Well thanks for the effort on the post, at least it gets people thinking.
The thing about all these technologies, and I am sure most people on 'doom' sites like www.theoildrum.com or www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net would no doubt that with the current technology we have available to us we could probably shift our energy use away from fossil on a wide scale to a combination of new technologies. After all, there is more than enough power from the sun that falls on a small part of the world's deserts that we could in theory harness for power.
The problem comes of course in a transition away from today's cheap oil-based status quo. We simply do not have enough time while oil is cheap and freely available to shift to a post-fossil economy. All these technologies will use fossil fuels in their creation, and lots of them. There are HUNDREDS of MILLIONS of cars and trucks on the world's roads which under the theory of a 'Hydrogen Economy' would have to be scrapped, together with the vast infrastructure that supports them.
Can you really see we can make these changes, while producing the required close to 100 million barrels of oil a day that will be needed in the next 10 years, without interrupting the growth of the world economy? If not that means recession, or even worse. Combine that with the fact that our whole capitalist economy is based on never-ending growth which cannot possibly continue, its hard to be positive about the outlook.
The thing about all these technologies, and I am sure most people on 'doom' sites like www.theoildrum.com or www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net would no doubt that with the current technology we have available to us we could probably shift our energy use away from fossil on a wide scale to a combination of new technologies. After all, there is more than enough power from the sun that falls on a small part of the world's deserts that we could in theory harness for power.
The problem comes of course in a transition away from today's cheap oil-based status quo. We simply do not have enough time while oil is cheap and freely available to shift to a post-fossil economy. All these technologies will use fossil fuels in their creation, and lots of them. There are HUNDREDS of MILLIONS of cars and trucks on the world's roads which under the theory of a 'Hydrogen Economy' would have to be scrapped, together with the vast infrastructure that supports them.
Can you really see we can make these changes, while producing the required close to 100 million barrels of oil a day that will be needed in the next 10 years, without interrupting the growth of the world economy? If not that means recession, or even worse. Combine that with the fact that our whole capitalist economy is based on never-ending growth which cannot possibly continue, its hard to be positive about the outlook.