Electricity is getting more expensive, therefore the mid range cards will probably stay at around 200-300W for a few generations*. But the top end cards costing more than £1k will probably continue to rise in TDP because people who can afford that much for a GPU will probably not be worried about electricity costs, I predict we'll be at 750W within 3-5 generations unless there's a big increase in efficiency (which I doubt).
This increase is nothing new, the graph is slightly misleading (through no fault of the OP) in that it shows GPU power staying steady for most of the 2010s, which is true on a per card basis. However the total power high-end machines dedicated to graphics processing was increasing during this time, but it was doing so because their owners used multiple GPUs. It's was fine for a 980Ti to only draw 250W because if you needed more power you'd just SLI them. Now SLI is dead, the flagship cards have had to nearly double their TDP to keep up. Resolution and refresh rate increases have been mostly steady, the main reason for the jump in GPU TDP in the last couple years is to compensate for the death of SLI.
*I bet if the OP re-did the graph but instead of choosing the flagship card from each generation they looked at the midrange (xx60/xx60 Ti from each gen) then there would be much lower increases over the same timeframe.
This increase is nothing new, the graph is slightly misleading (through no fault of the OP) in that it shows GPU power staying steady for most of the 2010s, which is true on a per card basis. However the total power high-end machines dedicated to graphics processing was increasing during this time, but it was doing so because their owners used multiple GPUs. It's was fine for a 980Ti to only draw 250W because if you needed more power you'd just SLI them. Now SLI is dead, the flagship cards have had to nearly double their TDP to keep up. Resolution and refresh rate increases have been mostly steady, the main reason for the jump in GPU TDP in the last couple years is to compensate for the death of SLI.
*I bet if the OP re-did the graph but instead of choosing the flagship card from each generation they looked at the midrange (xx60/xx60 Ti from each gen) then there would be much lower increases over the same timeframe.
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