Brexit thread - what happens next

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I think you'll find I've been arguing that we should be doing more for Syrian refugees for years. In fact the UK didn't do too badly in this regard - funding safe refugee camps in Lebanon and Jordan, but the aid sent by our fellow EU members was pitiful. In any case, a lot of these so-called refugees aren't from Syria - they're from North Africa, sub-Saharan Africa, Iran, Albania, Pakistan etc i.e. relatively stable countries and are trying it on because they know the west is weak right now. Iran ffs - the Obama administration has just given the regime there $400bn in used bank notes.

wasn't it 400m last week?

on the plus side though between now and 2022 iran has bought 25 billion worth of planes from airbus ^_^
 
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Rubbish. You only do that when the economy is in a mess. Prior to brexit it was a question of when rates would be going up. Was expected to at least once this year.

We've had over 5 years of 0.5% interest rates, please explain how we're already not in a mess :D The central banks have talked and talked about a hike, but in reality it cannot happen. The Slight drop was inevitable.
 
I think you'll find I've been arguing that we should be doing more for Syrian refugees for years. In fact the UK didn't do too badly in this regard - funding safe refugee camps in Lebanon and Jordan, but the aid sent by our fellow EU members was pitiful. In any case, a lot of these so-called refugees aren't from Syria - they're from North Africa, sub-Saharan Africa, Iran, Albania, Pakistan etc i.e. relatively stable countries and are trying it on because they know the west is weak right now. Iran ffs - the Obama administration has just given the regime there $400bn in used bank notes.

How would we continue helping the Syrian camps if we withdraw foreign aid?

Not running from a specific war zone does not mean you aren't a legitimate refugee btw. Much of sub Saharan Africa is in a state for many reasons, including desertification, in part caused by climate change, of which we have been a significant contributor to. Foreign aid is fast becoming a way of helping other countries overcome difficulties we had a hand in in the first place, and as a way of changing practices in those countries to help ourselves.

We are one world, and what happens in one part of the world can easily affect others, we need to be working together and helping those less fortunate, both for their benefit and ours. Help them reduce fertility rates, increase sustainable agriculture, reduce deforestation and disease incubation and that in turn helps us by reducing the impact of climate change, the gestation of disease that can become global and reduce refugee crisies, leading to a more sustainable world.

The reality is the £12B is hardly anything to is, but is a significant amount (if spent properly) to others. 1% increase (in GDP) in spending on our military and security is not suddenly going to make us some kind of superpower again and it's not going to turn us into a manufacturing behemoth again (does anyone actually want that, we want increased wages, not lower wages).

But **** me all, and trying to help others, let's become more insular and spend the £12b on flood defences and insurance claims because we couldn't be bothered to actually try and stop/reduce the major changes our planet is going through because of the actions of all 7.2Billion of us.

Oh, but that isnt the correct logic, we have a duty to protect ourselves above all else, regardless of how archaic it is that is the system in place for the time being.

The zeitgeist has not inflected yet, but it will.

So pull up the drawbridge, close the windows and stick our fingers in our ears, hoping they won't get in?

Good solution!

wasn't it 400m last week?

on the plus side though between now and 2022 iran has bought 25 billion worth of planes from airbus ^_^

Scorza obviously saw another few planes landing, or saw the video Trumps team conceded he hadn't actually seen, aka the one he lied about. :p

Foreign 'aid', when you dig down, its corruption; which in many ways benefits us. But don't be fooled into thinking its charity.

Hey, don't let fact get in the way of a good argument. We already shot ourselves in the foot trying to stop a few non European migrants entering the UK by voting for brexit so may as well shoot ourselves in the other foot! :p
 
So pull up the drawbridge, close the windows and stick our fingers in our ears, hoping they won't get in?

Good solution!

Its exactly the course that we've laid for ourselves, as a democracy the government has to show its protecting its own people above those outside of its remit.

This is why the UN was created, but it is nothing more than a secondary arm of the US government in reality, with minor benefits for other Perm. Security Council members.

It would be lovely if things worked, but we as a species get bored of such things.
 
It seems like pound isnt going to recover any time soon... I just worry that the banks could use this opportunity to do shady stuff and blame it on brexit, using tax-payers money in process.

Although many would call that statement a conspiracy poop, I guess someone who predicted 2008 banking crisis would've been called a nut job too.
 
It seems like pound isnt going to recover any time soon... I just worry that the banks could use this opportunity to do shady stuff and blame it on brexit, using tax-payers money in process.

Although many would call that statement a conspiracy poop, I guess someone who predicted 2008 banking crisis would've been called a nut job too.

Well, the BoE is stronger than the FSA was and more robust in approach which puts a partial damper on that one. However, there is a difficulty: tighten the screws, and the banks won't lend; set them loose, and you inflate bubbles left, right and centre, with speculative shenans on the menu as they've always been. Now whilst you're magicking some stimulus into being, assume the Eurozone stumbles or worse. Suddenly we have more risk and carp we may not be able to effectively bailout or influence -- fun times and hello square 0.
 
Well, the BoE is stronger than the FSA was and more robust in approach which puts a partial damper on that one. However, there is a difficulty: tighten the screws, and the banks won't lend; set them loose, and you inflate bubbles left, right and centre, with speculative shenans on the menu as they've always been. Now whilst you're magicking some stimulus into being, assume the Eurozone stumbles or worse. Suddenly we have more risk and carp we may not be able to effectively bailout or influence -- fun times and hello square 0.

We cant bailout anyway, this dumbass idea of Zero-near zero interest rates and QE (Where a big chunk just moves into the hands of people who seriously don't need it) needs to end before we get to the point that Inflation comes about purely because of it and nothing else.
 
We cant bailout anyway, this dumbass idea of Zero-near zero interest rates and QE (Where a big chunk just moves into the hands of people who seriously don't need it) needs to end before we get to the point that Inflation comes about purely because of it and nothing else.

Never say never. Sadly none of us here are on the MPC, for example, nor will their actions be put to any vote outside the committee. Still, the BoE had set out its plan, possible scenarios and their anticipated effects. Whether anyone thought that was conspiracy, scaremongering or too hard to understand is a historical footnote at this point. The plan is being put into action by the numbers, aiming to fibrillate the economy long enough for political classes to do their bit.

And whatever the play, we're in the hands of the technocrats now, good and proper, baby!:)
 
Are they still committed to this idea of giving money to banks and hoping that it trickles down in the form of loans to businesses that use it to invest? As in the thing that didn't work the last time around.
 
Are they still committed to this idea of giving money to banks and hoping that it trickles down in the form of loans to businesses that use it to invest? As in the thing that didn't work the last time around.

I meant to do the maths a while back but didn't get around to it. Idle thought suggested that the cost of bank bailouts meant that you could have given a hell of a lot of the population a grand each to spend which probably would have been good for the non-service based economy too. :D
 
I meant to do the maths a while back but didn't get around to it. Idle thought suggested that the cost of bank bailouts meant that you could have given a hell of a lot of the population a grand each to spend which probably would have been good for the non-service based economy too. :D

Hmm, well about £550 bn was used to rescue the banks, that's £8,400 ish for every man, woman, and child alive today. Or over 10 grand each for just every adult.

But giving it to people directly instead of rescuing the banks might have resulted in the collapse of one or more banks, which would have been a disaster for account holders, and possibly caused a chain reaction of collapses. That's why banks have to hold a lot more cash these days, and 'stress tests' are tougher.
 
By the sounds of it some of the UK scientists are now finding that they aren't being allowed to join consortium to bid for funding from the EU (we pay in about 5 billion for R&D and get back about 8-9 billion), as the other scientists in the consortium are worried about the fact that these are multi year projects where the participants might be doing work in different countries.

Basically without knowing if the various people will be able to do the necessary exchanges/work in each others countries they don't want UK scientists involved as it could cause massive problems.

An outcome that I don't think comes as much of a surprise to those who had any clue about long term multi year projects that involved workers from multiple countries.


But does that offset the extra we're going to be paying for all imports?
 
By the sounds of it some of the UK scientists are now finding that they aren't being allowed to join consortium to bid for funding from the EU (we pay in about 5 billion for R&D and get back about 8-9 billion), as the other scientists in the consortium are worried about the fact that these are multi year projects where the participants might be doing work in different countries.

Are there any legal implications to excluding the UK from bids? We are still fully paid up members at this time and have yet to officially announce our departure.
 
Are there any legal implications to excluding the UK from bids? We are still fully paid up members at this time and have yet to officially announce our departure.

Is it realistic to pursue a legal approach to this in order to get clarity on legal foundations we all know are going to change anyway ?

By the time the decision is reached, it would be too late.
 
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