That plane footage from Taiwan

[TW]Fox;27583047 said:
How many people died in UK plane crashes in the last 10 years?

Let's just take that number and extrapolate it out by number of countries yea?

Oh wait.

213 AARF recorded incidents
13 fatal with 30 deaths
0.14 deaths per incident.

Whats your point
 
Man, understanding probability is hard... :D

Not really.

If your involved in a plane crash your probably gonna die

If your involved in a car crash your probably gonna live

But if your going to die in any sort of crash it'll most likely be a car crash
 
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213 AARF recorded incidents
13 fatal with 30 deaths
0.14 deaths per incident.

Whats your point

My point is look at the radical difference in numbers you get by picking a single country and extrapolating, your 9 deaths per incident is suddenly 0.1, a huge difference.

And given nobody was killed on a commercial flight in that period your figures will presumably include helicopters and private planes which the NTSB one doesn't
 
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[TW]Fox;27583450 said:
My point is look at the radical difference in numbers you get by picking a single country and extrapolating, your 9 deaths per incident is suddenly 0.1, a huge difference.

And given nobody was killed on a commercial flight in that period your figures will presumably include helicopters and private planes which the NTSB one doesn't

Those figures are commercial It didn't include the 226 Civil accidents but it would have also included helicopters

Even going from 9-0.1 is still way way off the 0.0006. And those 400 odd incidents were over a 9 year period.
Accident per accident IF you could get a yearly figure for both would be worlds apart.
 
Not really.

If your involved in a plane crash your probably gonna die

If your involved in a car crash your probably gonna live

But if your going to die in any sort of crash it'll most likely be a car crash

Forgive me for bringing this up but when compacting you are you need to write it in this way: you're. Carry on. :)
 
Those figures are commercial It didn't include the 226 Civil accidents but it would have also included helicopters

I would imagine that every death was onboard a helicopter - a completely different risk profile.

The number of people killed on a commercial scheduled flight in or originating from the UK in the last 10 years is 0.

When you extrapolate that, as you are trying to do with road casualty figures, you get worldwide air deaths of nil which is obviously wrong. The purpose of the question was to demonstrate why you cannot compare global air casualties with (British road casualties x number of countries in the world).

Either way, it's completely irrelevant as is your point whilst you continue to refuse to consider probability.

I mean yes, go on then, to answer your question I'd rather be in a car about to crash on a motorway than onboard a Boeing 777 about to be hit by a missile during the cruise phase of the flight but what is the relevance of this answer? It tells us nothing about the relative safety of either form of transport.
 
That is some harrowing footage.

RIP to those that didnt make it, but upside there are survivors

You cant see it actually land, but the way it goes down, on concrete that would have been a fireball especially after just taking off and having a lot of fuel

Not quite as harrowing as the 747 carrying tanks out of Afghanistan.

I too am petrified of flying (only in the last 4-5 years). I really must stop watching plane crash videos:o
 
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