belts and forego luxuries is nothing short of patronising. I do enough of that just to be able to afford the rent thank you very much. MY prediction is that unless there is a huge housing crash (fingers crossed) then the wealth gap between generations is going to be huge. It'll be everyone over 50 owning all the properties in the country and renting them out at extortionate rates to the younger generation.
/rant