Not really. Hitman Absolution and Skyrim went above 2GB mark, the first one even with "only" 4xAA at times, with Aero disabled. You don't need 3GB for single GPU, sure, but "some" above 2GB, yes. It's the same deal as in 1GB vs. 2GB discussion and I'll leave it to that.
Actually it's different to the 1GB vs 2GB discussion.
GPUs utilise more VRAM when excess is available anyway. Skyrim is the exception due to modding.
e.g. BF3 on a 580 3GB uses 2.4-2.6GB but uses 1.6-1.7GB on a 680.
So just because you were reading above 2GB doesn't mean a 2GB card would be limited by the physical amount of VRAM.
Hell, I tested all the way up to 5760*1080 and only MoH:WF actually ran out of VRAM... And even then I was touching about 10 FPS before the VRAM crept up above 2000MB... (before then running out and stuttering to a halt completely).
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