Has anyone got the data to calculate how much extra electricty generation capacity we'd need to run electric cars?
I can cobble together a rough estimate.
A car insurance company looked through records of 2 million motorists and came up with an average driving distance of 7,755 miles per year per driver last year. There are 34.5 million drivers in the UK. If they all drove the average for the 2 million drivers looked at, that would be a total of 267,547,500,000 miles.
Driven normally and with efficient regenerative braking, you get about 4 miles per KWh from an efficient electric car, less for a cheaper one. The Leaf, for example, gets 70 miles from 24KWh - just under 3 miles per KWh.
Going with 3 miles per KWh and the 267,547,500,000 miles estimate from the insurance company, that's 89,182,500,000 KWh.
Total transmission losses from generation to battery...I'm not sure about that one. Call it 5%, which is probably a bit on the generous side.
Total electricity required would be about 95,000 GWh per year.
I think current UK electricity generating capacity is about 350,000 GWh per year.
So, if all my estimates and guesses hold up, we'd need to increase electricity generation by 25%.
How about to generate enough hydrogen to run fuel cell cars or hydrogen combustion cars (as it is less efficient but can run 24/7 picking up slack from low load periods)?
Interesting question, but I haven't a clue. Hydrogen is
far less efficient though, and that's ignoring transportation costs, storage costs and the deceptively difficult problem of keeping hydrogen in anything.