London Marathon Woman dies

Just so people know average life expectancy is the reciprocal of average chance of dying so the original thingy was correct, but said in a way that sounds wierd and you wouldn't expect to be correct. (edit- i should say this assumes an equal chance of dying each and every year regardless of age, so it's an average of the average each year. It will be less when younger and greater when older but on average, the reciprocal)

It's however not true of the marathon as on average marathon runners are fitter than the average population and also most are only at the marathon for a few hours, not a whole day.


the shadow said:
£106,254.34 raised :eek:
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refresh it's going up at an astonishing rate!
 
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Dimple said:
Just like Muamba they will more or likely find she had underlying medical problems she didn't know about.
RIP.
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You mean it's not normal for an otherwise fit and healthy 30 year old to drop dead and she's likely to have had an underlying medical condition? Well I never.
 
Kenai said:
It IS a lucky coincidence that those numbers are similar, that's what i'm saying.

The only reason the original statement seems like it might have been right is because by chance those numbers happen to be similar, they're not linked.

If our life expectancy was 35,000 days and our death rate was 1 in 20,000 then you'd see why the original statement is a load of nonsense.

Life expectancy has nothing to do with the likelihood of someone copping it if you congregate a group together in the way the original comment suggested, it's just a complete nonsense that has ended up not looking completely stupid by the sheer chance that our death rate per population happens to be similar to our life expectancy expressed in days. If you chose to express it in weeks or hours, you'd have absolutely no similarity at all.
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Sorry Kenai, you're quite mistaken here. Life expectancy in days is absolutely related to the death rate. Say the life expectancy is 81 years, or 29,565 days (call it 30,000 days). That means that on average someone will live 30,000 days. On average someone has a 1/30,000 chance of death on any given day. Take a group of 10 people on a particular day and there's a 1/3,000 chance one of them will die, take 1000 people it's a 1/30 chance one will die, take 35,000 like at the marathon and the chances are one will die - assuming, as SpeedFreak said right at the top that the demographic is the same as the national average.

It is not a coincidence that our death rate is the same as our life expectancy - they are just two different ways to express the same thing. It works just as well expressing it in weeks or hours!

Here are MickeyFinns' numbers:
"UK Population 62,200,000
UK Deaths per day 2,000

Therefore blanket chance of death per day ignoring circumstances is:

1 : 31,100"

Lets try it in hours:
Life expectancy = 30,000 days = 720,000 hours.
Deaths per hour = 83
Chance of death in any hour = 1 : 753,000 ohh, look the same number!
 
Reminds me of that footballer who died during a game. IIRC they didn't know why it happened and found no medical reason. Such a shame :(.
 
cheets64 said:
Why are people being disrespectful talking about life expectancy in this thread.

Some of you must have autism!
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Oh yes. It is SO disrespectful. What a completely abhorrent thing for people to be doing. I for one am shocked. Gosh.
 
The Halk said:
Assuming you mean Phil O'Donnell it was a heart defect.
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No, I don't think it was him. He had a red shirt on IIRC. I'm not 100% sure on the no medical reason as it was a mate who told me that.

EDIT: It was Miklos Feher and was a suspected heart attack.
 
Energize said:
I see you have no experience with horses whatsoever. If you go look at some horses in a field they will be standing there eating grass, not running around till they nearly die from exhaustion.
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:D

I see you have no experience with animals whatsoever.

I sit in my house several hours a day, therefore I must never want to go out. My dog sits sleeping most of the day therefore must never want to run around... etc etc.

Notwithstanding your bunching of all horses into one lump (a general cob for example with a thoroughbred racer) you appear to miss the fact those same horses you mention will probably really enjoy their daily ride and love to gallop. But no, they all want to just spend their days eating grass!
 
BrightonBelle said:
This is so sad :(

The thought did occur to me when I was halfway through the 26.2 miles and people started stopping/collapsing :/

Her poor family :(

BB x
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that bad? is there not a fitness test to get in, I noticed that Arg bloke from that Essesxs show did it and took him 6 hours so basically he just ended up walking the whole thing. Daily mail showed his timings and hit took him 58mins to do the last 5k

Just hit over £200k amazing
 
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