Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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As you know this is a pretty popular topic right now, I just wanted to share my thoughts which are not exactly main-stream at the moment, and see what you think... Obviously I am ready to get poo thrown at me :D as per GD rule.

At first I was very supportive of protesters, it seemed as right thing... People trying to get rid of a Soviet style dictator who is actually just a puppet to Russia, in hopes of achieving better living conditions.

But the more I started reading into it, more I became disappointed.... You could say that the reason why this all started is because Yanukovich turned down the EU association deal... At the time I thought this is because his warlords in Russia told him that he cant.

But as I took closer look at the EU deal and what effects it would have on Ukraine, in few short words... It would completely destroy Ukraine`s industry... All their factories are non EU compliant, money needed to modernize such factories are just at silly numbers....

Especially when manufacturers such as Antonov-aircrafts keep afloat only because Russia orders them.... With EU association, Russia will no longer buy those airplanes due to increased price and also for political reasons.

So you might say well Antonov will be given a loan to modernize themselves and all will be dandy, but in reality there is no way that they will ever be able to compete with Airbus in France, it is just impossible. They simply will not be able to pay the loan back which they took out for modernization.

Mining industry will also be completely dismantled due to same reasons it happened in UK under Thatcher, with so many regulations and limits it is just cheaper to buy coal from 3rd world country than produce themselves.

Now about the Nuclear power stations currently in Ukraine, as I understand they will also be closed down, as it happened with Lithuania.... Because those Nuclear stations are Soviet type which do not meet requirements of safety by EU...

Most likely EU will force Ukraine to build new nuclear stations which are EU compliant or make them all green with turbines and solar panels.

I had a read about Lithuania`s Nuclear Power Plant, basically after shutting it down EU proposed a new one will be built but at a price of 5 billion, with builders being sub-contracted from EU and USA and basically none of Baltic countries will even take part in the build, therefore local building companies will not benefit from this at all, the station will also be operated by outsiders.

Moreover, Russians nearby are building a EU compliant Nuclear station for the half of the price, and if you factor in the money they will have returned due to their own people working on the project we are talking at serious difference.

So what we did, is shut down a working Nuclear station which employed thousands of local people and produced electricity at pennies due to the fact that it was left for FREE by Soviets... And now forcing them to build new one for 5 billion Euros, with no locals working there and since they cant afford such expense they will now take out massive loans and pay huge % on them.

Moreover, the new nuclear station will not even be competitive since the price per megawatt has gone up drastically compared to the old one and that is the main reason why Russians built their own one nearby.

This is pretty much the same scenario Ukraine will see from EU, across all of their industries.


Also, it seems the Ukranians who are protesting believe that they will be Accepted into EU, they seem not to understand the difference between membership and assosiation, most think as soon they will sign it they will be able to go work to any place in EU.

Ukraine population is 46 million, I can imagine UK will quit EU next day if they are allowed full membership.

I had a look at at the protesters and their actions, they are extremely nationalistic and hate Russians greatly, this is a problem where around 40% of population consider themselves ethnic Russians. On the square, they waved flags of their Nazi legions of the ww2 and held portraits of Bendera the guy whos squad used to participate in ethnic cleansing of Ukraine from Russians and Polish people, there are horrific images online, they only targetted women and children and ran away at first sight of soviets. It is said that even most brutal Waffen-ss members were horrified by the methods of those Ukrainians.

We see those individuals hailed and celebrated in the square.

I also had a look at the opposition speeches in the square and nearly all of them were booed at, the only people they cheered for were the ultra nationalistic party members who held guns and called for ethnic cleansing of Ukraine and deportation of Russian speaking population.

In the end, I have split feelings... It is great that they got rid of a corrupt puppet, but it seems that now they have given way to politicians with nazi
ideologies, their parliament pretty much elected themselves and all people in key positions are with very nationalistic views.

They will now sign the EU deal no matter what, we might as well even force them to became our slaves, they will still sign it.... No one cared that in reality the Russian deal was a much better proposition, they just want to be part of EU and dont care what effects it will have on them, they seem to have this idea that EU is a wonder-place where everything is just amazing, or they simply dont care what will happen to them just as long as they get to stick it up to Russia... It is funny that at the moment UK wants to leave due to restrictions and Greece thinks it will be able to revive economy much better and faster if they left, they also seem to forget that we will simply not accept a country which is so poor and with such massive population.

Anyway rant over, throw poo at me and use the "they now have freeedom" expression :D
 
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Literally tl;dr. Cool story etc Ukraine etc :D This is all over the news at the moment, and I have no idea.. Can you summarize?

Yeah I had a look at my message and was like, yeah I cant even bother to re-read it myself...

So in short my opinion;

Its great that they ousted a stupid President, but it seems that they have given way to ultra nationalists who have Nazi tendencies and already showed it in the square by waving flags of Nazis and cheering for calls of ethnic cleansing of Ukraine from Russians, Russians make up something around 40% of Ukraine population.

Ukranians seem to not understand that no one offered to join EU, they think that if they sign the deal they will be able to work in EU.

Ukranians also dont seem to realize that the deal that was offered to them will ruin whole countries industry. While the Russian deal has seemed to be economically a lot more viable, but they seem to have this belief that once they join EU, they will live like Germany or UK... Completely dispersing countries like Portugal,Greece,Baltics saying that they will never be like them.

Currently, very anti-Russian and Nationalistic people are getting into power in Ukraine, they simply openly discriminate against Russian population, they are talking about banning Russian language completely and removing and banning all things reminding them of Russia or Soviet Union, while Nazi flag and insignia are allowed..... They see Nazis as liberators.

Overall it seems we supporting radicals once again, just like we do in Syria... I wonder how Germany feels about proposition of Ukraine government to teach kids that Nazis were pretty much the good guys and those who carried out ethnic cleansing were also good people fighting for freedom. This isnt being made right now, but the people who are getting into power right now are from very radical parties and they talked about this a lot, but been dismissed as idiots before.
 
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To summarize OP how I read it:

Revolution in Kiev is a protest against democratically elected pro Russian/anti EU president who still appears to have a support of majority of the electorate.

Most of Ukrainians outside of Kiev (keep in mind 40% of Ukrainians consider themselves Russian) support president who does not want to comply with EU rules for trading and prefers the nation to stay non compliant with last century Russian technology and relations.

The protestants in Kiev are mixed bunch that mostly does not agree with each other and have no clearly defined program or leader. Many of them wave black "Bandera" flags, the colours of ultra nationalist partisan UPA groups that cooperated with Waffen SS during WWII and murdered and torched countless Polish and Jewish villages.

What to us might look like Ukrainian Spring, may in fact be another Yugoslavia, where between potentially froth mouthed, ruthless commie leftie ruler and potentially froth mouthed, aggressive pro-nazi hit squad behind barricade, it is quite probable that in very near future only blue helmets in white tanks will find right balance for the common folk lost in the middle of it all.

This is pretty amazing :D

But with one downside, the current President has no support what so ever... The Russians consider him as a wet-wipe and no longer have faith in him what so ever...

Russian population of Ukraine is afraid that anti-Russian government will be installed (it is already happening).

Moreover, most industry is located in the Pro-Russian side of Ukraine and they worry that with introduction of "new world" technology they will be out of jobs and with the government ideology that Russians must go, they are afraid there will be no support for them what so ever.
 
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Nice :p I can take it seriously now!

In all honesty the country seems extremely messed up just now and it seems to be a lot to do with Russia trying to stop them getting close to the EU. Something about Russia trying to set up their own version of it with the Ukraine and some other countries if I remember.

Their people don't seem happy about this though so I understand why they want to do something about it when their government won't listen.

See thats the idea western media is portraying :p

Those Ukrainians do not understand that no one offered them a place in EU and that signing this agreement will put ruin to their country due to harsh conditions offered in the contract.

Those who protest, simply do not care they are blaming Russia for everything, no one had a look at those agreements in detail.. Most are thinking they are being offered a EU membership, to them it doesnt even matter... They would side with whoever just to go against Russians even though it has no financial sense what so ever... Moreover it seems that everyone forgets whole eastern and southern Ukraine is Pro-Russian, a fact completely ignored.
 
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To be frank we shouldn't get involved on any level at all

We already did, that Association deal and support of Western politicians for protesters caused all of this turmoil.

It might have been a good move, but as I gathered we only seem to cause violence and destruction and then leave the country to deal with it themselves :(

Just like with Libya,Afghanistan,Iraq.

If we will help Ukraine to achieve great prosperity it would be great, but then again.... this is very doubtful since we are struggling ourselves let alone help nearly 50 million people stuck in Soviet era.

We cant deal with greece, which is a fraction of population and has fraction of the problems.... We wont be able to deal with ukraine, it is impossible.... But we made it seem like we will but in reality it was just a blatant lie.
 
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It is pretty much a race war in my eyes, on one side you have Ukranian/EU nationalist that are doing eveything in their power not to be turned to the Chinese/Russian side..

It's actually the better deal to go with Russia though, all the power is going to come from China and Russia in the future, prosperity will emerge from Chinese/Russian money, China are on the ball and they don't intend on stopping..

China yes, Russia? I am not sure.... Currently Russians are worried that the Chinese will invade in near future, since Russia offers them everything to sustain their growth...
 
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Yeah that's a while ago though, i think those two are certainly more friends than enemies in the long run of West v East.

Its not that great as it seems in all honesty.... As I understand Putin keeps mediating between the USA and China... Whoever Russia sides with should win but they are weaker than USA or China.

Time will tell, at least for now.. Russia and China relations are far cry of those of UK and USA.
 
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I'd say the chance of a Russian intervention is slim. The repercussions for Russia would be too great, and the Ukrainian armed forces (at least on paper) are large enough to be able to put up a decent resistance. It would be no walkover.

Stop dreaming, be serious... Russia took on Georgia and all that was done is few angered letters and it was forgotten.

This popped up on FB today and reminded me of this thread....


Seen that video on BBC, even the BBC said that it is heavily biased towards protestors since it protrayed that only the protestors suffered, while the police in the square had numerous losses themselves and protestors have been seen with live ammo guns Before the police were allowed to carry those themselves.

It was also mentioned it has been "hollywood" edited for maximum effect, hardly your average video.

I imagine the diplomatic repercussions from the EU and the US would be significant. A NATO intervention to defend Ukraine wouldn't be totally unthinkable either.

No lol, they will not intervene against Russia, dont be crazy.

Ukranian army is pathetic compared to Russian and chances are that the real army would refuse orders to fight Russians from the government... About 40% of Ukraine are still pro Russian.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/feb/23/ukraine-crisis-secession-russian-crimea
 
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I hope they Do Join. It's horrible living in a Country that shares a Border with Russia. My wife is from Georgia and I must say it was very scary to say the least when they invaded in 2008.

Russia DID NOT invade Georgia. It has been made a fact by EU commission that the aggressor in that conflict was Georgia.

Georgia shelled civilian city of Tsihinvali way before Russians even did anything.

EU Independent Fact Finding Mission Report;

"The Report stated that conflict started "with a massive Georgian artillery attack... against the town of Tskhinvali and the surrounding areas, launched in the night of 7 to 8 August 2008""

"The report also stated that "the use of force by Georgia against Russian peacekeeping forces in Tskhinvali in the night of 7/8 August 2008 would be contrary to international law". The report said that "if the Russian peacekeepers were attacked," then "the immediate [Russian] reaction in defense of Russian peacekeepers" would be justified, as "Russia had the right to defend its peacekeepers, using military means proportionate to the attack"

This is a EU report mind you....

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Respon...ar#EU_Independent_Fact_Finding_Mission_Report


Watch this video too

 
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It's entirely different this time, Ukraine is a large European state and I seriously doubt the US and Europe are just going to allow Russia to invade and do as they please, they have to stand up to Putin.

I did say that chances of an actual intervention are slim, but it isn't entirely impossible.

The Russian army isn't too great these days either you know, although there is no disputing that the Russian's have a clear advantage

Russia will not invade Ukraine, because it wants nothing with the western Ukraine...

However, Russian parts of Ukraine like Crimea refuse to acknowledge the current government, I would not be surprised that they will leave Ukraine and seek some sort of recognition from Russia, other regions in the east might do exactly the same.

It will be done through democratic vote and then reinforced by Russia.
 
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Why would they do that? The President that has just been removed was pro-Russian and catered to their interests quite nicely.

You look at it too simply, Putin is a very smart guy... I predict in very near future we will see a split Ukraine with Russian side of Ukraine joining Russia. Not because Russia will invade them, but because they will do it themselves.

You might ask why? I explained it in other posts, the current government already passed laws banning Russian language and all monuments,statues built in favor of soviets/russians. That even includes the monuments to soldiers of ww2 and the burning flames to the dead.

Russian population of Ukraine DOES NOT want to put up with this, hence you see massive movements against the new government in south and eastern ukraine.

Moreover, EU deal would mean death to south/east industry because nearly all industry of Ukraine are in those regions.

Therefore, in very near future we will see a yugoslavian scenario in Ukraine but just in less pieces.... With the eastern and southern parts going into Russian Federation, all this will be done democratically... Putin will come out on top.
 
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Maybe Georgia were out of hand shelling that city and a bit extreme even though it was retaliatory but that city was in Sovereign Georgian territory.

Russia invaded in order to protect Russian Citizens that lived in Ossetia but really it was a put up job. The Russians set it up and the Georgians miscalculated.

The Russians were advancing on the Georgian capital Tbilisi then George Bush told them to back down and they did.

If one country's armed forces are advancing on the capital of another country and that is not construed as an invasion then I dont know what is.lol

Trust me, George Bush would have near to 0 influence on Putin... Putin (Medvedev) didnt invade Tbilisi because they didnt want to, not because Bush said something.

In reality apart from public shaming there is NOTHING that can be done against Russia, they are not Iran or North Korea... Whole EU depends on Russian resources to keep the economy going.

You said it yourself, what did you expect Russia to do if Georgia shelled a CIVLLIAN city where Russian peace-keepers were along with Russian citizens? If this was any other anti-western Nation doing such things, they would be bombed to stone age immidiatly... You simply CANNOT bomb a civillian city especially on a scale Georgia did.

Tshinivali is a disputed territory and by no means a Georgian rightful territory.

Anyway as you have said, regardless of the "put-up" in the scenario of this conflict Russia was right in their actions and advancing troops onto Tbilisi is proportional to the Georgian military action of a devastating bombardment of a civilian city...

Russians left no other option for Tbilisi than to sign the peace deal, after which they went back.

I hope after reading into the subject, which you clearly have done to answer my post, you now understand that while this is a grey territory its not as simple as you portrayed it, being Russians randomly attacking and invading Georgia... At least Russians never bombed Tbilisi.
 
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Yeah I like how he orchestrated those apartment bombings in order to have his second Chechen War.;):rolleyes:

It is a conspiracy theory, but shall we err bring 9/11 then?? ;) Since we are now into conspiracy theory territory you know....

Oh what about the Chemical Weapons in Iraq?? Actually that isnt even a conspiracy theory anymore, it is a recognized fact that it was a fat lie to invade Iraq.

You can watch BBC panarama on the topic, if you do not believe me.

We cant blame Putin even if this was true, we are full of this poo ourselves.
 
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