So, that whole Iraq invasion thing was a good idea then...

I have a friend who served in two tours out there. Locals welcomed them with open arms, celebrated, came out to meet them. Almost every town/village they went through.

Ofc these are his words, and by no means did he drive through every town/ village in the country. But the way he has spoken about it, there was little hostility from locals, in fact, the polar opposite.

And no, bad wording by me re that.

I wouldn't be hostile to an enemy tank if it was parked on the end of my street either.
 
Someone dig up a post by me in Speakers Corner where I said invading Iraq was a bad idea and would destabilise the country so I can do a massive 'I told you so'.
 
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most of the population is Shia and wanted Saddam gone... they just didn't want the UK/US to stick around for long afterwards

Perhaps, did they want the US/UK to go in? It's a 60/40 split or there abouts, why is it our concern what a not too great majority wants half way around the world? The "they were begging for our help" is simply not true, just used to make people feel better about their actions years later.

Obvs the US didn't want to just bugger off and leave Shia militias/Iran running the show so attempted to put some structure in place first.... this clearly failed and the obvious divides emerged again.

Divides appeared again, like they disappeared? Divides they help escalate you mean to make the war effort easier. The same structure that was destroyed? I guess there is an easy answer in there somewhere.

Syria, Iran and to some extent Iraq aren't well liked by some elements within the gulf states - the ISIS seems to be rather well funded.

I guess in a similar fashion to how the Shia militias were / are?
 
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Someone dig up a post by me in Speakers Corner where I said invading Iraq was a bad idea and would destabilise the country so I can do a massive 'I told you so'.

This is rather like saying 'If we knock down that derelict building, it's going to destabilise it'. Well yes, it is. But you cannot build where a derelict building exists.
 
Obama announced last week he would be arming the "moderate" Al Qaeda in Syria, provoking questions of how any part of Al Qaeda can be termed "moderate".

This "ISIS", which has been described as "so hardcore they were kicked out of Al Qaeda" is like a gift for him in that respect. Because now a distinction is being made between "Al Qaeda" and "ISIS hardcore terrorists".

Now, don't ask me why the US would be behind ISIS (and I'm not even convinced they are), but the timely "coincidence" is uncanny and should be factored in when attempting to understand what the hell's going in.

It could well be that these guys have been kicked out of Syria, and told they would not be among the groups to receive arms, and have decided "well, let's do Iraq then". So it could also be blowback in that sense (as they have been supported by the West in Syria so far, and have possibly now gone "splinter/rogue"). But it just seems these guys (ISIS) are so bloody well-armed, that it's actually them who've been directly armed by the US, for some reason. Unless the story is true that they very easily captured the Humvees/choppers etc from the Iraqi army.

The reluctance of the US to make absolutely sure Maliki's government is safe, is quite telling. It's like this is part of a plan. Maliki appealed for US air strikes against ISIS last month, and was turned down. Now, consider how the US is carrying out drone strikes all over the place... Afghanistan/Pakistan/Yemen (killing plenty of innocent people while they're at it). And yet you have this ISIS group rising to power in Iraq, and they don't provide air support? It's all very strange right now.
 
Perhaps, did they want the US/UK to go in? It's a 60/40 split or there abouts, why is it our concern what a not too great majority wants half way around the world?

who said it was... we didn't go in because they wanted us to - our motivations for going in are a separate issue entirely - most of the population did however happen to want Saddam gone... and it is a large chunk both the Shia(65%) and the Kurds (15-20%) (you seem to have forgotten the Kurds - they might be Sunni but they're no fans of Saddam). Saddam and his party were a minority elite that didn't deserve to be in power

Divides appeared again, like they disappeared? Divides they help escalate you mean to make the war effort easier. The same structure that was destroyed? I guess there is an easy answer in there somewhere.

I'm not following what you're trying to say there - who said divides went away.... they've remained there in spite of other efforts - even when both groups are represented in power they can't work together

I guess in a similar fashion to how the Shia militias were / are?

yes... that's part of the problem... outside interests within the region are providing funding to groups outside of the govt

Frankly, given whats happening in Syria, a similar Insurgency could well have occurred even if Iraq hadn't been invaded... Whether it would have been one from ISIS or whether we'd have seen another Shia uprising backed by Iran is another matter.
 
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This "ISIS", which has been described as "so hardcore they were kicked out of Al Qaeda" is like a gift for him in that respect. Because now a distinction is being made between "Al Qaeda" and "ISIS hardcore terrorists".

Now, don't ask me why the US would be behind ISIS (and I'm not even convinced they are),

they're not - that's just ridiculous

It could well be that these guys have been kicked out of Syria, and told they would not be among the groups to receive arms, and have decided "well, let's do Iraq then".

They haven't been kicked out of Syria - they've done rather well over there and have extended their fight into Iraq
 
they're not - that's just ridiculous

Isn't it ridiculous already that the US is arming parts of Al Qaeda? Shall we quibble over who gets armed?



They haven't been kicked out of Syria - they've done rather well over there and have extended their fight into Iraq

You're talking as if they conquered Syria and moved on to Iraq. Al-Assad is still in power, and kicking their arses, last time I checked. Why would they start things up in Iraq without coming close to finishing the job in Syria, unless their prospects for the near-term in Syria were not optimistic?
 
Isn't it ridiculous already that the US is arming parts of Al Qaeda? Shall we quibble over who gets armed?

Yes... and its not quibbling its just me refuting a silly assertion - the US is not funding/supporting ISIS

You're talking as if they conquered Syria and moved on to Iraq. Al-Assad is still in power, and kicking their arses, last time I checked. Why would they start things up in Iraq without coming close to finishing the job in Syria, unless their prospects for the near-term in Syria were not optimistic?

No I'm not and why wouldn't they - they've done well in Syria compared to other rebel groups, are still fighting there and want to continue fighting in Iraq... their name might be a bit of a giveaway ;)
 
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Obama announced last week he would be arming the "moderate" Al Qaeda in Syria, provoking questions of how any part of Al Qaeda can be termed "moderate".

This "ISIS", which has been described as "so hardcore they were kicked out of Al Qaeda" is like a gift for him in that respect. Because now a distinction is being made between "Al Qaeda" and "ISIS hardcore terrorists".

Now, don't ask me why the US would be behind ISIS (and I'm not even convinced they are), but the timely "coincidence" is uncanny and should be factored in when attempting to understand what the hell's going in.

It could well be that these guys have been kicked out of Syria, and told they would not be among the groups to receive arms, and have decided "well, let's do Iraq then". So it could also be blowback in that sense (as they have been supported by the West in Syria so far, and have possibly now gone "splinter/rogue"). But it just seems these guys (ISIS) are so bloody well-armed, that it's actually them who've been directly armed by the US, for some reason. Unless the story is true that they very easily captured the Humvees/choppers etc from the Iraqi army.

The reluctance of the US to make absolutely sure Maliki's government is safe, is quite telling. It's like this is part of a plan. Maliki appealed for US air strikes against ISIS last month, and was turned down. Now, consider how the US is carrying out drone strikes all over the place... Afghanistan/Pakistan/Yemen (killing plenty of innocent people while they're at it). And yet you have this ISIS group rising to power in Iraq, and they don't provide air support? It's all very strange right now.

erm
no

so anyone who apposes assad is Al Qaeda ? there is no such thing as moderate Al Qaeda, and Obama is certainly not arming them

you are mistakenly lumping anyone who is anti assad into a big group along with the hardline islamaist groups including AQ and ISIS
(who in reality in Syria are also fighting the moderate groups at the same time as fighting assad)

ISIS is showing up in Iraq now because
1) Assad is winning / pushing them out of Syria
2) Iraqi sunnies are feeling persecuted because of nouri al-maliki being too pro shia and therefore giving room for these people to get annoyed and turn to the extremests for help

they only US equipment involved is because the Iraq army is leaving it behind while they run away

the US are not providing air support because they widthdrew from combat operations in iraq years ago and dont want to get dragged back in, and Iraq is supposed to be standing on its own two feet

not sure what you are getting at but its based on a lot of nonsence
 
who said it was... we didn't go in because they wanted us to - our motivations for going in are a separate issue entirely - most of the population did however happen to want Saddam gone... both the Shia(65%) and the Kurds (15-20%)

The guy I was replying to who claimed people were jumping on the rafters for our help. It's irrelevant if they wanted him gone or not, nor do you have anything to suggest that was the case as simply providing percentages of religious divide does not inherently mean they opposed him.

Are you saying only 15% of the population is Sunni?

According to the Encyclopædia Britannica, Iraq is 97% Muslim: 60-67% Shi'a, 33-40% Sunni

hence why I said 60/40

I'm not following what you're trying to say there - who said divides went away.... they've remained there in spite of other efforts - even when both groups are represented in power they can't work together

Is that surprising? Taking power away from a large minority, handing it to someone else who you have supported to suppress / kill the large minority and then you expect them to play nice. Why are we playing god here?

yes... that's part of the problem... outside interests within the region are providing funding to groups outside of the govt

Agreed, with the biggest coming from the US/UK.
 
Isn't it ridiculous already that the US is arming parts of Al Qaeda? Shall we quibble over who gets armed?

They aren't arming Al Qaeda per say. Al Qaeda is just an umbrella term for a disparate bunch of Jihadi groups.

You're talking as if they conquered Syria and moved on to Iraq. Al-Assad is still in power, and kicking their arses, last time I checked. Why would they start things up in Iraq without coming close to finishing the job in Syria, unless their prospects for the near-term in Syria were not optimistic?

ISIS control northern Syria. They don't recognise the national borders of Iraq or Syria, so why would they need to conquer the whole of Syria? Their territory runs through both.
 
Are you saying only 15% of the population is Sunni?

No

hence why I said 60/40

Which is misleading as a big chunk of that 40% are the Kurds who are also opposed to Saddam. Its not a slight majority its a rather large majority.

Is that surprising? Taking power away from a large minority, handing it to someone else who you have supported to suppress / kill the large minority and then you expect them to play nice. Why are we playing god here?

Yes... they have a democracy - they had both Shia and Sunni politicians in prominent roles and they screwed it up...

Agreed, with the biggest coming from the US/UK.

What outside groups are we supporting?
 
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