Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Either that, or they now have a back door to Chinese supply lines.

I wouldn't assume N Korean artillery shells are ineffective. S Korea assume Seoul would be more or less obliterated in an opening barrage.

The fact here is, both sides are exhausting ammunition at a rate of knots and need to replace lost stocks. That is becoming more challenging as time goes on and supporters exhaust their stockpiles.

Rose tinted glasses are not helpful.
Well Ukraine at least has the benefit of not having a doctrine focused on blanketing huge areas with artillery to hopefully hit a single target and then wondering why one's munitions stockpiles that are unhelpfully all in one place causes problems.

Sure Ukraine is still using munitions faster than we can restock them, but that will be resolved over time and it's not like Ukraine doesn't have production of their own.
 
Well Ukraine at least has the benefit of not having a doctrine focused on blanketing huge areas with artillery to hopefully hit a single target and then wondering why one's munitions stockpiles that are unhelpfully all in one place causes problems.

Sure Ukraine is still using munitions faster than we can restock them, but that will be resolved over time and it's not like Ukraine doesn't have production of their own.

One of Ukraine's problems is that they have a bigger mix of weaponry, both former Soviet and nato, and that is not great for their logistics.

I guess they'll eventually be all standard nato, but that will take a while to work through.

I'm Mr Pessimistic, but my views are valid.
 
Either that, or they now have a back door to Chinese supply lines.

I wouldn't assume N Korean artillery shells are ineffective. S Korea assume Seoul would be more or less obliterated in an opening barrage.

The fact here is, both sides are exhausting ammunition at a rate of knots and need to replace lost stocks. That is becoming more challenging as time goes on and supporters exhaust their stockpiles.

Rose tinted glasses are not helpful.

North Korea has a ton of older artillery platforms which still have application in Ukraine - but don't actually have the range to hit Seoul until/unless they pushed in an offensive (which would leave their artillery exposed in the open to get it in range). However North Korea has been developing and producing stuff like the KN-09 ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KN-09_(multiple_rocket_launcher) ) which has range and damage - though from everything I know not a precision weapon despite the guidance - they'd rely on just barraging Seoul and/or the area of command centres, etc. with it rather than being able to pinpoint military targets. The last few years a lot of their resources have gone into producing them but actual numbers are unknown.

It is possible NK might sell off a lot of its older artillery to Russia to put the resources into its newer systems as the biggest advantage they have is the ability to threaten Seoul with massive bombardment.

Ultimately a lot of NK's military hardware relies heavily on China but I'm not sure there is directly a backdoor for supplying Russia there - China seems quite leery of getting involved militarily and it benefits them almost as much as the US to see Russia bleed aside from the aspect that Russia adds additional strength on the international stage to counter the US.

One of Ukraine's problems is that they have a bigger mix of weaponry, both former Soviet and nato, and that is not great for their logistics.

I guess they'll eventually be all standard nato, but that will take a while to work through.

I'm Mr Pessimistic, but my views are valid.

One of the ways they are dealing with that is who gets equipment - they have quite distinct lines between territorial forces, security forces, professional army, etc. etc. and can divide out who has what and their respective logistics.
 
What are the chances of nuclear war now then? was ******** myself a few month ago.

About the same as a few months ago really - incredibly unlikely but with a risk there. The Russian government has been exposed more than ever to being more like a cartel or mafia than what we'd think of as a government - they aren't going to do anything in a hurry which might destroy themselves. One of the big wildcards really is the situation for Putin - if he does feel like time is running out for himself he might do (or attempt to do) something destructive as a spiteful parting gift.
 
Somebody here tracks flights don't they? I swear a huge military B-52H just flew over sommerford keynes, near Cirencester.

Tried to get a picture, but was too late
They are stationed at RAF Fairford at the moment, so expect more of it. They were flying around in circles at midnight the other day.
 

Seems like they've got a lot more manpower now than Russians to enable 2 counter offensives in the North & South
USA full Infantry course is 22 weeks ;10 weeks basic, 12 weeks advanced, all at Fort Benning. Whereas UK phase 1 is 14 weeks Pirbright then 26 weeks at Catterick. 22 weeks is about on the money for a full regiment or more to have started in March
 
North Korea has a ton of older artillery platforms which still have application in Ukraine - but don't actually have the range to hit Seoul until/unless they pushed in an offensive (which would leave their artillery exposed in the open to get it in range). However North Korea has been developing and producing stuff like the KN-09 ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KN-09_(multiple_rocket_launcher) ) which has range and damage - though from everything I know not a precision weapon despite the guidance - they'd rely on just barraging Seoul and/or the area of command centres, etc. with it rather than being able to pinpoint military targets. The last few years a lot of their resources have gone into producing them but actual numbers are unknown.

It is possible NK might sell off a lot of its older artillery to Russia to put the resources into its newer systems as the biggest advantage they have is the ability to threaten Seoul with massive bombardment.

Ultimately a lot of NK's military hardware relies heavily on China but I'm not sure there is directly a backdoor for supplying Russia there - China seems quite leery of getting involved militarily and it benefits them almost as much as the US to see Russia bleed aside from the aspect that Russia adds additional strength on the international stage to counter the US.



One of the ways they are dealing with that is who gets equipment - they have quite distinct lines between territorial forces, security forces, professional army, etc. etc. and can divide out who has what and their respective logistics.

Thanks, that's a really helpful response
 
USA full Infantry course is 22 weeks ;10 weeks basic, 12 weeks advanced, all at Fort Benning. Whereas UK phase 1 is 14 weeks Pirbright then 26 weeks at Catterick. 22 weeks is about on the money for a full regiment or more to have started in March
Pretty sure UK infantry training is 26 weeks all in phase 1&2.
 
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