One of the largest factors in the climate is known as the planetary albedo. It's a measure of how much incident radiation (sunlight) reaches the Earth, compared to the amount reflected off of the clouds, land and ice caps (in particular). In this case, the lack of vapour trails after 9/11 resulted in a measurable increase in surface temperature, as less sunlight was being reflected.
In fact, the phasing out aerosols acts to reverse global dimming (thanks Johnny), increasing the effects of global warming.
The Earth is an extremely complex system. Small changes in one thing can lead to much larger changes elsewhere. For example, a sea level temperature change of only a couple of degrees (happening already) started releasing loads of methane from rocks. Nobody expected this, and now that methane is contributing to trapping more heat, and raising temps more.
Or receding sea ice. As the ice melts, it reflects less sunlight, so the sea warms up more, so more ice melts etc.
Potentially disasterous
positive feedbacks are what scare me most.
Planes are particularly bad as they release gases etc. at high altitude, where they have a greater effect on trapping heat.
Global warming IS happening (fact). Whether global warming is entirely man-made or just mostly is the real question.
For the sarcastic types - no you're not going to die of a tsunami because of global warming. But you might be flooded out. The great barrier reef will die. A good proportion of the people and animals of the Earth will be displaced due to rising sea. Large areas of land will become inhospitably hot/cold. And all aspects of the food chain will be moved around (eg. an insect species hatching a few weeks earlier can be disasterous for a plant, which kills off a larger animal etc. etc.)