Poll: General election voting poll round 3

Voting intentions in the General Election?

  • Alliance Party of Northern Ireland

    Votes: 2 0.3%
  • Conservative

    Votes: 286 40.5%
  • Democratic Unionist Party

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Green Party

    Votes: 56 7.9%
  • Labour

    Votes: 122 17.3%
  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 33 4.7%
  • Not voting/will spoil ballot

    Votes: 38 5.4%
  • Other party (not named)

    Votes: 4 0.6%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 5 0.7%
  • Respect Party

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Scottish National Party

    Votes: 29 4.1%
  • Social Democratic and Labour Party

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 3 0.4%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 129 18.2%

  • Total voters
    707
  • Poll closed .
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The thing that worries me about the UKIP thing, is that it is only really going to go one of two ways:

Either the anti-UKIP mob are correct and their support is greatly overestimated and/or most of their voters switch back to the tories before casting their vote.

Or, the UKIP mob are right, and so many people vote for them they give Labour a landslide victory like their predecessors (UKRP) did in 1997...


You can ignore either mob and look at the facts and independent professional predictions, e.g. may2015.com

Moreover, UKIP themselves have now admitted that their earlier aspirations have failed and now they are only focusing on 10 core seats. Current predictions by experts put them at about 3 seats, even if they magically got 10 seats that doesn't shift things much but will most likely push in Labour's favour.
 
The government you would like to be able to vote for would most likely result in the reinstatement of the death penalty and potentially even the opening of death camps for the disabled and elderly...

Nonsense, that scenario would be countered the social and humanist sciences.
 
And your point about Spain and France kicking out/banning Brits retiring there is still retarded, like before. Some might not get visas, but many will given they'll have pensions which are enough to support themselves, so won't be a burden (health insurance might be mandatory, to make sure that's the case). When you have pensioners like that, states like Spain and France won't block them out of spite - they're the sort of people countries want!

If the UK leaves the EU, it won't be negotiating with Spain or France, it will be negotiating with the EU.
 
Nonsense, that scenario would be countered the social and humanist sciences.
Indeed.

Not to mention science tells us how to get there, not what our goals should be.

If one of the goals is to create a society which maximises fulfilment, minimises suffering & enshrines the personal rights of the individual. Science best aids us in how to achieve this.

Ironically the only people suggesting aborting disabled babies (eugenics) these days are on the right of the standard spectrum.
 
Still don't know people profess any connection between a parties policies and economic recovery, several think tanks have declared there is marginal to no effect from government on growth.
 
We benefit from all kinds of immigration, to an extent - the most highly skilled through to the least skilled... but that doesn't mean we couldn't control immigration to lower the proportion of the total which is undesirable.

For example, if we need seasonal workers we could could have arrangements whereby enough are allowed in - we have done, very recently.

How do you know which are undesirable? The answer is you don't, e.g. you let in a certain number of factory workers and toilet cleaners, doctors, lawyers, some of them will end up not being so productive as others.

Then there is the problem of knowing how many is enough? To take your example of agricultural workers, would each farmer have to write in with a desired quota? Or will some office try to estimate in advance? How do you adapt numbers dynamical and fast enough, what if the strawberry season comes months earlier, or there is a larger crop that will require more workers, or a drought means the crop is a failure and few of the workers are needed? Why not simply let a free market dictate the ebb and flow of workers rather than add cost and complexity to the businesses?

Points based visa systems tend to be hideously flawed, I know, I have researched it a lot.
You see it said on OCUK every day that a university degree is useless and doesn't help them with their work etc, and that is often true for individuals. Why exclude a highly productive worker because they don;t hit enough points on some arbitrary point system?


There are much better ways to mitigate possible negative effects of immigration. E.g., people are afraid that immigrants lower salaries for low income workers. there is a simple solution to this, make it illegal to pay an immigrant a salary any lower than the average regional salary of workers doing the same job, and you could go a step further and restrict the benchmark to only those workers with a British passport. The US has the same policy and it effectively eliminates that concern.


If a concern of immigrants is some of them become benefits cheats then the problem isn't the immigrants but flaws in the benefits system, which occurs for British benefit cheats as well. More effective would be mechanisms to reduce such abuse.

No. Do you struggle with comprehension?
So how else do unskilled workers without formal qualifications get tested?
E.g., Hotels need people to make beds and clean the guest rooms, there is no international qualification, no university education or industry certificate. You have to trust them that they can do that job, and obviously most people can, so what exactly are we trying to control?

You're focussing too much on me mentioning age. I mentioned that in the context of having a points system like Australia/NZ/etc - I was making the point that we could have whichever criteria we wanted, then weight them however we wanted. You asked how we assign points to a list of workers, and I said how we can do what we want, or have special lists of important jobs with quotas for eg. plumbers, etc. That's what Australia/NZ/etc do!

No, I'm just pointing out that controlling on arbitrary factors is fairly useless.
So we can disregard age and education, family ties is already in place for non-Eu immigrants. What else are we going to try and award points for? I know Canada awards points for French language ability, we could do the same for Welsh, Cornish and Gaelic?

And your point about Spain and France kicking out/banning Brits retiring there is still retarded, like before. Some might not get visas, but many will given they'll have pensions which are enough to support themselves, so won't be a burden (health insurance might be mandatory, to make sure that's the case). When you have pensioners like that, states like Spain and France won't block them out of spite - they're the sort of people countries want!


So old people will also be able to emigrate to the UK, so we have decided that we shouldn't discriminate based on age?







I understand the desired goal to control immigrants such that only productive immigrants can enter. The issue I have is that is more or less impossible to determine a priori, is costly and fills businesses with red-tape, is ineffective and overtly complex for what the UK needs from migrant workers. If it was only the case that the UK needed skilled, highly educated workers then I could possible see some merit but that isn't the case, the UK needs both skilled and unskilled.

I prefer to look at objective measures f populations, and that clearly shows that EU immigration is a large net positive, so there isn't an underlying problem with current immigration levels that is of concern. Sure within current EU immigration there is some percentage of unproductive migrants but you will never be able to stop that, even with a points based system. The migrant demographic the UK sees the highest rate of negative fiscal contributions is the non-EU migration, which is heavily controlled. That just highlights the ineffectiveness of it.
 

Actually it's the inevitable outcome of what you suggested, "technocrats who make decisions based on sound reasoning and scientific evidence, who will not be swayed by unsupported, populist opinions" would basically be cold hearted machine men who would make decisions entirely for the greater good/best interests of the nation as a whole. Without compassion, morality and popular opinion to dictate to them they would simply do what is best even if it's not what is right/wanted. A good example would be the machine revolution in the film of "I robot" (the robots attempted to enslave humanity to protect it from it's own self destructive tendencies).
 
Still don't know people profess any connection between a parties policies and economic recovery, several think tanks have declared there is marginal to no effect from government on growth.

Similarly, economists don't propose a single best way to run an economy, research highlights the pros and cons of all different types of economic policy.
Thee is just too much complexity and too much noise.
 
Actually it's the inevitable outcome of what you suggested, "technocrats who make decisions based on sound reasoning and scientific evidence, who will not be swayed by unsupported, populist opinions" would basically be cold hearted machine men who would make decisions entirely for the greater good/best interests of the nation as a whole. Without compassion, morality and popular opinion to dictate to them they would simply do what is best even if it's not what is right/wanted. A good example would be the machine revolution in the film of "I robot" (the robots attempted to enslave humanity to protect it from it's own self destructive tendencies).


Why would scientists ignore compassion, morality and popular opinion?
That makes absolutely no sense whatsoever.
 
Would be amusing if they charged a fifty pound visa to enter the country, would scupper many family holidays to the islands.

Whilst I expect they would love to give us the 2 finger salute if we left the EU I doubt they would cut their noses off and lose the tourism revenue they get from us. Their loss would be another sunny countries gain
 
Whilst I expect they would love to give us the 2 finger salute if we left the EU I doubt they would cut their noses off and lose the tourism revenue they get from us. Their loss would be another sunny countries gain

They wouldn't bother with something trivial as a tourist tax, they would simply screw Britain over in regard to trade controls and such.
 
Also agree on a Aussie points system and or those going on about skills shortage they have a list of professions they need at any point in time which is given special consideration.

Just do the same thing here
 
So how would this work, an immigrant turns up at border control and they ask him if he can clean toilets, stacks shelves, pull a pint, drive a car, pic strawberries, carry bricks.

The same way as you did getting in to the USA. You have Mrs who is the leader and gets the points to get in.

Then she'll bring the unskilled dishwasher with her :)

The way you go on you still live here. But you don't and pay nothing towards the system.
 
Spain and France would be free to decide how to deal with the now non-EU potential immigrants from the UK. Just like we currently decide how many people come from South Africa, rather than it being anything to do with the EU.

Close treaties with the EU require EU law compliance. And the UK will comply, just like the Swiss and the Norwegians do becase restrictions on the huge, lucrative EU market are not affordable.
 
And the UK will comply, just like the Swiss and the Norwegians do becase restrictions on the huge, lucrative EU market are not affordable.

Indeed, the only real difference between being in/out the EU would be whether we have a say in the decision making, we would still have to comply just like Norway.

People point out that we got on fine without the EU before it existed, well duh, the same is true of computers/phones, try running a company without then now and surviving lol.
 
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