Brexit thread - what happens next

Jokester · 28 Jul 2016 at 18:56

The UK will be offered the free-movement brake that's been talked about already as a concession and that'll be the end of it in my opinion.

Nate--IRL-- · 28 Jul 2016 at 18:58

Jokester said:
The UK will be offered the free-movement brake that's been talked about already as a concession and that'll be the end of it in my opinion.

I can't see eastern Europe countries agreeing to that TBH.

Nate

Jokester · 28 Jul 2016 at 18:59

Nate--IRL-- said:
I can't see eastern Europe countries agreeing to that TBH.

Nate

As opposed to having their EU subsidies greatly cut?

Nate--IRL-- · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:01

Jokester said:
As opposed to having their EU subsidies greatly cut?

I'm not sure I understand? Who will cut their subsidy?

Nate

Cern · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:07

Nate--IRL-- said:
I'm not sure I understand? Who will cut their subsidy?

If the UK leaves, one of the largest net contributors is no longer paying in, so subsidies will inevitably be cut unless the other net contributors are willing to pay more (unlikely).

Skunkworks · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:11

That's why we have them by the balls.

Nate--IRL-- · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:12

Cern said:
If the UK leaves, one of the largest net contributors is no longer paying in, so subsidies will inevitably be cut unless the other net contributors are willing to pay more (unlikely).

Makes sense. I wonder by what margin and for what subsidised areas though. Anything published along those lines before?

Nate

Stretch · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:12

Name said:
It's true, i voted to Leave and i can see that the referendum has been buried.

The article triggering will get postboned and postboned and May and Merkel will need just a little more time....and then some more excuses and then come 2018 "ah it was only advisory and a lot has changed since 2016" and with all that time passing most of the public will have forgotten about the vote leading the UK to have worked out some sort of deal with the EU and Scotland to remain.

It's very possible that the EU will drag the negotiation out indefinitely by engineering a stalemate. Neither side can afford to split on bad terms, and the only leverage each other have will harm themselves as much as the other side. I can't see an agreement in the pipeline, and equally can't see the UK just walking away.

Amp34 · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:18

Skunkworks said:
That's why we have them by the balls.

Only if we stay in and agree to other terms, rather than invoke A50.

Terminal_Boy · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:18

Skunkworks said:
That's why we have them by the balls.

This.

We are also import a huge amount of goods from EU member states, particularly France and Germany.

Jokester · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:20

Nate--IRL-- said:
Makes sense. I wonder by what margin and for what subsidised areas though. Anything published along those lines before?

Nate

Poland receives about 13Bn Euro net from the EU per year at the moment.

Edit: Actually 13Bn Euros

Nate--IRL-- · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:27

Jokester said:
Poland receives about 13Bn Euro net from the EU per year at the moment.

Edit: Actually 13Bn Euros

It'll be interesting to see what percentage of that is affected after the A50 negotiations complete.

Nate

Greebo · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:33

kitch9 said:
Pee'd off remainers will be blaming stubbing their toe on Brexit for the next 5 years at least.

Even if they'd just drunk 10 pints and were running round the house with a pair of crusty underpants on their head at the time.

bayo000 · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:44

Skunkworks said:
That's why we have them by the balls.

Hahaha. I guess we'll see but UK is the one with pants down and about to be ******

Skunkworks · 28 Jul 2016 at 19:48

Self loathing left

Tunney · 28 Jul 2016 at 20:12

European Commission selects Michel Barnier to lead negotiations, insists that negotiations are carried out in French.

Well played.

StriderX · 28 Jul 2016 at 20:15

Tunney said:
European Commission selects Michel Barnier to lead negotiations, insists that negotiations are carried out in French.

Well played.

And the games begin, someone (Merkel and Schauble pref) needs to shut Junker up for once, what a *****.

Trifid · 28 Jul 2016 at 20:20

Tunney said:
European Commission selects Michel Barnier to lead negotiations, insists that negotiations are carried out in French.

Well played.

Don't they know anything? We'll continue to speak English but start shouting and over spacing each word while making some hand gestures.

Jokester · 28 Jul 2016 at 20:22

MONGE TOUT, MONGE TOUT MON SUER!

Stretch · 28 Jul 2016 at 20:22

StriderX said:
And the games begin, someone (Merkel and Schauble pref) needs to shut Junker up for once, what a *****.

Agreed. He needs to go.