Brexit thread - what happens next

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In my view, for what it's worth, yes it is. The question is how policy makers can best mitigate such shocks. What they should never do is try to load up the negative impact of shock, to inflate and amplify for narrow political advantage. That is grossly irresponsible, and not befitting of anyone in high office.

I think every MP on boths sides was guilty of that and on that basis every one of them should resign their seat. Won't happen though.

I actually rate Osborne a lot as a chancellor and would rather have him there until a new PM is elected or should we put Boris in as chancellor?
 
So you don't care about immigrants then, they're just pawns?

Yes I'm well aware of what a pawn is thanks it was your ridiculous point in general I was taking issue with not the choice of metaphor used to convey the utterly irrelevant point you tired to make.

Ridiculous point? The simple point is that wait until someone here loses their job as a result of this and you can tell it to their face.

A Leave vote isn't going to help those unskilled non EU workers so please explain what that means?!
 
Same, I'll happily start a thread about it.

Were you a head class debater in school? Or a current activist? As for the past few months watching you in politics threads since all the Trump movement, it seems to have brought the worst out in you. As you seem to be chasing every argument for the sake of arguments no matter what has been said.
 
Were you a head class debater in school? Or a current activist? As for the past few months watching you in politics threads since all the Trump movement, it seems to have brought the worst out in you. As you seem to be chasing every argument for the sake of arguments no matter what has been said.

I guess it is a "forum" to vent my political ideas, in real life people seldom debate these things.
 
You are missing the whole point, they have nothing to lose, do you understand?

If things for a lot of people cannot get any worse and they see that this vote mattered and they could take down Cameron etc and the attitude of let's see what happens next, they are going to take that chance.

Also they will only take so much of this comedy show that is now going on, if what they actually voted for doesn't start to get moving pretty soon there is going to be trouble. Because to them, they are being ignored again.

cannot get any worse ? really ? do you think for some it is impossible to get worse ? I find that hard to believe

look at the hardships some of the southern EU countries are suffering - and compare that to the hardships seen in the UK

I'm not belittling it that some have it very hard - I'm really not - but I'm saying it can get a lot worse - just look at other countries

if the money runs out the money runs out

our economy suffers, the government have less money to spend, be it on the NHS, education, welfare etc
 
When we get the new Tory leader, we'll know pretty quickly. If they're serious they'll activate article 50. If they're not, they'll delay it "while they get the negotiating team in order and make serious decisions about their goals" in order to allow the Jul-Sep GDP figures to come out. These will show a 1-2% drop in GDP, and employment figures will also show a slide, along with other bad economic indications. They'll then use this as an excuse to "re-consider" activating article 50 "in the light of new evidence" (also know as the blinkin' obvious and widely predicted actually happening) and hold a commons vote on article 50.

I think it's pretty unlikely, personally, the EU is too unpopular among Tory voters and members for them to be willing to put the country's interest ahead of party interests.
 
there is still a chance for further change if people that voted Leave expressed doubt to their MPs - a swell of doubt could swing things

if this glimpse of reality is what people wish for then fine - but don't expect others to be sympathetic if it goes pear shaped

you've gone up in the plane with a parachute on, on the way up you wonder if you've packed it right - you're now standing on the edge ready to go - do you still go for it ? hope that actually it "might" be ok

Where was all this behaviour before the vote? It was nowhere as bad until the result was cast.
 
Ridiculous point? The simple point is that wait until someone here loses their job as a result of this and you can tell it to their face.

Why would I want to do that?

And again I didn't cast my vote based on assumptions of what would happen to some specific jobs held by some random posters... it is just such a ridiculous point to even make. There will be people who benefit and people who lose out in the short term whichever way this thing went but to say what about X person, wait until Y happens to them and tell them to their face... is just utterly ridiculous.

A Leave vote isn't going to help those unskilled non EU workers so please explain what that means?!

who said anything about 'unskilled' :confused:
 
If things for a lot of people cannot get any worse and they see that this vote mattered and they could take down Cameron etc and the attitude of let's see what happens next, they are going to take that chance.

There are very, very few people in the UK for whom things cannot get any worse as they're about to find out.
 
Never change

:confused:

"Speaking on Tuesday, Assistant Chief Constable Mark Hamilton clarified that while reporting of hate crimes had risen via an online form, there was no evidence to suggest that this was uniquely related to a Brexit vote, nor that the crimes have actually been committed".

"However, we are seeing an increase in reports of hate crime incidents to True Vision, the police online hate crime reporting site. This is similar to the trends following other major national or international events".


http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/06/29/police-hate-crime-not-surged-57-per-cent-since-brexit/
 
sounds like you're still being suckered in by the whole project fear thing... and yes I'm using words like those because there is no certainty here (there isn't certainty either way regardless of the vote result) to state adamantly that 'our economy is going down the **** for years' is pretty silly - you don't know either way, reality is it aside from short term instability probably won't .

No I am living in project "here and now" not "project we might be better off at some point in the future, possibly maybe".

If we properly leave it wont be "short term instability" it will be years and years of uncertainty and instability and lack of investment in the UK.

The markets and our credit ratings haven't dropped just because we will go through a rocky few weeks. We will be in years of financial turmoil and that is why the markets are doing what they are doing.
 
When we get the new Tory leader, we'll know pretty quickly. If they're serious they'll activate article 50. If they're not, they'll delay it "while they get the negotiating team in order and make serious decisions about their goals" in order to allow the Jul-Sep GDP figures to come out. These will show a 1-2% drop in GDP, and employment figures will also show a slide, along with other bad economic indications. They'll then use this as an excuse to "re-consider" activating article 50 "in the light of new evidence" (also know as the blinkin' obvious and widely predicted actually happening) and hold a commons vote on article 50.

I think it's pretty unlikely, personally, the EU is too unpopular among Tory voters and members for them to be willing to put the country's interest ahead of party interests.

they can't its already been stated today in news that it has to be en-acted by Parliament
 
No I am living in project "here and now" not "project we might be better off at some point in the future, possibly maybe".

If we properly leave it wont be "short term instability" it will be years and years of uncertainty and instability and lack of investment in the UK.

Of course... I forgot that you consulted your crystal ball and know exactly how this will all work out, how silly of me.
 
The Police have said there was an increase in the reporting, not that the crimes have actually been committed. The fingers are pointing at Facebook lefties abusing the reporting system for their own agenda. Who'd have thunk it.


What was actually reported was that there was an increase in reporting which is similar too the trends following other major and national events, where reported crimes have fallen back shortly afterwards.

Oddly no mention of a left wing conspiracy.
 
Well no, it's not, as it's still the short-term.

Serious point and I am happy to be proved wrong, what study or precedent out there that to show we will be better off?

All the predictions from experts that I've read this far says leaving is a bad idea.

So it makes me wonder about the Dunning-Kruger Effect on some of the believer of the Leave side.
 
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