Winter 2012-2013 ( UK )

Neil79 · 28 Oct 2012 at 01:46

In your opinion do you think we are going to have a mild or cold winter?, pretty much every year so far starting mid 2000's i've had deep snow and 2010 was a damn cold one with a lot of it!

I notice these guys predicting a severe winter

Will cooper
http://willcooperweather.weebly.com...range_forecast_winter_2012-13_full_report.pdf

Joe bastar*i ( Skip to 5min 30sec or so... brief prediction of a bad winter for the UK (cold wise) with 'a lot of white in the land of Green' (actually referring to Ireland at that point).
http://t1nyurl.com/8rnglvf ( replace 1 with i )

Met office predicting lower than average temps this winter
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/r/m/A3-plots-temps-NDJ.pdf

MVH long range

"Just a quick one, but the overnight update of the EC 32 day model is interesting in terms of variability evident within this particular update. Without question the opening 7 to 10 days of November look to be particularly cyclonic, but towards mid-month and beyond a far more changeable pressure pattern is signaled with perhaps lower pressure to the south of the UK and higher pressure building to the north or north-west once again, which may signal potential cold snaps as the month progresses.

The updates of late have been lacking consistency which is always a concern, but I do have a lot of faith in this model after using it from a forecasting perspective for over a year now, it has often picked up on trends out to 3 or 4 weeks quite well and this update certainly gives the signal for quite a changeable month once again. What is certainly not evident is a month dominated by zonal conditions either.

Interesting, time will tell as ever...

M."

Usually when we get snow in nov it's been mild throughout yet it snowed in oct as far south as EA!. But this hasn't been the usual winters we've been used to.

October 27 2011

Today October 28th 2012

WOW!! that's a massive difference. So if it stays that way till our next cold spell if it comes from russia/siberia!, we will end up in a deep freeze, but things can change very quickly.

New Oct 28th

LOAM · 28 Oct 2012 at 01:51

I predict a normal one

PapaLazaru · 28 Oct 2012 at 01:52

LOAM said:
I predict a normal one

With warm and cold spells at random times.

Natwee · 28 Oct 2012 at 01:54

I noticed today it had gone a lot colder than previous days. walking home at 7om, and it was the first evening i wished I had had gloves with me.

Neil79 · 28 Oct 2012 at 01:55

LOAM said:
I predict a normal one

What's a normal one

LOAM · 28 Oct 2012 at 01:56

PapaLazaru said:
With warm and cold spells at random times.

Correct, with sporadic autumnal, still and silent days thrown in as well.

DcD · 28 Oct 2012 at 01:56

It was chuffing freezing where I live today. Though it may have been because I've just got back from a month in 33ºC Austin, TX.

Apparently it's set to go about freezing south of London this weekend.

Neil79 · 28 Oct 2012 at 02:05

Will be interesting to see at the end of winter how correct these long rangers were :d

Mickie · 28 Oct 2012 at 02:07

I think we will defo have a cold winter. You'd expect if you've had a bed summer you'd have a bad winter.

Neil79 · 28 Oct 2012 at 02:10

Mickie said:
I think we will defo have a cold winter. You'd expect if you've had a bed summer you'd have a bad winter.

Yeh summer was awful, no long heatwaves no french import storms it was as if the jet stream never really went far enough north

Neil79 · 28 Oct 2012 at 02:13

added another

Destination · 28 Oct 2012 at 05:59

Neil79 said:
What's a normal one

Between five and seven inches aparently.

BriT · 28 Oct 2012 at 06:05

Very hard to predict two months away.

knip · 28 Oct 2012 at 06:52

Neil79 said:
Yeh summer was awful, no long heatwaves no french import storms it was as if the jet stream never really went far enough north

It didn't. That was the problem. They were banging on about it being the jet streams fault for weeks.

Spangles · 28 Oct 2012 at 07:02

Been so cold all of a sudden down here on the south coast. Changed about 2 days ago, slightly better today, but yesterday had to wrap up warm just to go out for a smoke, the freezing cold wind didn't help either.

Cosimo · 28 Oct 2012 at 07:37

Neil79 said:
What's a normal one

Unpredictable.

ncncore · 28 Oct 2012 at 08:25

I am thinking cold well especially for me as I have moved from Lincolnshire up to Scotland, Fife. Also I was in the sun all last year for winter so didn't get my usual annual freeze haha.

Castiel · 28 Oct 2012 at 08:30

I predict that we will have a variance in the weather over the next few months, with temps dropping overall and a mixture of sun, wind and rain and a chance of snow, particularly on the higher ground......there may be heavy frosts and some icy conditions as well as the occasional hail.

StriderX · 28 Oct 2012 at 08:33

I predict another double front, with the Siberian freeze first and the northern freeze directly after (Guess work).

Our winters are only going to get worse, if certain theories are to be taken into account.

I don't really mind it personally, but this nation seriously needs to prep up beyond just laying salt on the ground that frankly is never stockpiled enough, yes we perhaps don't get a lot of this weather, but it is getting quite boring to see the country constantly come to a halt.

[TW]Fox · 28 Oct 2012 at 09:18

I predict loads of drama on internet forums, lots of armchair meterologist experts making dire predictions based on awesome logic like 'Summer was rubbish so obviously winter will be as well (I guess that means Austria gets no snow this year as they had a heatwave in Summer), constant updates about the temperature and every flake of snow and then a huge rant when we get 2 days of snow and the government hadn't spent approximately £5bn on stuff to ensure those 2 days of snow didn't cause any problems.