Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

Out of interest I asked ChatGPT what were the longest recovery periods in the S&P 500 history. I wonder if this time will be as bad as below. I suspect not as the orange nut will be gone in 4 years. Hopefully the next person isn’t a complete idiot.

1. Dot-Com Bubble (2000)
  • Peak: March 2000
  • Recovery: October 2007
  • Time to recover: 7.5 years
  • Cause: Tech bubble burst, followed by the 2001 recession.
2. Global Financial Crisis (2007)
  • Peak: October 2007
  • Recovery: March 2013
  • Time to recover: 5.5 years
  • Cause: Housing bubble, Lehman Brothers collapse, global recession.
3. COVID Crash (2020)
  • Peak: February 2020
  • Recovery: August 2020
  • Time to recover: About 6 months
  • Fastest recovery from a major drop due to massive stimulus and quick rebound.
 
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RockLobster said:
Out of interest I asked ChatGPT what were the longest recovery periods in the S&P 500 history. I wonder if this time will be as bad as below. I suspect not as the orange nut will be gone in 4 years.
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keep dreaming, non of this is "his" fault.. they dont seem to "want" to fix their own problems, and instead make it other peopls.
recovery time? i'll estimate 5years, theres a lot of damage done, and more to come, with promises broken. this isnt really like other causes, and we're over due for a market correction.

dazzlaa said:
As someone who has never invested in the stock market; isn’t now a good time to invest, given that so much has been wiped off the value of so many big companies? I understand it’s always a gamble but surely betting while the value is low means you reap the rewards when/if they recover?
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DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) in is a legit strategy for long term investmet, but i dont think any one thinks we've seen the lowest yet. there is money to be made and lost. its all about managing risk.
be prepared to lose what you invest
 
RockLobster said:
Out of interest I asked ChatGPT what were the longest recovery periods in the S&P 500 history. I wonder if this time will be as bad as below. I suspect not as the orange nut will be gone in 4 years. Hopefully the next person isn’t a complete idiot.

1. Dot-Com Bubble (2000)
  • Peak: March 2000
  • Recovery: October 2007
  • Time to recover: 7.5 years
  • Cause: Tech bubble burst, followed by the 2001 recession.
2. Global Financial Crisis (2007)
  • Peak: October 2007
  • Recovery: March 2013
  • Time to recover: 5.5 years
  • Cause: Housing bubble, Lehman Brothers collapse, global recession.
3. COVID Crash (2020)
  • Peak: February 2020
  • Recovery: August 2020
  • Time to recover: About 6 months
  • Fastest recovery from a major drop due to massive stimulus and quick rebound.
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Cisco has still not recovered to its dotcom high.
 
I was genuinely scratching my head at people asking, " why are people buying?" A few pages back , the volatility is a gift , my history is crammed full of buys and sells of Nvidia , people trying to analyse the.market have no chance just react to what's happening (yeah yeah who am I , Garden Gecko lol)
Sold a block of Nvidia again and took profit Yesterday missed the high though (boo)
So sat here back in at $94 or Intel under $18 ? (sold all mine ,said I wouldn't but I lied)
Btw just ordered some red braces on Amazon
edit is my picture big enough
also no its still dropping 9pm usually moves it moving from overnight to pre market ,see what happens

Screenshot-2025-04-09-05-31-47-93-99c04817c0de5652397fc8b56c3b3817.jpg
 
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Had a nibble at Intel at $17.84 as usual please feel free to point and laugh if it goes south :p
Finger to the sky lol , tbh though it's not reliable for a quick in and out so may be a keeper ( especially if it tanks from here)
 
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Yields moving higher, will be interesting to see if this is just a bounce or not. Bessent might find it harder to move issuance further out than first expected, total nightmare for him
 
Lookup 'The century of humiliation'. The Chinese are very pragmatic, but when the time comes for them to return the favour to the Western world, they are going to stick the knife in, and twist it. I don't expect they were thinking the opportunity to fatally damage the US would present itself so soon, but Trump has put it on a plate.

Russian asset? Pathetic bully who is about to get their come-uppance? Maybe both.
 
mid_gen said:
Lookup 'The century of humiliation'. The Chinese are very pragmatic, but when the time comes for them to return the favour to the Western world, they are going to stick the knife in, and twist it. I don't expect they were thinking the opportunity to fatally damage the US would present itself so soon, but Trump has put it on a plate.

Russian asset? Pathetic bully who is about to get their come-uppance? Maybe both.
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I think the US is trying to do this to China. It seems the US are willing to push this all the way to the point of war. This is clearly about trying to break the dominance of China.
 
mid_gen said:
Lookup 'The century of humiliation'. The Chinese are very pragmatic, but when the time comes for them to return the favour to the Western world, they are going to stick the knife in, and twist it. I don't expect they were thinking the opportunity to fatally damage the US would present itself so soon, but Trump has put it on a plate.

Russian asset? Pathetic bully who is about to get their come-uppance? Maybe both.
Click to expand...

It can't be China with that level of selling, someone is blowing up and needs to sell as much as possible to get their hands on dollars. FX swaps clearly now have strings attached, remember Trump wants a weaker dollar.
 
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