Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

tangey said:
appears this market move is based on actual finanacial news as oppose to Trump utterances. Yesterday, a couple of regional banks in the US anounced they were writting off a lot of debt, one due to a car parts maker going out of business. The markets got spooked, and The head of JP morgan remarking "when you see one cocroach, there is generally more" only added to that.

With many predicting/waiting for a bubble to burst, it doesn't take much to start a bit of panic.
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Yup, it's a potent mix - Trump/China/AI bubble/US shutdown grinding on.

I've pulled back to mostly cash again, I don't enjoy the stress.
 
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the red is what tests the weak haha! :) I've done it before, I'm not doing it again. I sold when it dropped before because it was scary but the reality is, I'm not planning to take anything out for years so current status is irrelevant really, sensible side would tell me to sell and run but that's not really how investments work, unless they're short term. So in my opinion, if you're in it for a long ride, just continue riding it out. World is unstable as so markets flap around like crazy.
 
I've cashed out everything except ALRT for now. Going to look at new options once this Trump wave ends and everything is super low.
 
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grudas said:
the red is what tests the weak haha! :) I've done it before, I'm not doing it again. I sold when it dropped before because it was scary but the reality is, I'm not planning to take anything out for years so current status is irrelevant really, sensible side would tell me to sell and run but that's not really how investments work, unless they're short term. So in my opinion, if you're in it for a long ride, just continue riding it out. World is unstable as so markets flap around like crazy.
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My long term cash is being sensible in global etf's and MM funds, my in and out quick money is my play fund. I did well but didn't want to push it too far.
 
banja said:
Can you elaborate on what this means?
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Yes. The gold price is rising, because the supply of currency has been increased dramatically, since 2008. The real value of currency therefore falls against gold, and in the end phase this rate accelerates, as more and more currency has to be printed to get the same effect, and people have less and less confidence in the currency, and inflation goes to hyperinflation.

So, the gold price will go up faster, but it's unlikely to come back down again.
 
Uther said:
My long term cash is being sensible in global etf's and MM funds, my in and out quick money is my play fund. I did well but didn't want to push it too far.
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Yea but even they have dropped quite a lot. Cashed out, took a small profit and will rebuy later.

Annoying you can't buy in to gold on T212
 
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Nasher said:
Yea but even they have dropped quite a lot. Cashed out, took a small profit and will rebuy later.

Annoying you can't buy in to gold on T212
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VWRP is down about 3.2% from the peak.

Massive falls :cry: :cry:

You should be able to buy SGLN on T212.
 
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tangey said:
appears this market move is based on actual finanacial news as oppose to Trump utterances. Yesterday, a couple of regional banks in the US anounced they were writting off a lot of debt, one due to a car parts maker going out of business. The markets got spooked, and The head of JP morgan remarking "when you see one cocroach, there is generally more" only added to that.

With many predicting/waiting for a bubble to burst, it doesn't take much to start a bit of panic.
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This. This is exactly what is happening. It is never wise to shout fire (until it is of course)…..we’re staring at a rapidly unfolding liquidity crisis in the US banking system – this has parallels with history (2008 anyone?). The treasury has now broken out (Yields going to plummet) as we move closer and closer to a full blown FED panic (50bps increment cuts, USD breakdown, Global M Supply surge and MOMO vertical (relative)….the end game is obvious – the journey less so and be hedged (SHORT Financials / Value stocks) b/c this is now about to get very interesting indeed.

When moves of such magnitude happen in such a short space of time with news flow ‘popping up’ in multiple places now (and they’ll continue too with escalation being my view)…..investors should really take note and start asking existential questions once again about the entire system. We have seen Blackstone Secured Lending Fund collapsing 25% in the last couple of months, Jeffries and of course PNC, Progressive, Zions, Western Alliance within the last 48hrs.

We know where this ends up...it is the journey we need to aware of. FED via Powell was laughable it the situation wasn't so serious. Powell saying at the NABE earlier in the week ‘considering' ending QT in months to come’ (as though he has time?!) as the liquidity pool for the entire US Regional banking system has flipped outright NEGATIVE! Forcing mass regional banks into fire-sales of assets now in order to try and remain SOLVENT (that’s what we’re talking about here).
So ‘what is coming’ is a full-blown FED panic pivot likely before Christmas – we are talking rate cuts of 50bps increments not 25bps as increasingly likely in the forthcoming meetings (Oct, Dec, Jan, March); with QT being stopped immediately (FOMC coming up) & a re-juicing of the liquidity pool (REPO?) with QE (however they dress it up) – turning back on the printing presses accordingly

This of course breaks the USD, rockets Global M Supply higher and turbo-charges high BETA (MOMO) literally exponentially higher when investors fully start to appreciate what is really going here. But in the meantime everything will get thrown out (including the baby) with the bathwater. Treasuries it will be for the next period of time.

BUT post the FED panic move incoming….the BUYING will obviously continue (turbo-charge) because the printing presses will once again be turned back on. Thereafter, we move into the high Beta stocks as the world becomes awash with liquidity...leave off from the value stocks. Essentially, the US economy is ‘K’ shaped – the bottom part of the ‘K’ (value stocks) is looking increasingly ‘bad’ because the lower end of the employment mix exposure is being structurally eaten alive by A.I (and its only beginning).

Just my 2p worth.
 
This is no where near a crash yet, still think this will be a buy the dip opportunity

Trump is meeting Xi so most of the hurty words are just posturing for a deal. The big bank earnings this week said delinquencies were low, maybe there's more laundry to air here from other regional banks but the big banks aren't sounding the alarm YET. Shutdown will be forced to get resolved soon, rate cuts on the way and Q2 and the Q3 earnings so far have been good. If anything this will release some of the hot air from the system (high valuations low rev meme stocks) which is a positive in my view
 
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