Poll: Trident - would you renew? (Poll)

Would you renew Trident?

  • Yes

    Votes: 701 73.7%
  • No

    Votes: 250 26.3%

  • Total voters
    951
Has anybody stopped to think...

Worst case scenario..

Push the button - hundreds of thousands of INNOCENT civilians die - were they the ones that launched the nukes or did whatever it is Trident is supposedly there to deter?

There are many countries out there that don't have nuclear arms that are doing perfectly well too..
 
I think it's important to note that we can cripple the military of a country with nukes without wiping out major cities. That's what I'd favour, as a retaliatory strike if the worst happened to us. If I was the leader and everything was wiped out here, I'd want to utterly cripple the aggressors military so that they could be defeated by allies/at least would stop being a major threat to them.

A nuclear weapon is not some 'big bang' with no other effects. You have radiation deaths from outside the area. You also increase the world's background radiation and increased deaths in the country that sent the bomb. Most nukes are 100's times Hiroshima. It won't be hundred thousand deaths but many, many more and the majority will always be innocent civilians.
 
A nuclear weapon is not some 'big bang' with no other effects. You have radiation deaths from outside the area. You also increase the world's background radiation and increased deaths in the country that sent the bomb. Most nukes are 100's times Hiroshima. It won't be hundred thousand deaths but many, many more and the majority will always be innocent civilians.

Off the top of my head I think most modern nuclear weapons (i.e. hydrogen) are a lot "cleaner" than the old atom bombs i.e. the fallout of the much more powerful warheads used in Trident missiles isn't any more polluting (and possibly a little less so) than the ones used on Japan (not that there is anything good about them pollution wise).
 
It's not as though we have to use nuclear warheads with the full power we could use, and I'm not saying there wouldn't be 'collateral damage'. I'm saying that it's not a binary choice between not firing nuclear weapons or wiping out cities and hundreds of thousands/millions of people if we do so.

warhead yields have reduced over the years, they used to be in the megaton range but because of increased accuracy they are now generally in the low 100's kiloton range. I'm pretty sure our Trident warheads have a 'selectable' yeild which dependind on which stage is activated, either primary alone or primary and secondery.
 
Ironic really, if it had not been for the cold war and the need for more resilient ways of delivering nuclear warheads, would we have gone to the moon as early as we did? Afterall the investment made in nasa's primary aim was missile development. It wasn't untill later on that the compatition between the US and USSR turned into the space race.

Unfortunately if the cold war (or any major war really) hadn't happend we wouldn't be as technologically advanced as we are today.

By that reasoning, we would not have the iPhone or 14nm chips because progress should have slowed to a crawl when we were out of the Cold War. Technological progress has by any reasonable metric accelerated over the last thirty years. It's a popular statement to make that have: "we need war to progress, it's what drives technology" but in fact in those happy periods where the risk of large-scale war hasn't been high, we have seen technology progress in leaps and bounds. There are other forms of competition than war that serve very well and don't run the risk of our millions of deaths and aren't paid for by our taxes, either. Technological progress is far too complex an issue to lay the cause at any one thing, but it's demonstrable that nuclear weapons are not needed for it. Nor can it be claimed that a given pace of technological progress is worth the risk of nuclear war or the destruction of a city. Would I be okay if the iPhone were released in 2008 instead of 2007 if it meant the USA had never dropped two nuclear bombs on Japanese cities? Yes, I would. Life goes on and "OMG!TECHNOLOGY!!" doesn't trump all other values. Especially given that the reasoning is undermined by actual evidence as illustrated at the start of this post.
 
By that reasoning, we would not have the iPhone or 14nm chips because progress should have slowed to a crawl when we were out of the Cold War. Technological progress has by any reasonable metric accelerated over the last thirty years. It's a popular statement to make that have: "we need war to progress, it's what drives technology" but in fact in those happy periods where the risk of large-scale war hasn't been high, we have seen technology progress in leaps and bounds. There are other forms of competition than war that serve very well and don't run the risk of our millions of deaths and aren't paid for by our taxes, either. Technological progress is far too complex an issue to lay the cause at any one thing, but it's demonstrable that nuclear weapons are not needed for it. Nor can it be claimed that a given pace of technological progress is worth the risk of nuclear war or the destruction of a city. Would I be okay if the iPhone were released in 2008 instead of 2007 if it meant the USA had never dropped two nuclear bombs on Japanese cities? Yes, I would. Life goes on and "OMG!TECHNOLOGY!!" doesn't trump all other values. Especially given that the reasoning is undermined by actual evidence as illustrated at the start of this post.

Sure, what i said still applies though, war creates demand for new technology. Development of collosus at bletchly park to break the german lorenz cypher during world war 2. The development of the tank. and, Especially the Manhattan project, which also gave us nuclear electricity. If it wasn't for the need of plutonium and later tritium for fission and fussion weapons we wouldn't of had the first nuclear power stations, thats just the tip of the iceburg. I'm not saying these things wouldn't of happened but that they were developed much quicker compared to peicetime because of the huge amount of demand from governments and thus funding they recieved.
 
Renew.

I'd rather it be that no one had them but sadly chest huffing and drumming between nations is still the way the world works.

Basically this; they provide economic stability and unfortunately until there is a unanimous abandonment of nuclear weapons there is reason to maintain them.

I would enjoy the government being able to spend more money on the public sector; Emergency services (Police/Fire), Education, Disability, and Healthcare as they seem to be able to have money available for armed force renewable's / needs but not for other services. I also; would love to see the money spent on this invested in the services I listed, however see first sentence.
 
Sure, what i said still applies though, war creates demand for new technology.

It does, but what you actually were saying was that it was needed to do this. Very big difference between arguing that it can provide an impetus and that it provides a better impetus. As I've backed up, technology has progressed impressively during one of the periods where Western society LEAST expects to come under threat from an equal power. Plus war has some pretty horrific costs to it. It leaves scars for generations, animosity that breeds more animosity. I think the argument you put is one put by people who have never lost family or a home to war. Tell someone whose boyfriend died in Iraq that "hey, this is helping to drive technological innovation". Put that argument to people visiting the memorials at Auschwitz or Hiroshima.

I'll just repeat what I said before. We didn't create modern mobile phone technology because we couldn't allow a screen resolution gap with the Ruskies. Competition does just fine without war. We're a competitive species. The difficulty is reigning it in before it turns into genocide or launching ICBMs at each other, not on finding ways to stimulate it. Have you noticed a LACK of competitiveness in the leaders of modern society?

Development of collosus at bletchly park to break the german lorenz cypher during world war 2.

Development of h.265 compression to make movies better quality. Considerably more complex mathematics involved.

The development of the tank

It's a big metal box on tracks. How about the development of the Ferrari California T. No military applications that I'm aware of but it's some pretty fine looking technology.

and, Especially the Manhattan project, which also gave us nuclear electricity.

Oh, this is a great example. Except that nuclear power was sent down a vastly inferior side road because the US government wanted reactors that spat out lots of Plutonium for their weapons programs. If it weren't for that we'd have far safer reactor designs today and far less nuclear waste lying around that we had to bury. Nuclear power and nuclear weapons are very different technologies. The Manhattan project didn't lead to nuclear power, it diverted resource away from that and then kept it on the wrong track (leading to things like Three Mile Island and Chernobyl) because safer reactor designs that were in consideration at the time didn't fit with the nuclear weapons programs needs.

If it wasn't for the need of plutonium and later tritium for fission and fussion weapons we wouldn't of had the first nuclear power stations,

Completely ass-backwards. The idea of nuclear power predates the atom bomb and given its tremendous advantages would certainly have been pursued. WAS being pursued. All the need for plutonium did was divert it down a less profitable route and create a horror of nuclear power amongst the hippies that we're still trying to overcome.

thats just the tip of the iceburg. I'm not saying these things wouldn't of happened but that they were developed much quicker compared to peicetime because of the huge amount of demand from governments and thus funding they recieved.

That's not demonstrated at all. At least one of your examples was held back by military interest and for anything else I can match you piece for piece. You've ignored the fact that the last thirty years have seen the fastest pace of technological development this species has ever experienced and just fallen straight back to argument by assertion and citing a few examples that can be matched just as easily with counter-examples all day long.

You repeated a bit of received wisdom which you'd never questioned. You have been challenged on it. You are not considering whether or not you were right in your original statement but instead have gone off in search immediately of facts to support it. People find the facts they're looking for - always have. But you can't actually show that war is the best drive for technology as fastest pace of development has actually taken place outside of it. You've completely disregarded the question of whether an accelerated pace (which you have yet to prove) is worth the deaths of millions and the long-term animosity between peoples that war breeds. Please, consider if your argument is ACTUALLY right, rather than instinctively defend it because you never analysed it before.
 
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Sorry, perhaps i've not been as clear as I should be, ofcourse their of other drivers of technology its not a binary either or scenario. But we'll have to agree to disaggree on this
 
Agreed


No.

I served for 18years and every time this conversation came up it was virtually unanimous that it wasn't wanted/needed it would dilute the quality of our Forces massively.

Exactly why would the forces want half the reprobates that live in GB.

We aren't the biggest in military terms but we excel in higher quality training, ability to despatch almost anywhere quickly and are far more advanced than most nations.

We don't need Johnny jobless coming in and disrupting things.
 
It's a big metal box on tracks. How about the development of the Ferrari California T. No military applications that I'm aware of but it's some pretty fine looking technology.

Read up or watch some video on tank development leading upto ww2 especially what the Germans did under bans and the tigers, etc. - some pretty big development steps forward and for the time some impressive feats of progress and engineering. The 1930s probably saw a rate of progress atleast on par with recent years even if some of it seems simple in the perspective of today.
 
Basically this; they provide economic stability and unfortunately until there is a unanimous abandonment of nuclear weapons there is reason to maintain them.

Conventional weapons are extraordinarily effective at killing. For example, the firebombing of Tokyo on the night of 9–10 March 1945. Estimates of the number killed range from 97,000-200,000. Around 1 million were made homeless.
It seems to me that aiming for a World without nuclear weapons is a particular policy, under which certain types umbrella who don't really give things that much more thought.
 
Ironic really, if it had not been for the cold war and the need for more resilient ways of delivering nuclear warheads, would we have gone to the moon as early as we did? Afterall the investment made in nasa's primary aim was missile development. It wasn't untill later on that the compatition between the US and USSR turned into the space race.

Unfortunately if the cold war (or any major war really) hadn't happend we wouldn't be as technologically advanced as we are today.

Conflict will always be a driver for technology but there is no reason to think without war that we wouldn't be any less advanced albeit maybe in different areas. Advancement doesn't have to always be technological too. Conflict does bring around change though and that can be a stimulus for a great many things.
 
Read up or watch some video on tank development leading upto ww2 especially what the Germans did under bans and the tigers, etc. - some pretty big development steps forward and for the time some impressive feats of progress and engineering. The 1930s probably saw a rate of progress atleast on par with recent years even if some of it seems simple in the perspective of today.

Not to mention advances in mechanical reliability, metallurgy, optics, chemistry, practical application of lasers to name but a few. A tank is a box on tracks like a Saturn V was a firework.
 
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