[TW]Fox;20020840 said:To be fair 1.1 pretty much is parity compared to say 2003 but I must admit I thought it had gone even lower than it is now back in 2009.
News certainly seems to regard the action on CHF as a peg.
Ok, so it seems I am right on the economics side, with regards to changes in the exchange rate.
As soon as we and they (Euro zone) return to normal the exchange rates will be as they were. It'll probably take no more than 5 years and certainly won't take 10. And even if it does, it's a mortgage! You take them out for 20 years or more!
I wish people would stop describing the EURO as a currency
[TW]Fox;20021931 said:Err, it is a currency
I wish people would stop describing the EURO as a currency, its purely political and politics usually fail.
Not in terms of finance at the highest level
What is that even supposed to mean?
Well equally, where is the belief that the euro is going to strengthen come from? The eurozone is in an awful state.
Yes it is. Set at 1.2:1. Announced on Tuesday.
However, other than that, Siandtina is correct. You are taking a big gamble on currency movements and I can't really see why you would want to expose yourself to this kind of risk unless you are extremely confident that rates will move in your favour (and nobody really knows). In fact, if I were the lending bank I would likely insist that you hedged the rate unless you have a very large disposable income compared to the mortgage payments (i.e. you can afford it whatever happens to the rate).
Your big variable for mortgage payments is generally interest rates, why expose yourself to another one? Gambling on currency movements is fine but I would do it with something a little less important than your mortgage.
Well, to be fair, the idea of the Euro was simple (in my mind).
If I went to Germany and bought a marsbar, it would cost me 1EUR. If I went to France and bought a marsbar, it would cost me 1EUR. If I went to Slovakia and bought a marsbar, it would cost 1EUR.
Of course, this was never going to be the reality, hence, failure